#NMP#Financing#infrastructure
In current situation, we run the 'risk of mispricing risk, even for de-risked assets'.
Why: It is not easy to estimate cash flows from infrastructure assets in an uncertain environment with limited clarity about eco policy and potential growth?
I would host these assets in NIIF & do a Public issue for raising finance, so that the Indian public shares the upside, as they are ones who have been bearing the risk all these years. We need Indian HHs to start providing risk cap, if India has to grow.
We can use banking system or the shadow banking systems where we have debt bearing the cost of risk and uncertainty, arising our poor policy choices and business decision.
Involve the Indian or international private sector to manage them, with well defined cost & investment efficiency targets. Though, I don't expect much efficiency gains in running a gas pipeline, be it public or private. So, it will selective involvement of private enterprise.
Indian private sector does not have the risk capital, barring a few, hence the assets will end up in these few hands. Private monopoly is not any better than a public monopoly. Discussion in telecom context show us that.
Given the size of the Indian economy and the government (GOI and States) budget, 150K crore is not a great amount of money. India needs to invest, balancing books can wait.
GDP Data: Looking back to see where we are!
Lot of ground to cover?
1. GDP is less than 2018-19. Higher by 2.39% from 2017-18. Nearly Static over 4 years. 2. PFCE is less than 2017-18. Consumers, the biggest contributors are struggling.
#Leadership in a Growth-constrained, Information-Age #Economy
Reflecting on conversations 2018 Conclave where business & academic leaders had shared their insights on the constraints that global & the #Indian economy faces & possible solutions. ideassansideology.org/engagements/le…
2. Demand was identified as the constraint on growth and wage/earnings growth was considered to be the solution. Pandemic has made it worse. But solution is still in growth in earnings - now more than ever.
3. At the end of the day, government is not spending, industry is not spending, and the individuals are not able to spend, and therefore growth is constrained.
2. Cost of living experiences structural shift as the economy grows.
3. Earnings benchmarked to rural cost of living do not allow us to make investment for building capability to take advantage of urban opportunities. Explained later while building a case for public spend.
4. India has constrained its ability to grow by not pricing agri products to help farmers earn sufficient income that give them a chance to invest in themselves & their family and make a transition to urban jobs or becoming entrepreneur.
1. "Human development, including health, education, and household prosperity, has made historic improvements in every region during the past few decades..
2. Many countries will struggle to build on and even sustain these successes.
3. More extreme storms, droughts, and floods; melting glaciers and ice caps; and rising sea levels will accompany rising temperatures.
Preparing for the #Pandemic and accelerating #Growth by creating naturally high value-adding, low capital-intensity jobs in the healthcare sector: My perspective
A healthcare job creates a nominal value-added of ~Rs. 5.8 lakhs 1 per year, compared with ~4.40 lakhs for an average job in the Indian economy. In addition, it has backward linkages with much higher value-adding jobs in the pharmaceutical & medical equipment mfg. businesses.
A healthcare job requires an investment of ~ Rs. 9.1 lakh, compared to Rs. 10.1 lakh for an average Indian job. In other words, a healthcare job is a low capital intensity and high value-adding job.