There is a saying in Bengali which means the house owner starts taking precautions once the robbery is over. For last three weeks @RahulGandhi became a poster boy of #Pakistan by his immature acts on #Kashmir issue. The realization now dawns that he must change track. 1/n
It is not known what prompted #RahulGandhi 2 try visiting #Kashmir last week, knowing fully well that the #Modi government got moral/legal sanction from the Supreme Court 2 take all preventive measures 2 stop blood spill and, that Gandhi would be returned like other leaders. 2/n
One may see the shadow of #Wayanad in #RahulGandhi's desperation but, to me his acts only helped the politically irrelevant #Left to stay in news. Left has a history of opposing Congress in States while joining hands hands in d Centre. #Congress's gains were short term. 3/n
The politics of the past 3 decades reduced #Congress from a trend setter to a follower, where it grabbed power at the mercy of smaller and chaotic forces. Congress was happy with power but its base kept on shrinking. And, one @narendramodi showed them d place. #Modi 4/n
The division in the Opposition camp including in the #Congress indicate that many started coming to terms with the reality that #Modi changed #India's political narrative. #Politics of India will not remain the same for years to come, even after Modi. 5/n
#Indian electorate is no longer interested in weak central governments. Given a choice they prefer a strong government that delivers. The new narrative is about creating a strong powerful but #democratic #India that can throw competition to single-party ruled #China. 6/n
Like it or not #China exposed the weaknesses of electoral #democracies across the world. It is no secrete that #Indian intellectuals found virtues in single-party ruled China's initiatives to change the status-quo, including that in #Tibet or #Xinjiang. 7/n
The #Indian intellectuals were merely following a global trend . Over the last two decades #Western #media went too soft on #China or the lack of #democracy. The arrival of @realDonaldTrump somewhat changed the tone. Yet too little is spoken about #HongKong over last 5 years. 8/n
Compare this with the alertness of the same #Western #media on #democracy or the lack of it in #India. Compare the coverage on #Kashmir and #Xinjiang & you know the truth: No one dares to pinprick #China because its powerful and #India has to pay for the #democracy. 9/n
It is known that #Modi is changing this narrative. He is converting #India into a #bully power like #America or #China. #Indian voters loved it. They were tired of d status quo. Whosoever comes 2 power in #Delhi in the immediate future has to follow this trend. 10/n
The question therefore is who will replace #Modi and #BJP? The regional, caste-based politics is decimated. From 3 States, Left is now in one. #AAP shunned politics of conflict post #Article370 in #Kashmir. That's clever. But they have no place in national #politics. 11/n
#Congress was the sole potential beneficiary of #Modi's politics. But they are still guided by the temptations of quick access to power riding on some sort Khichdi coalition. #JairamRamesh et all questioning d narrative but none has the courage to take the steering. 12/n
To put things in perspective, the #Gandhi dynasty is now the biggest liability of #Congress. #Rahul, #Priyanka are no politicians, to put it most politely. #Sonia is misfit in prevailing political narrative. They have 2 go beyond family and royalty, both are now liabilities. 13/n
#Gandhi family and #Congress is wholly responsible for this situation as they blocked the way of commoners like #NarasimhaRao or #pranabmukherjee to take the baton. Now they have no choice but dismantling the proprietorship. The choice is now restricted to reform or perish 14n/n

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More from @pratimbose

2 Jan
BJP's failure in winning 'intellectual' debate became most apparent in #CAA. Reason lies with party. I worked in this space 4 too long to kno how long term agendas are set. Why intellectualism is equated to #Left leaning among a section in #WestBangal & #India. 1/n
I have been consistent in saying that #CAA is a major correction to the historic neglect to human tragedies from sustained flight of #Hindu & other minority from #EastPakistan/#Bangladesh. It's unfinished job of #Partition. 2/n
#Secularism will be threatened only when #India wil institutionally discriminate between two sets of citizens, as it happened in #Pakistan & #Bangladesh not by virtue of giving citizenship 2 d discriminated/persecuted in this 2 countries born out of discriminatory principles. 3/n
Read 6 tweets
18 Oct 19
The consolidation of anti-#India protests, fuelled by brutal killing of an engineering student, over a silly water share agreement and now a clash between BGB & BSF indicate potential political turmoil in #Bangladesh.
1/n.
BSF/BGB became history as two countries came closer over the last 10 years. At a time when two govts signing defence cooperation pacts BGB's offensive raises many questions. More so, due 2 #Bangladesh #Army's general influence over BGB. 2/n
hindustantimes.com/india-news/hop…
The incident took place in the backdrop of swelling of protests over #Feni river sharing pact. Feni is a small river dividing #Bangladesh and #india's #Tripura state. People of Tripura were already using river water. An interim pact regulated it. 3/n
Read 6 tweets
6 Oct 19
We cannot call it #India-#Bangladesh prime ministerial meeting in true sense of the term, since #SheikhHasina came to the WEF meeting. The bilateral visit is scheduled later. However despite its limited scope I find the meeting very encouraging and beneficial for either side. 1/n
Key takeaways from #Modi-#SheikhHasina
Meeting 1) The LPG deal is consequent to #India's decision to invest in LPG terminal in #Chittagong. With time we wil see rise in supplies and #Bangladesh-#NorthEast LPG pipeline. 2/n
LPG deal is a mirror of #India-Bangladesh #diesel pipeline with the exception that in the case of #LPG, #Bangladesh is also getting #FDI. This is early stages of creation of a regional oil & gas grid, which may be expanded to #CLMV #Asean in the days to come. #Modi- #Hasina
3/n
Read 7 tweets
5 Sep 19
Some utter nonsense is peddled wrt #assamnrc. Illegal immigrants r determined by the IMDT Act 1983, which was introduced by Indira Gandhi in 1983 midway during assam agitation (1979-85). 1/n
#assamnrc between 1983 & 2019 NRC update, 1.17 lakh people r declared "illegal immigrants". Another 2 lakh cases under IMDT Act r pending taking total to 3 lakh. Over 1 lakh already lost voting rights as per 1997 HC order. 2/n
It means, there were 3 lakh declared/suspected illegal immigrants till #assamnrc was published. Over 1 lakh lost voting rights since 1997. And Guwahati HC denied citizenship to children of illegal immigrants. 3/n
Read 5 tweets

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