Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jun 21, 2021 15 tweets 19 min read Read on X
As Ethiopians vote today in their first open contested election here below we can see the rainstorm forming in the morning.

Today's #NorthAfrica, #HornOfAfrica and #MiddleEast rainfall forecasts follow.
In the big picture today we can see storms over Europe top left and monsoon storms over South East Asia bottom left, as well as yet another day of #ArabianStorms beginning on the Red Sea.

The monsoon storms over SEA provide the moisture which powers the rains over Ethiopia.
In this satellite image from this morning we can see visible traces of the water arriving across the Indian Ocean.
As for Ethiopia itself here is today's @Nasa Modis imagery which provides a split view, which is perhaps appropriate as the country votes, with the futures of 114 million people riding on the result helping to bring the nation together.
Today's North Africa 10-Day rainfall forecasts for June 21st.
48-Hour North Africa/Sahara rainfall forecasts from the same four models.
And it seems we now have access (thanks @weathermodels_ to the 16-day GFS forecast as well as the 12-day KMA forecast, providing a longer view forward.

The models are now mostly in agreement about significant levels of rainfall in Northern Mali in coming fortnight.
These three images also @NASA Modis show cross sections, east to west over the Indian Ocean where the trade-winds are carrying moisture to fuel not just the HoA monsoon, which runs to September, but the entire West Africa Monsoon.
10-Day rainfall (+1 12-day) forecasts for June 21st, Election day/Solstice for the #HornOfAfrica including, #Somalia, #Somaliland, #Djibouti, #Ethiopia and parts of #Sudan and #SouthSudan

These are the #Abbay rains which will fill the #GERD.
48 hour forecasts for June 21st (today and tomorrow) for the #HornOfAfrica. Including #Somalia, #Somaliland, #Djibouti, #Ethiopia and parts of #Sudan and #SouthSudan.

#GERD
This gif shows the beginning of today's #ArabianStorms up to 2pm today local time.
And here we see a wider view showing the water leaving India, moving across the Arabian Sea and arriving in Yemen and the Horn.
10-Day June Solstice, accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, ECMWF, CMC & KMA weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
48 Hour Solstice (today and tomorrow), accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, CMC & KMA weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
And finally, June 21st, Solstice, 16-day (GFS) and 12-day (KMA) accumulated rainfall forecasts for the Middle East.

Rainfall on the Arabian Peninsula looks set to continue.

[Note: three of the four models now show rainfall on the Southern Yemen Coast.]

الله أعلم

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Alastair Thompson

Alastair Thompson Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @althecat

Oct 3
This made me cry …. Tears streaming down my face. This is so very sad.

#Gazaunderattack
#GazaUnderFire
If @realDonaldTrump chooses to join Netanyahu’s genocidal campaign if he is not obeyed …. he WILL find himself indicted in the international criminal court in The Hague.

And he will then have to make a decision on whether he is willing to remain in the U.S.
@realDonaldTrump Should he proceed as he has intimated that he should now be pursued by protestors everywhere he goes.
Read 7 tweets
Sep 26
🔴 Al Jazeera English FLASHBACK| Live via @YouTubeyoutube.com/live/gCNeDWCI0…
Immediately after this speech NETANYAHU ORDERED AIR STRIKES ON LEBANON
From the inside the global forum of all of the UN Building.
Read 6 tweets
Sep 26
The best outcome of this would be if it turned into a Dunkirk result for the injured and wounded of Gaza to be taken to Europe for medical treatment.
There is a lot of concern about evacuations of civilians from Gaza in the flotilla as anyone leaving may not be able to return any time soon. /2
But the moral hazard here is palpable. There are thousands of injured and starving mostly women and children. And we saw the young babies dying in the hospitals in the early stages of this war. /3
Read 5 tweets
Sep 25
More and more naval vessels from Europe and the Middle East are being deployed to protect the Global Samir Flotilla as it moves slowly but surely towards Gaza where it intends to deliver aid and global attention. /1
Attacks from drones on the flotilla have resumed and Israel is presumably responsible for this. It is because of this that naval vessels from Europe are now joining the flotilla to protect their citizens rights of travel in international waters. /2
The escalation appears fairly slow at present and the flotilla is still within Greek waters at present /3
Read 9 tweets
Sep 22
The #Samud #GazaFlotilla is currently sailing across the Ionian Sea towards the island archipelago south east of Athens in the Western Mediterranean. Conditions appear good for this leg that departed from Sicily after leaving Tunisia. The Flotilla set off from Barcelona. Image
2/ this current leg is 860 kms roughly and lead boats in the 51 vessel flotilla are currently approaching south western Greece. You can follow the flotillas progress here >> flotilla-orpin.vercel.appImage
Image
3/ After two drone attacks on flotilla boats in Tunisia the flotilla sailed first to Sicily where it was joined by several more boats. And this map shows the path of the flotilla so far. The numbers in the dots indicate more vessels joining #GazaFlotilla Image
Read 8 tweets
Sep 21
The weakness of the uk prime minister is palpable. Astonishing. Pathetic.
Posting my reply again after X just quarantined my first draft by some digital voodoo
The uk is the primary transporter of materiel to Israel. And has been continuously since October 7th
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(