So, I warned in my quarterly Macro - that I see Russia collapse coming. And I mean, the entire country. This means: even the Russians don't want to serve anymore after the rout.
Translated: India refused to buy Russian oil for rubles. (/end). This is not a sign of confidence in Russia. Not only that, but I expect Oil to have a huge, huge correction soon. tradingview.com/x/07OSYPTt/
In sadness, a 50% drop here (possible) would be a boom for the US and death of Russia, and yet...would be a confirmation that price will go up again afterwards. So...maybe a couple years down, and then back into crazy prices.
Bitcoin has been squeezing upwards, and either longs walked away or retail is short waiting to get liquidated. Given circumstances, we will know tomorrow after #CPI reporting comes out. 23K is indeed where to watch again. tradingview.com/x/nB36h4J1/
So I would not be looking for positions of any kind until post-CPI unless you find taking losses fun.
Technically Bullish, but for how long? 🤷 #Cryptocurrency Market/#Bitcoin Analysis 9/11
So, I guess we're bullish for now. Let me add emphasis again: *FOR NOW*. 4H crossups are significant headwind for at least even short term bullishness. Follow the market.
Macro things: #Ukraine has crushed the F out of #Russia and may have turned the war. So all those macro scenarios are going to come into play very soon, be it bullish or bearish - someone is going to make a move.
Now comes the real market moves, catalysts are set . How to safely navigate what's to come! ⚠
Quarterly Global Market Analysis 9/10 -
This one is going to be big, macro, and significant. Multiple things are happening.
We have a lot of things in flux, and this is a time people are scared. It's time to focus. Not time to open your wallet, nope. But to be prepared for all possible situations ahead of us. Focuses: $CL $SPX $BTC #Ruble $RUBUSD
First, #Russia is screwed and #Ukraine made an extremely significant and successful military play. I've been writing on the professional side about how significant this is, but it cannot be understated the impact of these two countries.
ES Short Squeeze - Stock market lookin good, Crypto....eh. #Cryptocurrency#Market/#Bitcoin market analysis 9/9
So, there was a short squeeze. A really, really big one. A lot of weird crap happened, but a lot of people keep looking in the wrong place.
Why? Because it's the $SPY that gapped up on it's futures, not some magic $BTC move as BTC follows the SPY these days. tradingview.com/x/THGgHIdC/
Notice the $ES moving up here, hours before BTC follows. Why would anyone wait for this or even care? But I digress, that's not what we're here for. How is all that doing anyway?
What is this noise? #Bitcoin/#cryptocurrency market analysis 9/8
I took a day off yesterday, was too tired with life going on. #life. Anyway, let's look at the market.
First, stock market is gapping up into Friday, which usually implies one thing - an explosive Friday to come, depending on how morning goes. $SPY is about 403 overnight via ES futures, but could naturally rebound by morning or go further. Time will tell. tradingview.com/x/Uv8LtlWJ/
$BTC side : $BTC continues to rise as $BTC.D continues to drop. Pretty much zero volume behind the bounce is ultra telling so far in that people are extremely noncommittal. I think a lot of folks want to scalp a bullish high Friday, which is fine. tradingview.com/x/jckEfwXC/
We're bleeding, but not blood on the streets. #cryptocurrency market/#bitcoin Market Analysis 9/6 . Today, is well, bearish. I think some people did indeed pick up on the $1000 drop for Bitcoin that happened across about 10 minutes.
Of course, those do tend to shock people, as they are not bullish. Meanwhile, some call groups are hilariously moving the goalposts lower. "It's going to stop at 19k, no 18.8k, no 18.6k!" the word for that is #rekt.
I guess this is more like - $800 drop in 15 minutes, or $1000+ in 30 - but still, not too much of a surprise. The big part there is the volume was significant. tradingview.com/x/ZC5BxVHF/
#Cryptocurrency Market/#Bitcoin Market Analysis 9/5
I just got back from a nice vacation (Yay), so I'll keep this one short and sweet. A number of people think Oil is going to be the trigger for Bitcoin moving, and I will say it's quite silly.
Russia: "Why can't we pull out our $100b in China?" But hey you know, #BRICS ever so strong except when reality comes into play. Here's google translate:
"#China "took hostage" $ 100 billion of #Russia's reserves By investing 17% of gold reserves in the #yuan, the Central Bank stated that it was de facto impossible to withdraw money from Chinese assets. To use the yuan, you need permission from China"