Jeff Seldin Profile picture
May 23 8 tweets 8 min read
US, Western backing for #Ukraine something to worry about HASC Chair @RepAdamSmith tells @CFR_org, noting the number of lawmakers who voted against the last aid package

"It's been a solid 3 months...but this is a long term play" he says "What is going to be our attention span?"
Should US back #Ukraine's goals of taking back #Crimea?

"We need a little strategic ambiguity on that one" per @RepAdamSmith "Right now, let's just focus on pushing #Russia out of what they have taken in the last 3 months"
"#Finland & #Sweden are a really good fit" for @NATO, per @RepAdamSmith
#Turkey opposition to #Finland #Sweden membership in @NATO - "I'm more worried about it than most ppl are" per @RepAdamSmith

"We've got to get in there & negotiate" he says, citing urgency in cutting a deal now
"We need to create a situation where #China is deterred from going into #Taiwan" per @RepAdamSmith, asked about @POTUS comments on US-Taiwan

"We are going to help arm Taiwan to make sure they are capable of defending themselves"
#Russia's surprising lack of #cyber warfare/cyber attacks - "I don't think it's a choice" per @RepAdamSmith "I don't think they're choosing to not use something they could use"
"#Turkey, they've got leverage" per @RepAdamSmith re #Sweden #Finland @NATO membership

"They certainly have some beefs...there's then also the problem of a lot of the embargoes against Turkey that were implemented after their 2019 incursion into #Syria"
"I think they [#Turkey] want some of that [the embargoes] lifted & I think we ought to have that conversation" per @RepAdamSmith

"What I worry about more is the degree to which Erdogan wants more than that..."

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More from @jseldin

May 25
Happening now: "What we are in is an era of unprecedented threats" @NSA_CSDirector Rob Joyce tells @thecipherbrief's Cyber Initiatives Group

Says #Ukraine "has been heavily targeted" despite lack of catastrophic effects so far

"They mount a great incidence response..." he says
"We did see a really sophisticated attack [by #Russia]...the attack on the satellite services" per @NSA_CSDirector

Calls it another case in which Russia didn't care who else was affected - "We saw wide swaths of businesses lose their connectivity"
.@NSA_CSDirector calls the #Russia|n attack on satellite services "fairly sophisticated"
Read 4 tweets
May 24
BREAKING: The Naming Commission recommends renaming 9 @USArmy bases so they are no longer named for Confederate generals:

Fort Bragg -> Fort Liberty
Fort Hood -> Fort Cavazos
Fort Rucker -> Fort Novosel
Fort Polk -> Fort Johnson

(cont.)
MORE: Naming Commission recommendations

Fort Benning -> Fort Moore
Fort Gordon -> Fort Eisenhower
Fort AP Hill -> Fort Walker
Fort Lee -> Fort Gregg-Adams
Fort Pickett -> Fort Barfoot
"We believe these new names will inspire...names that reflect the best of the United States Army" per Naming Commission Vice Chair ret @USArmy BrigGen Ty Seidule
Read 6 tweets
May 23
#Finland @NATO membership-"#Turkey's objection...we are still in the assessment phase, trying to figure out how serious the demands & objections are" @FINambUS Mikko Hautala tells @BrookingsInst

"We intend to discuss w/the Turks...This process is going on right now"
"This is a discussion we are having w/the Turkish gvt right now" per @SWEambUSA Karin Olofsdotter tells @BrookingsInst re: #Tukrey's objection to @NATO membership

"#Sweden of course is a very strong ally in all issues that deals w/terrorism & anti-terrorism" she adds
"The #EuropeanUnion has had #PKK on its terrorist list since 2002, so we have always been there for that" per @SWEambUSA

"We have been operating w/some of these organizations in #Syria, as the #UnitedStates has done, as many other Europeans have done"
Read 21 tweets
May 23
Happening now: US @SecDef Lloyd Austin & @thejointstaff Chairman Gen Mark Milley brief following a virtual meeting of the 40+ member #Ukrainian Defense Contact Group
.@SecDef calls virtual mtg "highly constructive", giving contact group members a chance to hear from key #Ukraine officials, inlcu DefMin @oleksiireznikov

Says attendees got a "a sharper" sense of Ukraine's needs
.@SecDef praised countries for new pledges of security assistance to #Ukraine - "We're intensifying our efforts"

Austin said numerous countries contributing ammo, artillery

Also:
#Denmark: harpoon launcher, missiles

#CzechRepublic: attack helicopters
Read 22 tweets
May 20
"We're constantly monitoring the threat environment w/escalation management clearly in mind" per @PentagonPresSec on US aid to #Ukraine "it would be irresponsible if we didn't do that"
"As we work these pkgs, these weapons & systems that we're sending to #Ukraine...we're doing it mostly with an eye towards what does Ukraine need in the fight that they're in right now" per @PentagonPresSec

"The consistent answer that we get back is they need long range fires"
"Our focus is on making sure that we can advantage #Ukraine on the battlefield & therefore hopefully advantage them when it comes to an ultimate peace there" per @PentagonPresSec
Read 4 tweets
May 20
"We don't have any indication of the use of lasers...weaponized lasers" by #Russia in #Ukraine, per @PentagonPresSec

...this despite Russian claims its used a new generation of lasers to counter drones
US assesses #Russia is behind where it wants to be as far as progress in the #Donbas, w/Russian progress slow, uneven, per @PentagonPresSec

Says every day there are "hamlets towns and villages that are changing hands" between Russia & #Ukraine
US @SecDef Lloyd Austin to virtually host meeting of the #Ukraine Contact Group this coming Monday - more than 40 nations expected to take part, per @PentagonPresSec
Read 10 tweets

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