Just in the last 12 weeks, all-cause excess deaths have been up by 38% compared to the same time frame in 2020. Whatever we are doing, it's not working!

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus
Let's look at this by age group:

0-24: -49% (Effect of not having lockdowns?)
25-44: +76%
45-64: +80%
65-74: +43%
75-84: -6%
85+: -39%
And finally here's an overview of all age groups and there change in excess mortality from 2020 to 2021.
Sources & Calculations: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

Via CDC by USMortality.com
Just to explain, both 2020 & 2021 are measured against the same baseline, the 5y average of '15-'19.
(Of course 2021 baseline is slighly higher, to account for population growth and change in age)
Methodology describe here: usmortality.com/about
Re-posting the 0-24 chart, as there was a copy error in the above posting!
Calculations remain the same.
Note: The above chart can be easily misread; it's relative change to previous year... There's still massive excess mortality!

In the last 12 weeks, there have been about ~60k excess deaths in seniors, despite extremely high vaxx rates (95%+).
Here are the excess deaths for seniors. They are basically unchanged (-7.1%) in the same time frame '20 vs '21.

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More from @USMortality

13 Oct
Comparing Excess Deaths and #COVID-19 Deaths (Underlying Cause) Week 1-38, 2020 vs 2021.

Excess Deaths: +33%
COVID-19 Deaths: +50%

In 2020 COVID-19 were 3% lower than excess deaths.
In 2020 +10%!

#COVID19 #CORONAVIRUS #CORONA @justin_hart Image
Note that both years didn't have any sign. flu deaths, which the baseline contains ('15-'19)!

Calculations here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Same chart for the last 12 weeks!

But please note, this is not super reliable yet, as both all-cause excess and covid19 numbers are heavily corrected... (It should be somewhat ballpark reliable though) Image
Read 4 tweets
4 Oct
All-cause excess mortality by week for the USA.

Seniors have a 1st dose vaccination coverage of 94%.
Excess mortality still skyrocketed in that age group.

🤔🤔🤔

nytimes.com/interactive/20…

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus
Seniors are 94% vaxxed and 83% fully vaxxed.

Also remembering the natural immune!
Here all age groups
Read 4 tweets
30 Sep
🚨 Does #Covid19 Vaccination lead to less COVID-19-Like Illness (CLI)?

A test-negative design study with 41,552 participants looked CLI diagnosis, symptomatic illness, and test positivity by vaccination status.

⬇️ Megathread below... ⬇️ Like & RT 🚨
#Covid #Corona #Coronavirus Image
Let's start from the beginning!

A recent study by Thompson et al., which was published in the @NEJM, funded and features by @CDCgov in its weekly MMWR series, looked at COVID-19 Like Illness (CLI) hospitalizations for the age group 50+. ImageImage
The study authors identified over 40k hospitalizations.

These were not all-cause hospitalizations, but CLI diagnosed hospitalizations, which is a subset of all hospitalizations. Time frame: 1/1/21 - 6/22/21.

The below diagram tries to visualize the study sample (red). Image
Read 44 tweets
28 Sep
Spoiler: I’m working on an analysis that is ground breaking and will flip the whole vaccine narrative around!!! Stay tuned, will post tomorrow. Prob one of my best pieces yet!!!
It’s based on official cdc/study data. Bullet proof IMO
Guys, please stay patient. Still working on write up!

Graphs are finished, but we just made another discovery, that needs to be looked into...

Sorry for the delay...

Still hoping to post today
Read 4 tweets
24 Sep
This is from "internal" Israeli report:

Daily tests; It proofs my suspicoun that unvaxxed are tested 70% more than vaxxed.
This heavily skews the VE calculations!
Unfortunately not publicly available, and we also don't even know it by age...

#Covid19 #Covid #Corona #Coronavirus
The original poster has confirmed this to me!

This confirms that the Israeli government is aware of the REAL VE and all Test data by vaxx status; but it is not published - WHY?

Based on this report, the total tests for unvaxxed for this specific calender week made up 53% of total tests.
Unvaxxed that are test eligible (age 3+) only make up 26.7% of the population.
This suggests that unvaxxed are roughly tests 2x as often as vaxxed.
Read 6 tweets
22 Sep
1/ USA All-cause Excess Mortality. (Up to week 36/2021).

TL;DR: Similar, possibly higher, as last summer.

By age:
- <25: Fairly normal.
- 25-74: More than last year.
- 75+ About the same as last year. (from previous low before outbreak)

#Covid #covid19 #Corona #coronavirus Image
All six age groups: ImageImageImage
Cumulative Excess Deaths up to week 36:
- 2020: 181,323
- 2021: 208,566 (+15% vs same week last year)

Overall:
- 2020: 380,307 deaths (+12.4 %)
- 2021 (until week 38): 208,566 deaths (+9.9%) Image
Read 7 tweets

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