Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Nov 16 26 tweets 16 min read
NEW: @DeptofDefense has "full confidence" in #Poland's investigation into the explosion that killed 2 on Tuesday - likely caused by a #Ukraine air defense missile, per @SecDef Lloyd Austin

"The world knows that #Russia bears ultimate responsibility for this incident" per Austin
NEW: #NASAMS sent to #Ukraine"are now operational & their performance so far has been very impressive" per @SecDef

Says including Tuesday's barrage from #Russia, NASAMS success rate has been 100%
#Russia "failing to achieve their operational & tactical objectives" per @thejointstaff Chair, Gen Mark Milley

"It's clear that the Russian will to fight does not match the Ukrainian will to fight"
"What they tried to do, they failed at" per Gen Milley on #Russia

But rather than end war, Milley accuses #Moscow of engaging in a "war of terror" against #Ukraine targets with "little or no military purpose"
More than 25% of #Ukraine civilians now without power due t #Russia's latest airstrikes, per Gen Milley

Milley calls the intentional targeting of civilian infrastructure a "war crime"
#Ukraine "is going to continue to take the fight to the #Russia|ns" warns Gen Milley
An integrated air & missile air defense system "is what is necessary" for #Ukraine "to continue its control of the skies" per Gen Milley

Says discussions today focused on providing #Kyiv such capabilities
#Russia is "going to continue that fight [in #Ukraine] into the winter as best we call tell" per Gen Milley

US will continue to support Ukraine "for as long as it takes" he says
The resolve of #Ukraine's allies & supporters "is high" per Gen Milley
"We will be there for as long as it takes for #Ukraine to be free" per Gen Milley
"This was most likely, most likely the result of a #Ukrainian air defense missile" per @SecDef of initial investigation into explosion that killed 2 in #Poland
Attempts were made by @thejointstaff to speak w/his #Russia|n counterpart but to no avail, per Gen Milley

#Russia's Gen Gerasimov did not take the call, Milley says
"I suspect very shortly, we will have very confirmed data" on where the missile that hit #Poland came from, per Gen Milley
"There could be a lot of activity in the winter" between #Russia-#Ukraine, once mud/ground hardens with lower temps, per Gen Milley
"I would remind everyone that this war started in February" adds @SecDef

US will do all it can to ensure #Ukraine has "the means to accomplish their goals & objectives" he adds
"The probability of #Russia achieving its strategic objectives...is close to zero" per Gen Milley

But Russia still occupies a significant amount of territory & "they still have significant combat power inside #Ukraine " he says
To expel #Russia from all #Ukraine a "very difficult task" cautions Gen Milley, even though Russia's military "is on its back...really hurting bad"

That Russian weakness could give #Kyiv an opening for successful talks for a political solution
#Russia's ability to keep prosecuting its war in #Ukraine "remains to be seen" per @SecDef, noting "staggering" losses with tanks, other equipment, & precision munitions, which could take years to recover
"I don't think this will be over any time soon" per @SecDef, noting provision of arms/capabilities from #Iran & #NorthKorea

A winter fight, though, "favors Ukraine" he says "The Ukrainians will have the upper hand" due in part to US support/winter supplies
"The #Ukrainians know that allowing them [#Russia] to rest, refit & rearm is a mistake" per @SecDef
Pentagon caution to #China & its military - "China is not going to be a better military than the #UnitedStates military is" per @thejointstaff's Gen Milley

"We will be number one 5 years from now, 10 years from now and 50 years from now" per Milley
"As long as we remain number one, then then we will deter the war that people worry about, a great power war between #China & the #UnitedStates" per Gen Milley
More: @thejointstaff chair calls #China's Xi Jinping "a rational actor"

"& I think that he would conclude that an attack on #Taiwan in the near future would be an excessive amount of risk & it would end in a ... debacle for the Chinese military" per Gen Milley
"War on paper is a whole lot different than real war" per Gen Milley

"And for someone who has for a military that hasn't fought in combat since fighting the Vietnamese in 1979, they would be playing a very very dangerous game to cross the straits & invade the island of #Taiwan"
"They [#China] don't have the experience, the background to do it. They haven't trained to it yet" per Gen Milley on any attack vs #Taiwan

