Jeff Seldin Profile picture
May 16 18 tweets 13 min read
Day 82 of #Russia-#Ukraine - Fight focused on the #Donbas w/both sides exchanged artillery fire

"They [#Russia] did not make significant territorial gains..." per a senior US defense official
NEW: US seeing heavy fighting in #Donetsk w/#Russia making small gains to the west, per a senior US defense official

Could be an attempt to link up with other Russian forces
"No progress" on #Russia|n attempts to cross #Donetsk River, per a senior US defense official

"They have been stymied, just about every effort"
#Ukraine forces continue to regain ground around #Kharkiv despite #Russia|n airstrikes

Ukrainian forces appear to have pushed Russian forces to within 3-4km of the Russian border, per senior US defense official
US assess only minor damage to #Ukraine training facilities at #Yavoriv after recent #Russia strikes, per a senior US defense official
Security assistance to #Ukraine: 10 deliveries via airlift from 7 nations into the region in past 24 hours, per a senior US defense official
US assesses #Russia now has 106 Battalion Tactical Groups (BTGs) in #Ukraine in eastern (20 BTGs), central, western, southern (50 BTGs - largest) groupings of different sizes, per a senior US defense official
#Russia's 106 #BTGs - "They've been creeping the number up" per a senior US defense official, calling it expected

"We do know that the Russians continue to take casualties. They continue to lose equipments and systems everyday..."
#Russia|n progress in #Ukraine, and the #Donbas - "Uneven, slow, incremental, short & small" per a senior US defense official
#Russia ground forces - 80% of BTGs committed to #Ukraine - "Of that 80% he has lost quite a bit" per a senior US defense official

US assesses of the 140+ BTGs arrayed vs #Ukraine, 106 still operational in Ukraine, "but not much else on the periphery" per official
#Russia's #Putin - "He still has a significant majority [of combat power] available to him" per a senior US defense official

Official says #Ukraine likewise has significantly majority of its combat power available
#Russia|n forces "have made several bridging attempts over the #Donetsk [River]...& just have not been able to be successful" per a senior US defense official
Airspace over #Ukraine on Day 82 of the #Russia|n invasion is STILL contested, per a senior US defense official

Official says Russia continues to be wary of flying sorties into #Ukraine
NEW: #Russia launched about a half dozen missiles at #Lviv from the #BlackSea - most likely from a submarine - and hit the training center at #Yavoriv, doing only minor damage, per a senior US defense official
So far no military movement by #Russia in response to #Sweden #Finland stating intentions to join @NATO

US/Pentagon "haven't seen indications that they're [#Russia] moving anything" per a senior US defense official
No indications of casualties so far at #Yavoriv due to #Russia missile strikes - "just some minor damage to a few buildings" per a senior US defense official
US #Howitzers to #Ukraine - "We can assess based on on our conversation w/the #Ukrainians... 74 (of the 90) are actually in the fight" per a senior US defense official

Some are being used in the fight around #Kharkiv, some in #Donbas, official adds
"You're already seeing the #Ukrainian go on the offensive" per a senior US defense official

"They are taking back some towns" in the #Donbas and in #Kharkiv, per official "We do believe the #Howitzers, in particular, are having an impact on that"

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More from @jseldin

May 17
NEW: @DoD_IG report on US-#Afghanistan raises questions about Washington's "over-the-horizon" #counterterrorism strategy

Need for US planes/drones to fly long distances, loss of human intelligence "has significantly reduced the DoD’s
capacity to track terrorist targets"
"As of the end of the quarter [March 31], the DoD had not conducted any strikes on terrorist targets in #Afghanistan since its withdrawal last year" per @DoD_IG acting IG Sean O'Donnell

re: #ISIS #alQaida
#ISIS-#Khorasan estimated to have 2,000 members operating in #Afghanistan, per @DoD_IG citing @DefenseIntel

That's about half of estimates shared by the @UN in February
Read 10 tweets
May 16
NEW: Few details on the decision to send fewer than 500 troops back to #Somalia - but focus will remain on training/bolstering #Somali forces, per @PentagonPresSec

"This is a repositioning of forces..."
Sending US forces into #Somalia periodically had become "inefficient & increasingly unsustainable" per @PentagonPresSec
#Russia, #Putin conducting war in #Ukraine in an "utterly brutal way" per @PentagonPresSec, reminding world Putin can end it now if he chooses
Read 11 tweets
May 16
NEW: @POTUS approves request to "reestablish a small, persistent US military presence in #Somalia" a senior administration official confirms to reporters
NEW: Senior administration official decries decision by ex President Trump to withdraw US troops from #Somalia

"Since then #AlShabaab...has unfortunately only grown stronger. It has increased the tempo of its attacks, including against US personnel"
#alShabaab remains #alQaida's "largest, wealthiest & deadly affiliate" per a senior administration official
Read 16 tweets
May 10
NEW: #Russia invasion of #Ukraine - Russian ground forces making "slow and uneven" in #Donbas, w/airstrikes ongoing there & in #Mariupol, per a senior US defense official

"Limited stand-off strikes" near #Odesa, official adds
#Russia increased # of sorties to over 300 in past 24 hours, per a senior US defense official
Towns & villages changing hands still - "There's a lot of back and forth" per a senior US defense official
Read 20 tweets
May 10
Happening now: Senate Armed Services Committee Worldwide Threats hearing...

Testimony from @ODNIgov Dir Avril Haines & @DefenseIntel Dir Lt Gen Scott Berrier
SASC Chairman @SenJackReed on US intelligence sharing in #Russia-#Ukraine war:

"Intelligence officials are understandably cautious about revealing hard-won insights on adversaries, but this strategy has proven highly effective..."
"...This is a great example of competing effectively in the information domain, and I hope we will continue to make use of this kind of creative tradecraft" per @SenJackReed
Read 53 tweets
May 6
US-#Ukraine troop training update:

+220 trained on M777 #howitzers
+150 training on the Howitzers

15 completed trained on mobile air defense radar systems

60 trained in armored personnel carriers, w/50 still training

...per @PentagonPresSec
Another 20 #Ukraine soldier are completing a week-long training on the #Phoenix #Ghost drones, per @PentagonPresSec

The drones have not yet been delivered to Ukraine...
No US confirmation of #Ukraine claims it targeted/hit the #Russia|n frigate Admiral Makarov

"We've been looking at this all day & we have no information to corroborate those reports" per @PentagonPresSec
Read 9 tweets

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