Jim Baird Profile picture
Oct 15 6 tweets 6 min read
'Global food prices are once again facing upward pressure due to the record cost for shipping grain in the U.S., the source of about 20% of world exports...drought conditions have caused water levels in the Mississippi River to drop' increasing costs

asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Inflat…
2/x

And not just the Mississippi-

Drought has been a huge problem for shipping across large swaths of the northern hemisphere in 2022, impacting distribution of crops & other commodities.

#ClimateCrisis #drought #heatwave #trade
splash247.com/fiercely-hot-s…
3/x

"An unsettling drop in water levels in key European waterways has resulted in immensely strained logistics in shipping commodities throughout the continent, with barges only able to carry one-third or one-quarter of their usual cargo."

#Europe #trade
splash247.com/fiercely-hot-s…
4/x

& now:

'Due to low water level, the main Yangtze River shipping channel entered its dry season way ahead of its normal schedule... meaning the route is no longer capable of accomodating ships with larger tonnage'

#China #trade #logistics #water
scmp.com/economy/china-…
5/x

Trade is often held up as a key means through which to mitigate future food price shocks due to climate change,

but what happens when the same climate crisis driven extremes that cause food price shocks also limit trade?

#food #inflation #Traders
imf.org/en/Blogs/Artic…
6/x

We have *a lot* more drought in the future-"Scientists warn of widespread drought in the 21st century"

Which means much more of this:

Food production shocks + significantly reduced ability to redistribute available food
(+ protectionism +...)
#NEWS
phys.org/news/2022-01-s… Image

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More from @JimBair62221006

Oct 18
'U.S. winter wheat farmers plant into dust as Plains drought persists'

"It's sort of a grim situation"

#ClimateCrisis #food #inflation #VanGogh #USA
reuters.com/markets/commod…
The climate crisis is a food crisis.

And It is just ramping up.

#USA #Australia #Chad #Somalia #News #ActNow #ClimateEmergency #inflation ImageImageImageImage
'Smoke from forest & grassland fires is darkening summer skies with increasing regularity.Potato growers say yields are down by 10 to 15%'

'What makes smoke particularly worrisome is that it can affect large geographic areas, filling entire valleys'
#food
theglobeandmail.com/world/article-…
Read 4 tweets
Oct 18
❤️‍🔥Here comes trouble❤️‍🔥

flooding in Australia that "could greatly harm grain and oilseed quality"

"protracted drought" impacting Argentina corn planting

French farmers harvesting "drought-affected" maize

#VanGogh #ActNow #inflation
agriculture.com/markets/newswi…
👆My intention through my posts is to convey the immense sense of urgency we all need to have

I am actually very scared

And I am increasingly worried that our leaders remain completely oblivious, isolated in their little bubbles of yes-people

#cdnpoli
bc.ctvnews.ca/this-is-an-eme…
Our federal Tourism Minister commenting on the "million dollar" view of the north shore through a thick cloud of wildfire smoke that has been blanketing southwestern BC in the midst of an epic drought & heatwave

You can barely even see the mountains

#ClimateCrisis #Vancouver
Read 4 tweets
Oct 9
October 8 climate change & food supplement

(Supplement to Oct 4 roundup, here for reference 👇)

1/x
As scientists warn of the possibility of the collapse of civilization due to climate change due in part to the loss of societal capacity to provide basic necessities such as food and water:

-1 million impacted by flooding in central Africa (Chad) with widespread crop damage

2/x
-the EU harvests its 'drought-scarred maize crop' - "impacts of the summer drought, despite the sparse return of rainfall, have brought the yield outlook for crops to a rather uniform poor status"
-*321.6 million* acres of crops in U.S. are experiencing drought

3/x
Read 9 tweets
Oct 4
Oct 4 Climate change & food roundup

-new analysis finds climate change impacts on food security have likely been underestimated
-bad news for pollinators, which fertilise 3/4 of crops produced globally & are one of the elements not adequately accounted for in most models...
1/x
...of climate impacts on food: insects found to to be “particularly vulnerable to climate change” heat extremes
-climate change intensified typhoons & hurricanes having significant impacts on farmers in the Philippines, Canada, Puerto Rico, Florida and the Dominican Republic

2/x
-“The world is heading toward the tightest grain inventories in years despite the resumption of exports from Ukraine, as the shipments are too few and harvests from other major crop producers are smaller than initially expected.”
3/x
Read 15 tweets
Oct 2
"B.C. saw less rain in 3 months than Hurricane Ian dumped in 1 minute."

-much of BC has seen hot & dry weather served with a side of smoke, including in our beautiful temperate rainforest

Our new alien world.

#ClimateCrisis #Ian #HurricaneIan
theweathernetwork.com/ca/news/articl…
@s_guilbeault are you paying attention to the west coast?

Right now children are *again* going to school breathing smoke. The 107 & 153 AQI here are samples from the #Vancouver region this morning

A few weeks ago, we hit the purple zone (the image says it all!)

#ClimateCrisis ImageImageImage
@s_guilbeault - the deniers are out in full force

You could be doing *much* more to talk about the running impacts of the #ClimateCrisis. It is not 'just' the one off disasters as terrible as those are

Millions are now breathing smoke, more & more regularly in #BritishColumbia
Read 4 tweets
Sep 30
This study needs to be brought in front of every politician making decisions on climate change mitigation

It should be headlined in every major media outlet

The implications are stunning

1/4
#ClimateCrisis #foodsecurity #farming #agriculture #NEWS
bmj.com/content/378/bm…
What factors are 𝘯𝘰𝘵 included in most crop models?

⚠️Among many other things
-declines in pollinating insects
-nutrient reductions in staple crops
-changes in air quality
-land degradation and salinisation
-even *increasing extreme weather*

2/4
bmj.com/content/378/bm…
⚠️⚠️"Importantly, most of the excluded variables ...imply a modest to severe negative impact on agricultural production"

3/4
bmj.com/content/378/bm…
Read 5 tweets

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