"It'll be some time before the Chinese have the military capability and they're ready to do it"
#China military op to take #Taiwan would be "a geopolitical mistake, a strategic mistake similar to what the strategic mistake that #Putin has made in #Ukraine" per Gen Milley

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More from @jseldin

Nov 16
BREAKING: The 1st officer w/#China's Ministry of State Security officer ever extradited to the US to face charges of economic espionage sentenced to 20 years

Yanjun Xu was arrested in 2018 & convicted last year
"The historic sentencing of a Chinese gvt official for committing espionage against the #UnitedStates is a significant achievement & should also serve as a warning" per @FBICincinnati Special Agent J. William Rivers in statement
MORE: per @SDOHnews, a grad student from #Chicago who worked as a handler for for Yanjun Xu & who infiltrated the @USArmy as a legal alien, has also been convicted
Read 4 tweets
Nov 16
"#Russia|n cyber forces, as well as their traditional forces, underperformed" during the initial invasion of #Ukraine in February, @DeptofDefense's @MiekeEoyang tells #AspenCyberSummit

"Russia [in #cyberspace] was not prepared for the conflict to go on as long as it did"
In #Ukraine, "the context of the armed conflict dwarfs the cyber impacts" per @MiekeEoyang

"Things that Russians tried to disrupt via cyber could not actually did not have the strategic impact that they wanted & they sought to destroy those things physically"
"When you think about the cybersecurity of data centers for example it's not just abt patching & closing those things,it is abt the physical security of those data centers" per @MiekeEoyang

"It is abt whether or not those data centers are within the range of #Russia|n missiles"
Read 15 tweets
Nov 15
NEW: No confirmation yet from @DeptofDefense on reports #Russia|n missiles hit #Poland

"We do not have any information at this time to corroborate these reports" per @PentagonPresSec BrigGen Patrick Ryder, briefing reporters
"We have no information at this time to corroborate those reports...but are taking them seriously" per @PentagonPresSec

re: #Russia|n missiles striking #Poland
Impact of possible #Russia|n missile hits in #Poland - "We've been crystal clear that we will defend every inch of @NATO territory" per @PentagonPresSec, again noting the Pentagon has NOT corroborated the reports
Read 6 tweets
Nov 15
NEW: "The greatest long-term threat to out nation's ideas, innovation & economic security, our national security, is that from #China" @FBI Dir Christopher Wray tells House Homeland Security Committee
"The Chinese gvt aspires to equal or surpass the US as a global superpower & influence the world w/a value system shaped by undemocratic authoritarian ideals" per @FBI's Wray "We are confronting that threat head-on"
"The @FBI has scores of investigations open into the #China in all 56 of our field offices" per Wray
Read 17 tweets
Nov 7
NEW: US sanctions 4 members of an #ISIS in #SouthAfrica

The 4 have "provided technical, financial, or material support" per @USTreasury

8 companies controlled/directed by cell members
#SouthAfrica|n #ISIS members now under US sanctions:

-Nufael Akbar
-Yunus Mohamad Akbar
-Mohamad Akbar
-Umar Akbar

Al part of a #Durban-based cell led by Farhad Hoomer, per @USTreasury
#SouthAfrica|n companies now under US sanctions for #ISIS ties:

-MA Gold Traders
-Bailey Holdings
-HJ Bannister Construction
-Flexoseal Waterproofing Solutions
-Sultans Construction
-Ashiq Jewellers
-Ineos Trading
-Shaahista Shoes
Read 5 tweets
Nov 7
JUST IN: US "voters can have confidence in our elections and that the results will be tabulated accurately" per statement @NASSorg @NASEDorg ahead of #Election2022 Election Day
MORE: @NASSorg @NASEDorg also reminding voters to remember "operational challenges may arise"

"For example, individual polling places may experi­ence delays at opening or lines could form at certain points in the day" per statement
NEW: @NASSorg @NASEDorg telling #Election2022 voters there will be NO official winners Tuesday night (Nov. 8)

"Election night results are always un­official" per statement "This critical process is normal, as it takes time to accurately tabulate millions of ballots"
Read 5 tweets

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