Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #yuan

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🖤💜 90 Day N.CUS challenge 💙🖤

@InTheLightNCus adapted the original poster from @HANEUNTAEK for all members.

12 #NCUS posts a day for 90 days, but tbh they deserve more than that.

🖤 All my threads below 🖤
Read 601 tweets
A Thread on #China. Some data and some thoughts. I hope you find it useful.

What's different about China's GDP number?
Is China growing at 6% as it lets everyone else believe?
Can China come out of this without devaluing its currency?
1/ #China’s GDP is an input number and not an output figure like in western economies. National accounts are based on data collected by local governments which are rewarded for meeting growth targets; hence, they have an incentive to skew the data they provide to the Central Gov.
2/ Looking at different data sets one will see that #China is merely growing. PMI sentiment is falling fast; a number below 50 denotes a contraction and not an expansion as the GDP growth rate suggests. Manufacturing (49.8) & New Export Orders (48.2) have already fallen below 50.
Read 26 tweets
1) Is China’s currency undervalued like the everyone seems to believe or overvalued?

Are #China’s FX reserves sufficient to prevent a further devaluation of the #Yuan (#RMB)?

Are #China’s FX reserves what they appear to be?
2) Why would China need to clamp down capital flight if the #Yuan is undervalued and/or FX reserves are more than enough, as China claims?

#China clamps down on capital flight risk as #yuan weakens asia.nikkei.com/Business/Marke…
3) Stricter bank oversight while real estate developers will have restricted access to foreign currency bonds. If the fin system is judged to be on the brink of instability SAFE will declare the situation "abnormal" & banks will be evaluated on the #Yuan amounts wired offshore.
Read 12 tweets
#CBOE #VIX #volatility index, also known as #WallStreet's "fear gauge" records biggest one-day spike in 10 months
MSCI’s All-Country World Index, which tracks #shares across 47 countries, fell for a six straight day on Monday - marking its longest losing streak this year.
Read 10 tweets
🇺🇸 🇨🇳 *U.S. WAITING TO HEAR FROM #CHINA ON TRADE DEAL, KUDLOW SAYS - BBG
*KUDLOW EXPECTS U.S.-CHINA MEETING IN MARCH IN MAR-A-LAGO
*TRUMP, LIGHTHIZER ARE VERY CLOSE, KUDLOW TELLS CNBC
🇺🇸 🇨🇳 #CHINA WOULD HAVE TO NOTE ANY FX INTERVENTION UNDER DEAL: KUDLOW - BBG
🇺🇸 🇨🇳 *MNUCHIN SAYS #CHINA #TRADE TALKS INCLUDE 150-PAGE DOCUMENT - BBG
Read 819 tweets
Let’s Get this Chart Storm STORMING...

1/

The most optimism in over 5 years - nothing to see here
2/

Since we are on the subject of sentiment and internal health/state of the markets

This swing in the equity options markets is off the scale manic. From very high put buying to very high call buying in 2 bars!!! $SPX
3/

But that’s not all. $VIX is not agreeing with options players - so someone is wrong. Possibly the manic maniacs? Your guess is as good as ours $SPX
Read 45 tweets
🇨🇦 🇺🇸 🇨🇳 🇮🇷 #Canada arrests #Huawei’s global chief financial officer in Vancouver – The Globe and Mail
theglobeandmail.com/canada/article…
A gauge of #technology shares on the MSCI #Asia Pacific Index slid as much as 3 percent before paring some losses - Bloomberg
🇺🇸 #SPX ⬇ as much as 1.9% from Tuesday’s close, before paring some losses. Selling pressure early in the session was so intense that it forced CME Group to intermittently pause trading, according to a spokesperson for the exchange - Bloomberg
*Link: bloom.bg/2BTw5DN
Read 736 tweets
#demographics #militaries #economies #currencies
#USA
- Best demographics
- Largest military
- Largest economy
- Most used currency
- Liquid financial markets
- Open capital account
- Rule of law
- Best geography
- Can be self sufficient if required
- Not trade dependent
#USA
Top trade partners as of 30 June 2018:
- China: 15.2% (strategic competitor)
- Canada: 15.1%
- Mexico: 14.6%
- Japan: 5.1%
- Germany: 4.4%

The next 10 years could result in the below:
- Mexico (25%)
- Canada (20%
- Japan (7%)
- South Korea (5%)
- Great Britain (4%)
#USA
Bring the manufacturing (jobs) home while negatively impacting China's economy.
forbes.com/sites/kenrapoz…
cebglobal.com/talentdaily/au…
irishtimes.com/business/econo…
Read 338 tweets
ABD'nin ozellikle son donemde S.Arabistan, #Iran uzerinden sert bir dille verdigi tum mesajlarin altinda ki asil hedefi #Çin'dir..

Daha dogrusu petro-dolar ile petro-Yuan arasinda yasanan amansiz savaş..

Bu konuyu tum ayrintilariyla irdeleyerek
🔻#FLOOD'umuza🔻 baslayalim.
1-Çin ile ABD arasında yaşanan ekonomik hegemonya savaşı, 2018 yılının başlarından itibaren yeni ve daha etkili bir evreye girdi. 2000’lerden bu yana dünya hegemonyasında ekonomik üstünlüğü ele geçirmiş olan Çin, bu hegemonyasını pekiştirecek yeni adımlar attı.

#KiminBaşarısı
2-Trump,  Mart ayının ilk günlerinde, “çok aptalca olan ticaret anlaşmaları ve politikaları nedeniyle”, ABD’nin yıllık 800 milyar$ bütçe açığı verdiğini ve buna bir son vereceğini söyledi. Ardından, çelik ithalatına %25, alüminyum ithalatına ise %10 ek gümrük vergisi getirdi..
Read 65 tweets

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