#AlShabaab besieged a hotel within a mile of #Somalia’s presidential palace on November 27. The #Mogadishu attacks demonstrate that al Shabaab retains key capabilities in and around the Somali capital, writes @liam_karr. criticalthreats.org/briefs/al-qaed… 1/4 Image
The siege is the latest in a series of high-profile suicide attacks across Somalia in response to an ongoing government-led campaign to recapture al Shabaab positions in central Somalia. 2/4
Al Shabaab will likely continue to conduct suicide attacks targeting civilians in response to federal forces and local militias’ offensive against its positions in central Somalia. 3/4
@criticalthreats tracks Al Shabaab’s area of operations. Check out the interactive map here: criticalthreats.org/analysis/al-sh… 4/4

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More from @criticalthreats

Nov 30
Some Iranian protesters celebrated the US victory over #Iran in the #WorldCup. Read today’s update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar. criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-… 1/6 Image
At least nine protests took place in eight cities across seven provinces. 2/6
The #IRGC and its proxies in #Iraq threatened to incite conflict and unrest in #SaudiArabia—especially among the Shia population—likely in retaliation the alleged Saudi role in stoking protests in Iran. 3/6
Read 6 tweets
Nov 30
#Russian forces made marginal gains around #Bakhmut on November 29, but Russian forces remain unlikely to have advanced at the tempo that Russian sources claimed. Read today’s update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar. criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… 1/4 Image
#Russian forces continued to defend against #Ukrainian counteroffensive operations around Svatove as Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations around #Svatove and #Kreminna. 2/4 Image
Russian forces conducted ground attacks near #Siversk and #Avdiivka, and in western #Donetsk Oblast. 3/4 Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 29
NEW | Recent claims of Russian gains around #Bakhmut on November 27 and 28 do not portend an imminent Russian encirclement of Bakhmut. Read the full update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar:

criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… Image
#Russian forces continued efforts to defend against Ukrainian counteroffensive operations around Svatove on November 27 and 28. Image
Russian forces continued ground attacks in the Avdiivka–Donetsk City area and southwest of #Donetsk City on November 27 and 28. Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 29
NEW | The Iranian regime is coordinating with Qatari officials to suppress public acts of defiance among Iranians in Doha. Here’s what else you need to know today from CTP and @TheStudyofWar’s daily #Iran update:

criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-… Image
Anti-regime Black Reward hacker group claimed to have leaked a conversation between Basij Deputy Commander Ghassem Ghoureishi and state-affiliated media actors referencing intra-regime fissures over ongoing protests.
Social media users circulated calls for protests following the #US-Iran world cup match on November 29 although it is unclear to what extent these demonstrations will materialize.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 28
NEW | The #Russian military clearly assesses that Ukrainian forces could cross the #Dnipro River and conduct counter-offensive operations in eastern #Kherson Oblast. Read the full update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… Image
#Russian forces are fortifying their positions along critical ground lines of communications (GLOCs) in eastern #Kherson Oblast against a possible future #Ukrainian counteroffensive. Image
The #Ukrainian General Staff reported that the Russian forces along the #Svatove-Kreminna line are conducting defensive operations around #Kupyansk and offensive operations west of #Kreminna. Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 28
NEW | #Iranian regime and IRGC media channels published a video threatening to attack #Azerbaijan using rhetoric similar to that used about #Iraq during the Iran-Iraq War. Read the full update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-… (1/5) Image
#Iranian protest organization groups may be reinforcing their organizational capabilities as protest activity entered a relative lull over the past several days. (2/5)
IRGC Commander Hossein Salami warned Israel, Saudi Arabia, the US and the UK against supporting anti-regime protests in a speech to #Basij members in #Sistan and #Baluchistan Province. (3/5)
Read 5 tweets

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