Salman Al-Ansari Profile picture
Aug 2 10 tweets 10 min read
My #Thread: (The Precedence Game)

The #US🇺🇲 & #China🇨🇳 are both working to get the best out of the #Taiwan / #Pelosi issue.

Both want to create a new precedence to project hegemony over the South China Sea.

1️⃣-🔟
It seems that the #US far left will gain slight momentum in a victory in media that will slightly help them in the November #elections, surely, in their point of view, since the democrats have never witnessed such low trust by their constituencies in modern history.

2️⃣-🔟
The only legacy #NanciPelosi will have before she finishes her term this year is the expedition of the #Chinese acquisition of #Taiwan.

3️⃣-🔟
The fact that the #Biden administration voiced their initial rejection of #NancyPelosi's visit to #Taiwan can tell us two things: one being that the #democratic party is deeply divided, and two, that the progressive branch which #Pelosi seems to represent has started to..

4️⃣-🔟
..challenge the traditional democratic party in areas that are beyond social and ideological fronts.

I had the honor of doing my masters thesis on the #US strategic view of the South #China Sea; the only thing that I missed was..

5️⃣-🔟
..the emergence of non-rational far left policies, given that I based my paper on the importance of US interests, not the opposite; as if I didn’t expect for a second that the US would take steps to "deliberately" weaken the #US stance in that crucially important region.

6️⃣-🔟
Form now on, I have learned the lesson that the US far left is not driven by #US interests, but merely for personal, electoral reasons.

7️⃣-🔟
It seems that #Chinese will take full advantage of the #Pelosi visit, and create real precedences by performing military actions around the island, possibly circling #Taiwan through air and sea, and initiating some kind of a permanent siege.

8️⃣-🔟
The last thing anyone wants is a clash between the #US and #China; I suppose it's still not imminent, despite the #UN warnings of its near possibility. There is no winner in such conflicts.

#Taiwan should not fall into the intense rivalry between the two giant players.

9️⃣-🔟
#Taiwan should learn the lesson and push back against becoming a new #Ukraine.

Let's hope for the best for all nations and push for #peace not #wars.

🔟-🔟

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More from @Salansar1

Mar 3
#Thread:

Key takeaways from #CrownPrince #MohammedBinSalman's interview with @TheAtlantic.

#MBS stressed the success of economic and social reforms:

#SaudiArabia is a @g20org country, you can see our position five years ago: It was almost 20. Today, we are almost 17”

1️⃣-🔟 ImageImage
To #MBS, the #Ritz operation was an elegant, nonviolent solution to the problem of vampires feasting on #SaudiArabia’s annual budget.

2️⃣-🔟 Image
The fight between #MBS and Sheikh #Tamim Al-Thani had been no big deal, “a fight between brothers.” The relationship between #SaudiArabia and #Qatar is now “better than ever in history.”

3️⃣-🔟 Image
Read 12 tweets
Jun 19, 2018
#عاجل: أمريكا أعلنت إنسحابها من مجلس حقوق الإنسان في الأمم المتحدة.
إنسحاب #أمريكا من مجلس حقوق الإنسان هو مشابه تقريبا "لإنسحابها" السابق من #اليونسكو؛ وقد يظهر بأن أسباب الإنسحاب الأخير مشابه للأول ولكن ذلك ليس بالضرورة دقيق.

السبب الظاهري لكلا الإنسحابين هو لدعم #إسرائيل ولكن لا أعتقد ذلك بخصوص الإنسحاب الأخير.

٢
ف #ترامب أبدى إستيائه بإستمرار من معظم المنظمات الدولية؛ ويشعر بأنه تم إستغلال أمريكا ماديا ومعنويا من خلال هذه المنظمات بلا وجود فائدة ملموسة لمصالح #أمريكا.
الشيء الآخر هو بسبب الإستقطاب السياسي الداخلي في واشنطن.
٣
Read 9 tweets

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