2/"CAPP and our members call upon Canadians and our leaders to seize the opportunity to unleash the economic and environmental power of Canada's natural gas and oil industry."
Oil/gas GHGs have plateaued at best, but CAPP wants a significant expansion of production?
3/Even under a business as usual scenario IHS MarkIt is forecasting 650,000 b/d new oil sands production by 2030, 900,000 b/d in total.
And now CAPP wants more?
How will that lower GHGs?
The historical records says they will rise.
4/Check out the federal party platforms on oil/gas. The @CPC_HQ planks are for all intent a rewrite of the CAPP press release. energi.media/markham-on-ene…
5/Check out the Oil Sands Net-zero by 2050 Pathway Initiative, which will rely on carbon capture and storage for ~50% of GHG reductions.
CCS infrastructure takes a long time to build.
How will GHGs fall before then as production rises by 650,000 b/d?
3. Alberta oil (esp. oil sands) need an energy transition plan, not just a climate plan.
Canada needs AB to be prosperous. Clinging to the status quo won't accomplish that.
2/Here' the interview with BloombergNEF's Dr. Nikolaos Soulopoulos I referred to.
BNEF is the gold standard of EV adoption forecasts. My guess is that it will be revising its sales forecasts every few years.
Disruption is here.
3/Speaking of disruption, here's my essay arguing that the 2020s will be this energy transition's disruptive decade just as the 1920s was the disruptive decade of the last energy transition. energi.media/markham-on-ene…
For 10 years starting in 2009 the Tar Sands Campaign received a total of $40 million to oppose the oil sands and pipelines that shipped bitumen to market.
Beyond that, most of what she wrote is incorrect, inaccurate, wrong, or torqued.
2/What is astonishing to a journalist is just how many errors she has made in her Postmedia op-eds, her blog posts, and her public presentations.
Errors of fact.
Errors of interpretation.
Errors wrought by ignorance of the oil/gas industry.
She isn't malicious, she's dumb.
3/She has been influential because Canadian oil/gas leaders, Harper and the CPC, and Jason Kenney and the UCP have used her to further populist narratives.
Her work was weaponized to advance a political agenda.
She was, and still is, a useful idiot for conservatives.
2/Here's my interview with Chris Severson-Baker of @Pembina about urgency for @jkenney govt to put in place a robust climate plan to reassure investors worried about climate risk. #ABleg#OOTT#CDNpoli
3/Here's my Oct. 22, 2019 (day after federal election) column arguing that a showdown between #Alberta and #Canada is inevitable given AB is 36% of national GHG emissions, O&G is 26%, and oil sands are 10%.
1/In this innocent tweet, Mr. Chomyn (a prominent Alberta UCP conservative) exposes for all to see what is wrong with the conservative energy worldview:
He misunderstands the fundamentals of the energy transition.
"...Canada will not be able to fill that (petroleum) demand if we continue to let ideologically driven governments and activists shut in our products." - Cory Morgan in Suits & Boots email
Uh, energy transition, dude.
It's technology, markets, capital - not ideology.
2/Watch today's interview with battery scientist @JamesTFrith of @BloombergNEF and tell me that change is driven by "ideology" and not market changes created by new, better technologies.