Everyone in the world currently has a stressful moment visiting gas stations, they'll be delighted to hear, that for a few months forward this situation will get better as $OIL will be getting cheaper
However that will only apply for a while 👇
1/14
After the covid crash across global markets, we've seen some unprecedented printing that has sent the prices of assets to big highs, Oils included.
Oil is slightly lagging behind the rest of the commodities but we can expect the correlation to follow others
2/
Here we have #Copper & #Oil merged together, we can see the correlation being very effective & while most commodities have already pulled back to retest their previous support areas, Oil is yet to do so
It is merely lagging & stayed strong due to the war in Ukraine. For now.
3/
Note:
I have already written a huge thread on how commodities correlate with each other, including #Bitcoin.
If we simply look at the TA perspective, It has run from nearly zero to nearly new ATHs in just two years.
It has touched a prior untested resistance while taking a good chunk of liquidity which has been very well absorbed for the past months
5/
My estimate is that we are gonna retest the breaker point aka untested support this time around 77$
That will give a relief bounce down for many people as Gas prices have been really high this year
6/
Price tends to test its prior supports and we have a Monthly area of interest sitting in the blue zone below
From a Daily standpoint, the price has already entered a Bear Market in the Daily timeframe.
The same thing that has happened on #SPX prior to sell-off
7/
We have been held by the green zone support for a while as we have entered the distribution area, the same way, #Silver & #Copper has before the breakdown
And my estimate is, we gonna see the same thing here, just lagging
Remember, cash is trash and what we are seeing is the last point of the dead cat pump of fiat currencies before they head into their inevitable path of the graveyard, in their current form, with a survival rate of zero, in human history.
11/
So expect gas prices to get better for the rest of the year, maybe early next one, but expect them to get ridiculously high before this decade ends.
Luckily you can protect yourself and others by moving your savings into scarce stuff
I do hope you enjoyed this thread & learned something valuable, something that could improve your life going forward
If you have, consider RT this thread with your friends by helping them as well which ultimately helps all of us. Thank you for taking the time to read it 🙌
14/
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🧵Since 1 #EUR = 1 #USD stablecoin is a big topic now even across mainstream media, let's see how we progress going forward, this will be a shorter one 👇
1/5
I do expect EUR/USD pair to keep going down for a little longer until it reaches the area of 0.95 - 0.85 which will be a huge area of interest.
From there I do expect a bigger bounce, however not necessarily due to EUR strength but rather USD weakness
2/
If we add an Intermarket analysis we can see the dollar, #DXY, hitting its long-term downward channel and untested resistance.
A perfect scenario for rejection there, which would also indicate EUR move up.
The dollar is absolutely done and the only people thinking it has a future are US folks or fanbois or bears.
After the freeze of the FX reserves for Russia you rly think China, India & others watching are just gonna patiently wait for the same to happen? Is over for $DXY
1/4
It has lost its credibility as paper money and this is an escape exit liquidity rally you are seeing.
Govs in this decade will be trying to figure out where to store the value in. And the value isn't infinite monopoly money but commodities and scarce stuff
2/4
Over the next decade(s) you gonna see the world fleeing from the dollar as it's losing its reserve currency status.
After all, the petrodollar has also ended with Russia now accepting Rubble for oil.
🧵 My biggest mistake in the past cycles was that I was waiting for lower prices just as I was advised to.
When the bull returns it comes out of nowhere & you tend to get caught up in all the bearishness that you miss it completely.
1/
You tend to not trust the next up move because all the past ones have failed and the price is too high now anyway that you'll be waiting for the pullback that doesn't come.
Eventually, the feel of FOMO gets to you but it's too late.
2/
Looking back it's all obvious but in the real-time, it's not. We can always say how it was in the hindsight.
Experience and past examples teach us that people buying the breakdown of the "unbreakable" 6K support were the real winners
3/
I don't know whether it's gonna be a failure or a success but as far as I understand it's not a re-creation of the same LUNA/UST mechanism as before but rather a new L1 without the $UST part & decent ecosystem
1/8
People might think if 1.0 failed why should 2.0 work?
Well as I said I don't know if it will work in the long run, but under certain circumstances, I can see it working if it's just L1.
After all, the old UI worked very smooth and the LUNA ecosystem got pretty big and solid
2/
We have seen this in the past.
Even #Ethereum has split into #ETH & #ETC and eventually has become 2nd biggest crypto coin by mcap
We have seen #Solana had their blockchain stopped several times and it's still going, trying to fix bugs and so on
3/