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Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
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Mar 8 • 7 tweets • 6 min read
"Russia has offered a "final" version of its offer to end the crisis, which Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky needs to accept or decline... Putin ordered his forces to halt ... in order to wait for Zelensky's decision, the sources said." 1/
#Ukraine jpost.com/international/…
#Zelensky "will have to pay a heavy price, the sources said. Assumptions are that he will be forced to give up the contested Donbas region, officially recognize the pro-Russian dissidents in Ukraine, pledge that Ukraine will not join NATO, shrink his army and declare neutrality."
If #Zelenskyy declines #Russian demands: "outcome may be terrible: thousands, perhaps tens of thousands of Ukrainians will die and there is a high probability that his country will completely lose its independence."
#Ukraine️ #RussiaUkraineWar #Russia #UkraineWar #UkraineRussia
#Russian demands to #Zelenskyy were "deemed "difficult" but not "impossible," the sources said. It is worse than what Zelensky would have gotten before the invasion but "the gaps between the sides are not great.""

#Ukraine️ #RussiaUkraineWar #Russia #UkraineWar #UkraineRussia
In his ABC interview, "Zelenskyy says "compromise" is possible on Putin's demands he cede Crimea/DPR/LPR & not join NATO: "I've cooled down regarding this question a long time ago after we understood that NATO isn't prepared to accept Ukraine.""
#Ukraine
abcnews.go.com/US/video/zelen…
My analysis suggests that #Russian demands to #Zelenskyy might also include either his abdication in favor of ex-president Yanukovych or power-sharing with Yanukovych/his ex-prime-minister Azarov or relatively pro-Russian Opposition Platform party. #Ukraine #Russia #UkraineWar

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More from @I_Katchanovski

Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
Mar 7
This new map of #RussiaUkraineWar is most detailed & most consistent with my analysis of videos & reports concerning specific locations that were seized by #Russian & #Donbas separatist forces in #Ukraine

#UkraineRussianWar #RussianUkrainianWar #Russia
dragon-first-1.livejournal.com/50654.html
I have similar impression of #RussiaUkraineWar representations in media and social media which are dominated by info warriors, politicians and self-proclaimed experts.

#Ukraine #RussiaUkraineConflict #Russia #UkraineRussianWar

My research-based observations of media coverage of war in #Donbas and #Maidan massacre in #Ukraine show that media, politicians and social media are not reliable sources. researchgate.net/publication/29…
Read 5 tweets
Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
Mar 5
I said in my China Newsweek interview that #RussianUkrainianWar wasn't inevitable & could have been prevented by Russia, Ukraine & US. Russia launched illegal war of choice based on false claims of NATO accession, genocide, nuclear weapons development & Nazis in power in #Ukraine
#Zelensky failed to prevent escalation of #Ukraine-#Russia conflict into devastating war by denying that possibility of Russian invasion was real, as I noted in my interviews & publications. He abandoned Minsk agreement & election promises & pursued unrealistic NATO membership.
Western countries could have prevented #Ukraine-#Russia war by offering Ukraine EU membership prospect in exchange for neutrality & implementation of Minsk agreement. They backed violent Ukraine government overthrow that started conflict & could had escalated into war in 2014.
Read 5 tweets
Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
Mar 5
As I said, Western governments want to fight #Russia to the last Ukrainian: "The U.S. and its allies are planning for a Ukrainian government-in-exile and fueling a long insurgency against a Russian occupation." #Ukraine #UkraineRussianWar #RussiaUkraineWar
washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
This is another indication that the US would block any peace deal to end the Russia-Ukraine war and that they treat Ukraine and Ukrainians just as tools to fight Russia.
"Various hawks care little about the potentially disastrous consequences of an escalation of armed hostilities for Ukraine and ordinary Ukrainians. They regard Ukraine only as a tool for geopolitical goals—in particular, the containment of Russia..." canadiandimension.com/articles/view/…
Read 4 tweets
Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
Mar 5
Member of #Ukrainian delegation at #Ukraine - #Russia peace talks was killed in #Kyiv, reportedly, by Security Service of Ukraine. He was accused of state treason.
#UkraineRussianWar #UkraineInvasion #RussianUkrainianWar #Russian
"Security Service of Ukraine shoots Ukrainian negotiator suspected of treason in Gomel."

Photos show his body on ground, reportedly, in government district in #Kyiv in #Ukraine

#UkraineRussianWar #UkraineInvasion #RussianUkrainianWar #UkraineRussia
pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/…
"In Kyiv, a member of the first delegation of #Ukraine at the talks with Russia, Denis Kireev, was killed. Information was confirmed by the sources of "Strana" in law enforcement agencies. According to them, the murder took place near the Pechersk court."
strana.news/news/380315-v-…
Read 8 tweets
Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
Mar 4
"Ivan Katchanovski, a political scientist at the University of Ottawa, said the red-and-black flag, along with the “Glory to Ukraine, glory to the heroes” slogan, was adopted by the ... Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists (OUN)..." nationalpost.com/pmn/news-pmn/c…
"According to Katchanovski, contemporary Ukrainian ultranationalist groups, such as Right Sector, have adopted the red-and-black flag along with the “Glory to Ukraine” greeting before and during the pro-western Euromaidan protests that led to the removal of former Ukraine..."
"... president Viktor Yanukovych from power in 2014. He said its widespread subsequent use has led some to believe that it is a traditional Ukrainian greeting...."
Read 13 tweets
Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
Mar 3
Second round of #Ukraine - #Russia peace talks is underway in Belarus.

#UkraineRussianWar #UkraineRussiaWar #RussianUkrainianWar #RussiaUkraine #RussiaUkraineConflict #UkraineInvasion
#Russian President Putin "told his French counterpart Emmanuel Macron on Thursday that he would plow on with his war in Ukraine undaunted by international condemnation, forcing an Élysée official to conclude: “We expect that the worst is yet to come.”
politico.eu/article/france…
Second round of #Ukraine - #Russia peace talks in Belarus has ended without any major deal. But talks would continue.

#UkraineRussianWar #UkraineRussiaWar #RussianUkrainianWar #RussiaUkraine #RussiaUkraineConflict #UkraineInvasion
Read 5 tweets

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