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John Quakes

@quakes99

Dec 12

1) As promised, here's a thread showing how #Uranium requirements for just one typical 1000MW #Nuclear reactor in the West have increased by over 9% since #Russia invaded #Ukraine🪖 pushing up mined #U3O8 feed by nearly 20% in new enrichment contracts.🧾⛏️ Old 2021 model.👇🧵...2

@Numerco

2) For illustrative purposes I'll use Spot #Uranium & #Nuclear fuel cycle prices published by @Numerco a year ago on 16 December 2021 before #Russia's invasion🪖 when optimal tails assay was 0.146%:
#U3O8 $43.26/lb
Conversion $16.01/kgU
UF6 $129.04/kgU
SWU $56.13
👇🧵.../3

3) Plugging that data into UxC's #Nuclear Fuel Quantity & Cost Calculator🧮 to determine mined #U3O8 required for a typical 1000MW reactor using WNA's published average of 24,300 kgU of 4.5% Enriched #Uranium Product (EUP) yields 489,284 lbs #U3O8 per 1000MW (1 Gigawatt)👇🧵../4

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John Quakes

@quakes99

Nov 6

1) The #Uranium #mining #stocks #investing thesis in a nutshell🥜 is that after Fukushima the #U3O8 price sank, new mine projects were cancelled, many mines closed, investment dropped💰⤵️ as investors mistakenly thought '#Nuclear #energy is dying'🪦 but they were wrong!✖️😯../2👇

2) #Nuclear #energy has recovered over the past decade⚛️🏗️⤴️ so that #Uranium demand today is back where it was before Fukushima & surging higher.🌞 A #Nuclear revival has been underway for years📈 now kicked into high gear🏎️ by an #EnergyCrisis & #NetZero targets.🎯⚡️⏫ .../3👇

3) Rising #Nuclear fuel demand🌞⚛️🏗️⤴️ as #Uranium production declined⛏️⤵️ has led to a massive mined U supply deficit⏬ estimated last year by industry consultants at ~65M lbs #U3O8 in 2022, partially offset by ~20M lbs of 'Secondary Supply' from other non-mined sources⛏️.../4👇

Read 5 tweets

John Quakes

@quakes99

Oct 9

1) #Zaporizhzhya #Nuclear plant update: Grid power restored, all 6 reactors in cold shutdown= no fission, no possibility of runaway chain reactions, meltdowns or other severe events.🦺 Even without grid power & backup generators a radiation release is "extremely unlikely"../2🧵👇

2) #Zaporizhzhya NPP's reactors were upgraded after Fukushima⚛️🧰👷 to prevent any hydrogen explosion & radiation release💥 as happened in Japan due to the lack of a steel-reinforced concrete containment dome and passive hydrogen venting in their 1960's vintage reactors.☮️.../3👇

3)#Zaporizhzhya NPP's "passive" hydrogen safety systems require no external power so that even if backup power is lost there can be no hydrogen explosion as happened at Fukushima.🦺 ZNPP's steel-hardened sealed containment domes remove threat of #nuclear radiation "leaks"🌞../4👇

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John Quakes

@quakes99

Oct 2

1) The #Uranium #mining #stocks #investing thesis in a nutshell🥜🧵 is that after Fukushima the price of #U3O8 sank, new mine projects were cancelled, many mines closed, investment dropped 💰⤵️ as investors thought "#Nuclear #energy is dying"🪦 but they were wrong!✖️😯 .../2👇

2) #Nuclear #energy has grown steadily over past decade so that #Uranium demand today is back where it was before Fukushima.🌞⚛️🏗️↗️ A #Nuclear renaissance has been quietly underway for years📈 & has been kicked into high gear by the #ClimateCrisis & #EnergyCrisis.🏎️🏗️⏫ .../3👇

3) Rising #Nuclear demand🌞⚛️🏗️⤴️ as #Uranium supplies declined⛏️⤵️ has led to a massive mined supply deficit⏬ estimated earlier this year by industry consultants at ~65M lbs #U3O8 in 2022, partially offset by ~20M lbs of 'Secondary Supply' from other non-mined sources.⛏️.../4👇

Read 5 tweets

John Quakes

@quakes99

Sep 11

https://twitter.com/NucNetNews/status/1568923052842311683

Great news from #Ukraine😌 as all 6 reactors at #Zaporizhzhia #Nuclear plant are in cold shutdown -no fission reactions generating heat, no possibility of runaway chain reactions or other extreme events -making any "radiation release" extremely unlikely thanks to Fukushima ../2🧵

https://twitter.com/NucNetNews/status/1568923052842311683

2)Fukushima Daiichi #nuclear reactors were 1960's vintage with no steel-reinforced concrete containment. A loss of backup power led to a hydrogen explosion & radiation release. After Fukushima, ZNPP reactors were upgraded to prevent that from ever happening at #Zaporizhzhia .../3

3)#ZaporizhzhiaNPP's "passive" hydrogen safety systems require no external power so that even if all backup power is lost there can be no hydrogen explosion as happened at Fukushima.🦺 ZNPP's steel-hardened containment domes remove the threat of #nuclear radiation "leaks"🌞 ../4

Read 4 tweets

John Quakes

@quakes99

Sep 3

1)On Friday Congress was asked for $1.5 Billion in "emergency" funding for "acquisition and distribution of low-enriched #uranium(LEU) and high-assay LEU(HALEU)"🛒 "to address potential future shortfalls in access to Russian uranium and [#nuclear] fuel services"⚛️⛏️🇷🇺 A 🧵../2👇

2)US #Nuclear utilities send #Russia hundreds of $Millions per year under a "Russian Suspension Agreement" US government extended in 2020 that allows utilities to purchase & import 20% of their enriched #Uranium reactor fuel from Russia (about 10M lbs/yr #U3O8 equivalent)😯../3👇

3)US government wants to stop US #Nuclear industry from funding #Russia's war on #Ukraine but haven't yet banned the import of Russian #uranium because it would halt deliveries of 20% of US reactor fuel already in signed contracts, with alternative sources in short supply. ../4👇

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