Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Mar 17 20 tweets 12 min read
NEW: #Russia's stalled invasions of #Ukraine - "In virtually every area...for now 3 weeks there really hasn't been much practical changes" per a senior US defense official

Russia now has launched +1,000 missiles, official adds
#Kyiv - "What we've seen is them [#Russia] approaching...from the north & NW...15km from city center" per a senior US defense official

Russian forces approaching from the east also still about 30km from Kyiv

But long-range fires continue to "wear the city down"
#Russia's forces trying to advance on #Kyiv "basically where they were before" per a senior US defense official

BUT "there's a lot of fighting going on" official adds, noting active #Ukraine resistance
#Russia troop morale - "We have anecdotal indications that Russian morale is flagging...that morale is not high in some units" per a senior US defense official

"Some of that, we blv is a function of poor leadership, lack of information the troops are getting abt their missions"
MORE: senior US defense official says "flagging" #Russia|n morale may also be due to Russian troops becoming disillusioned by the stiff resistance from #Ukraine forces
#S300s for #Ukraine? "We are continuing to work w/allies & partners on the possibility of helping #Ukraine w/long-range air defense systems...we're having these discussions" per a senior US defense official
"We're working on it real hard...No decisions have been made w/any one nations w/what's being called 'backfill'" per a senior US defense official

re: getting new defense systems for countries who could provide S-300 to #Ukraine
#Ukraine air space still contested, per a senior US defense official

No major changes from either #Russia, #Ukraine air forces for how they are flying, number of sorties
#Russia activity in #BlackSea- US "seeing several surface ships, abt half a dozen or so, off the coast, not far from #Odesa" per a senior US defense official

"We're not sure what they're planning to do..." per official, noting presence of amphibious ships, frigates
#Russia continuing to move its rearguard closer to advancing elements targeting #Kyiv, especially artillery, likely in preparation for a siege, per a senior US defense official
#Russia missile launches vs #Ukraine - "We have seen an increase of strikes on civilian infrastructure & civilians targets" per a senior US defense official
#Russia using fewer PGMs -"It's possible they might be conserving their precision guided munitions or are starting to experience shortages" per a sr US defense official

"We still assess they have a significant amt of their combat power available to them" per official
#Moscow's info ops -"We have seen a continuation of Russian attempt to blame stuff they're doing on the #Ukrainians" especially in #Donbas area, per a sr US defense official

"Outside of #Russia we have not seen their information operations really find purchase" per official
#Russia state media - "a lot of their coverage is of the #Donbas area & accusations of #Ukrainian terrorism" the senior US defense official adds
"I think you can see from the way Mr. Zelenskyy [@ZelenskyyUa] was received in Congress yesterday, from both sides of the aisle, indicates #Russia|n propaganda is not penetrating" in the US, per a senior US defense official
#Russia "still struggling" to maintain forces in #Ukraine, per a senior US defense official

"Just that they're talking abt resupply & resourcing tells you that their beginning to get concerned abt longevity here" per the official
#Russia's struggles in #Ukraine - "They [Russia] clearly were not prepared for them to be in the position they are 3 weeks in, basically frozen...on multiple lines of axis" per a senior US defense official
#Russia - "They haven't occupied that much" in #Ukraine, per a senior US defense official

"Thet they haven't made progress ... that's a real testament to what the #Ukrainians have been able to do"
#Russia intel failures contributing to struggles in #Ukraine - #Moscow had "gaps in intelligence about where the #Ukrainians had things" per a senior US defense official

Says Ukrainian forces have also been very nimble
#Russia "struggling" to maintain forces in #Ukraine-worried about keeping campaign going, per a senior US defense official

"Just that they're talking abt resupply & resourcing tells you that their beginning to get concerned abt longevity here" per the official

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More from @jseldin

Mar 17
Happening now: US @SecDef Lloyd Austin news conference w/#Slovakia Defense Minister Jaroslav Nad' in #Bratislava
#Slovakia Defense Minister Jaroslav Nad' says through translator that mtg w/@SecDef focused on "How we are going to seek ways...to helping our friend in #Ukraine"

"They need our help & we will provide such help"
NEW: "We talked also about the modernization of the Slovakian Armed Forces..." per #Slovakia DefMin Nad'

Also spoke about "various options" for #Russia|n-made #S300s & #MiG29s currently used by Slovakian forces
Read 12 tweets
Mar 17
HAPPENING NOW: @USAfricaCommand Commander Gen. Stephen Townsend & @CENTCOM Commander Gen. Kenneth "Frank" McKenzie back on #CapitolHill, testifying before the House Armed Services Committee

Joined by @DeptofDefense UnderSec for Policy Sasha Baker
#China has made a decision, a deliberate decision to compete w/America in #Africa & win that competition" per @USAfricaCommand's Gen Townsend

"They compete primarily thru economic means & diplomatic means..."
"The primary thing that concerns me w/#China's military competition in #Africa is that they are seeking, actively seeking a military base on the #Atlantic Coast of Africa" per @USAfricaCommand's Gen Townsend

"That would be bad for America's security..."
Read 23 tweets
Mar 17
Developing: #Russia pushing a new narrative about what happened at the bombed-out theater in @Mariupol #Ukraine where civilians were sheltering

#Moscow denies involvement & Thursday the Ministry of Defense claimed on Telegram the theater was destroyed by Ukrainian nationalists
More: #Russia's ministry of defense also continues to push allegations about US-funded/directed bioweapon labs in #Ukraine - Ministry of Defense saying on Telegram that it is now studying documents it was given by lab employees from the #Kharkiv Institute of Veterinary Medicine
The US has consistently refuted #Russia's claims about bioweapon labs in #Ukraine as rubbish
Read 7 tweets
Mar 16
NEW: #Russia "Advances continue to be generally stalled" near #Kyiv, per a senior US defense official

"No tangible progress" but rear forces are being moved forward, per official

#Ukrainians still holding town of #Brovary to the east, per official

#Russia-#Ukraine
#Mariupol isolated w/#Russia forces north & east of the city, per a senior US defense official

#Mykolaiv - no major changes/Russian forces still outside the city, per official

#Odesa-US observing more naval activity & shelling nearby likely by Russian warships, per official
US not seeing indications YET of #Russia|n amphibious assault targeting #Odesa, despite the increased naval shelling, per a senior US defense official
Read 25 tweets
Mar 16
Happening now: @TheJusticeDept unseals 3 cases involving #China's efforts -the Chinese Communist party- "to suppress dissenting voices within the #UnitedStates"

"This activity is antithetical to American values" per Asst AG Matthew Olsen

Each plot is a separate case, he says
#China gvt's secret police - the MSS - directed the actions against the pro-democracy activists, in 1 case threatening harm to a US military veteran running for public office, per US Attorney Breon Peace
Per US Attorney Breon Peace, US charging:

- 1 individual working for the MSS
- head of a democracy group who allegedly betrayed his organization to gather information
- 2 US residents working under direction of a PRC company
Read 10 tweets
Mar 16
NEW: @POTUS praises #Ukraine President @ZelenskyyUa for speech to Congress

"He speaks for a ppl who have shown remarkable courage & strength in the face of brutal aggression" Image
"It's God awful" what #Putin is doing in #Ukraine, per @POTUS

"Putin is inflicting appalling, appalling devastation on #Ukraine, bombing apartment buildings, maternity wards, hospitals...These are atrocities. They are an outrage to the world"
"What's at stake here are the principles that the United States & the United Nations, across the world stand for. It's about freedom" per @POTUS

"It's about making sure #Ukraine never, will never be a victory for #Putin no matter what advances he makes on the battlefield"
Read 10 tweets

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