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, 6 tweets, 5 min read
The consolidation of anti-#India protests, fuelled by brutal killing of an engineering student, over a silly water share agreement and now a clash between BGB & BSF indicate potential political turmoil in #Bangladesh.
1/n.
BSF/BGB became history as two countries came closer over the last 10 years. At a time when two govts signing defence cooperation pacts BGB's offensive raises many questions. More so, due 2 #Bangladesh #Army's general influence over BGB. 2/n
hindustantimes.com/india-news/hop…
The incident took place in the backdrop of swelling of protests over #Feni river sharing pact. Feni is a small river dividing #Bangladesh and #india's #Tripura state. People of Tripura were already using river water. An interim pact regulated it. 3/n
#Bangladeshi didnt fund much fault with the pact. But protests fuelled citing delay in #Teesta pact. Soon the protests took wholesome anti-#India nature. The aim was to unsettle #Hasina who had own last election without much Opposition. 4/n
With #BGB incident, one may find a design in creating widespread unrest to encourage Bangladesh #Army to step in. The statement of BGB post incident and pattern of news appearing in #Bangladeshi #digital #mediation is worrisome. 5/n
Clearly the fundamentalist section in #Bangladesh are trying to consolidate. In the absence of mainstream political forces, they may look for subversive attempts. P
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#India #Bangladesh #Army #Feni #Tripura #Bangladeshi #Teesta #Hasina #BGB #digital #mediation

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Pratim Ranjan Bose
@pratimbose
We cannot call it #India-#Bangladesh prime ministerial meeting in true sense of the term, since #SheikhHasina came to the WEF meeting. The bilateral visit is scheduled later. However despite its limited scope I find the meeting very encouraging and beneficial for either side. 1/n
Key takeaways from #Modi-#SheikhHasina
Meeting 1) The LPG deal is consequent to #India's decision to invest in LPG terminal in #Chittagong. With time we wil see rise in supplies and #Bangladesh-#NorthEast LPG pipeline. 2/n
LPG deal is a mirror of #India-Bangladesh #diesel pipeline with the exception that in the case of #LPG, #Bangladesh is also getting #FDI. This is early stages of creation of a regional oil & gas grid, which may be expanded to #CLMV #Asean in the days to come. #Modi- #Hasina
3/n
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Pratim Ranjan Bose
@pratimbose
Some utter nonsense is peddled wrt #assamnrc. Illegal immigrants r determined by the IMDT Act 1983, which was introduced by Indira Gandhi in 1983 midway during assam agitation (1979-85). 1/n
#assamnrc between 1983 & 2019 NRC update, 1.17 lakh people r declared "illegal immigrants". Another 2 lakh cases under IMDT Act r pending taking total to 3 lakh. Over 1 lakh already lost voting rights as per 1997 HC order. 2/n
It means, there were 3 lakh declared/suspected illegal immigrants till #assamnrc was published. Over 1 lakh lost voting rights since 1997. And Guwahati HC denied citizenship to children of illegal immigrants. 3/n
Read 5 tweets
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Pratim Ranjan Bose
@pratimbose
There is a saying in Bengali which means the house owner starts taking precautions once the robbery is over. For last three weeks @RahulGandhi became a poster boy of #Pakistan by his immature acts on #Kashmir issue. The realization now dawns that he must change track. 1/n
It is not known what prompted #RahulGandhi 2 try visiting #Kashmir last week, knowing fully well that the #Modi government got moral/legal sanction from the Supreme Court 2 take all preventive measures 2 stop blood spill and, that Gandhi would be returned like other leaders. 2/n
One may see the shadow of #Wayanad in #RahulGandhi's desperation but, to me his acts only helped the politically irrelevant #Left to stay in news. Left has a history of opposing Congress in States while joining hands hands in d Centre. #Congress's gains were short term. 3/n
Read 14 tweets

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Trinh Nguyen
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From end 2012 to Q1 2019 (7yrs), China debt to GDP ratio rose 63.2% to 259.4% of GDP (meaning at end 2012 it was less than 200% of GDP). Unless that 63.2% credit/gdp was into productive investment that raises future productivity, the incremental capital to output (ICOR)worsening
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World Health Organization (WHO)
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Water is life, yet 1 in 3 people globally do not have access to safe drinking water🚰bit.ly/2L1GKl3 #WWWeek
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Pramit Bhattacharya
@pramit_b
A month after holes in a key database used in GDP estimation were first exposed, the controversy around #India's GDP #data and statistical system has only grown. This #thread is a summary of some answers and many questions on this issue #stats #institutions #economy (1/n)
The latest to question the new GDP series is the former CEA @arvindsubraman who was also among the first to question the new series numbers when they first came out in 2015 (2/n)
His main contention, then and now, is that the new series fails to tally with other economic indicators. Others also have made this point but his recent paper (hks.harvard.edu/centers/cid/pu…) is the most systematic demonstration of that issue (3/n)
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Myra MacDonald
@myraemacdonald
I am trying not to get into the war of words between #India and #Pakistan over whether or not the Indian Air Force shot down a Pakistani F-16 in their recent confrontation. But since it keeps coming up on my timeline, some general observations (thread).
I learned from my first book on the Siachen war that nobody is a reliable witness. A lot of this is fog of war - tricks of memory, but also hierarchy – people will say what their bosses want to hear, aggrandise their own role, cover up for incompetence or simply get it wrong.
Among the most frustrating elements of writing up the Siachen war was that I found contradictions between men who had fought on the same side, sometimes even on the same day.
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F. Jeffery 👁
@Natsecjeff
CONFIRMED: Indian fighter jets violated Pakistani airspace over LoC. Pakistani sources say Pakistani jets repelled Indian incursion.
Incident happened about over an hour ago. Pakistani jets are on high alert. Pakistani and Kashmiri sources based along LoC reporting heavy air activity from Indian side over LoC.
As confirmed by Pakistani military:

Read 73 tweets
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IndoPacific_SCS_info
@China_SCS_info
Breaking: Large terrorist attack in #India. More than 40 Indian Reserve Police Force personnel were killed and many others injured when Pakistani backed terrorists targeted a convoy with a car bomb at Awantipora in Jammu and Kashmir's today, ndtv.com/india-news/15-…
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Read 151 tweets

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