Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Feb 26 16 tweets 9 min read
ICYMI: Latest US assessment of #Russia invasion of #Ukraine

Per a senior defense official, the assault continues along 3 axis from:

- south to north
- north central to south
- north east to south

But it has not been as easy as the Russians expected
US seeing "indications of viable Ukrainian resistance" per a senior defense official

"We continue to believe, based on what we have observed, that this resistance is greater than what the Russians expected"
"We have indications that the #Russia|ns are increasingly frustrated by their lack of momentum over the last 24 hours, particularly in the north parts of #Ukraine" per the senior US defense official
US confirms #Russia launched amphibious assault from the #SeaofAzov to #Mariupol

Landing forces "continue to advance...some were splitting...more towards the northeast" per official "And of course the Russians are continuing to try to advance on #Kherson"
As of Saturday AM, NO indication #Russia has taken any cities, per senior US defense official

Also, Russia has not yet achieved air superiority-"Ukrainian air defenses including aircraft do continue to be operable & continue to engage & deny access to Russian aircraft"
#Russia invasion backed by +250 missile launches, per senior US defense official

"Despite Russian claims to the contrary, we continue to see civilian infrastructure & residential areas impacted & damaged by these missile strikes" per the official
#Russia missile launches-"There's no doubt in our mind that civilian infrastructure & residential areas are being hit as a result of these barrages" per senior US defense official

Most of the missiles are short-range ballistic missiles, per official
#Russia military-"We know that they have not made the progress that they have wanted to make particularly in the north" per senior US defense official

"We have lots of different ways to sort of try to gauge what the Russians are doing & what they think abt what they're doing"
#Russia "They have been frustrated by what they have seen is a very determined resistance & it has slowed them down" per senior US defense official
"Events on the battlefield are dynamic...can change very, very quickly" sr US defense official cautioned

"But we believe that their [#Russia] momentum continues to be slowed predominately from a stiff #Ukrainian resistance," adding #Ukraine air/missile defenses "still viable"
As of Saturday AM, US estimates about 50% of the 175,000-190,000 #Russia|n forces arrayed vs #Ukraine now inside Ukraine, per senior defense official
Stiffest resistance from #Ukraine in the country's north, per a senior US defense official

- down towards #Kyiv
- from #Belgorod towards #Kharkiv

"There is still heavy fighting in & around Kharkiv, & of course the Ukrainians are absolutely fighting back north of Kyiv"
As of Saturday AM (US east cost time), #Russia forces had gotten no closer than 30km of #Kyiv, per senior US defense official

"We have seen some [Russian] reconnaissance elements in and near the city" official added
On amphibious assault/landing from the #SeaofAzov, #Russia used four of ten landing ship, per senior US defense official

Landing likely put "several thousand naval infantry troops" into #Ukraine, per official
As of Saturday AM, "heaviest fighting is in & around #Kharkiv" per senior US defense official

#Russia-#Ukraine
#Ukraine resistance stressing #Russia|n supply lines

"What we assess now is that he [Putin] has had to commit a bit more logistics & sustainment capabilities like in fuel specifically than what we believe they had originally planned to do" per sr US defense official

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Jeff Seldin

Jeff Seldin Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @jseldin

Feb 25
Happening now - @PentagonPresSec briefs media
Activation of @NATO Response Forces -"the #UnitedStates is ready to lean forward as much as possible" per @PentagonPresSec

No details yet about which units will be deployed as part of that forces
"We see clear indications that the #Ukrainian armed forces are fighting back & bravely defending their country...there have been measures of success in that regard" per @PentagonPresSec

"But it's a dynamic, fluid situation..."

#Russia-#Ukraine
Read 11 tweets
Feb 25
Happening now: @NATO SecGen @jensstoltenberg talks to reporters following Summit of NATO Heads of State & Government
"The Ukrainian forces are fighting bravely & are able to inflict damage on the #Russia|n forces" per @NATO @jensstoltenberg

"The message from NATO leaders...we are there to support #Ukraine" he says - also #Sweden #Finland #EU
NATO allies continuing to provide military, other support to #Ukraine, per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg

Says allies are "very committed"
Read 14 tweets
Feb 25
BREAKING: @NATO activating defense plans - " to prepare ourselves to respond to a range of contingencies & secure Alliance territory, including by drawing on our response forces" per statement
"We are now making significant addt'l defensive deployments of forces to the eastern part of the Alliance" per @NATO

"We will make all deployments necessary to ensure strong & credible deterrence & defence...measures are & remain preventive, proportionate & non-escalatory"
.@NATO statement calls #Russia warns #Ukraine "the gravest threat to Euro-Atlantic security in decades"

"We condemn in the strongest possible terms Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, enabled by #Belarus"
Read 5 tweets
Feb 25
JUST IN: #Russia "not moving on #Kyiv as fast as they anticipated they would do...meeting more resistance than they expected" per a senior US defense official

But official says Russian troops still advancing
Signs #Russia is splitting some of its troops advancing from the south into NE & NW directions, per a senior US defense official
Indications #Russia|n forces trying to take a key dam, power plant - possibly including #cyberattacks vs the power plant, per a senior US defense official
Read 19 tweets
Feb 25
Is #Russia's war against #Ukraine the work of a madman?

Pre-invasion, @POTUS described Vladimir #Putin's words bizarre & twisted

@SecBlinken said "deeply disturbing"

Others said Putin looked unhinged

But current/former intel officials say wait... 🧵
voanews.com/a/putin-s-gamb…
Current/former officials who spoke to @VOANews warn against writing #Russia's #Putin off as a leader-turned- crackpot

As recently as last year, William Burns, then the nominee to lead @CIA, warned lawmakers against underestimating Putin
Most assessments tend to see #Russia's #Putin as a very rational actor - ruthless, cunning and dangerous, with an appetite for risk
Read 11 tweets
Feb 24
NEW: #Russia continuing to flow in additional elements/troops into #Ukraine - headed to #Kyiv #Kharkhiv & #Kherson, per a senior defense official

More than 160 missiles have been launched so far

Some Russian soldiers also appear to have moved thru #Chernobyl area
"We still have no evidence of #Odessa right now being occupied or attacked" per a senior US defense official
#Russia|n troops - "They have gotten closer to #Kyiv" over past few hours, per a senior US defense official

Indications of active fighting in #Kharkhiv and arrival of more Russian airborne troops there
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(