1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on January 22, 2023
Just a quick update today as nothing really has changed for the last 36h
#Bakhmut area.
so just a gen map tonight
#UkraineMap
Just a quick update today as nothing really has changed for the last 36h
#Bakhmut area.
so just a gen map tonight
#UkraineMap
2/ Also take the opportunity to war you about several "map maker" i'm "watching" some times to times, making their "stuff".
people showing maps with you full plain color on the edge of battle area are wrong. pseudo villages "secured" is very often diluted in more complex reality
people showing maps with you full plain color on the edge of battle area are wrong. pseudo villages "secured" is very often diluted in more complex reality
3/ People showing you the exact location and advance of Russians are just using Russian direct sources for propaganda purposes & when there is a real dynamic it could trick you to believe it"s ok as it's moving on with the tide.. but i have proven this quite often in past summer
4/ this is quite heavy malpractice. and (i won't tell names, got caught several times just swallowing Russ liquor.)
Also i get the will & desire to know the exacts locations but same goes if someone, say in Mariinka, shows you "exactly' in what houses, russians are.
Heavy BS.
Also i get the will & desire to know the exacts locations but same goes if someone, say in Mariinka, shows you "exactly' in what houses, russians are.
Heavy BS.
5/ of course we all do "wrong" and all do interpretations (except when real sources about actual locations)
Also never forget we don't have all the time the plan or reasons & for example when i reported in Kherson the "poke the bear" tactic (because i was told directly) this
Also never forget we don't have all the time the plan or reasons & for example when i reported in Kherson the "poke the bear" tactic (because i was told directly) this
6/ directly influenced the way we are looking at moving "limits" (more or less in accordance to our own desires/bias etc) -
but one more time it's not about that it"s more about people using even pro real RU (like Sury...k or "Russybar-ovitch" as their primer sources or even
but one more time it's not about that it"s more about people using even pro real RU (like Sury...k or "Russybar-ovitch" as their primer sources or even
7/ worse like for the "houses" examples, using directly PMC Wagner and affiliates & all their "vid" of evidences.
i'd rather give (as told since 03 rd March first map), a little bit of delay in my map or be a bit wrong but with Ukrainians, than appears to be the absolute &
i'd rather give (as told since 03 rd March first map), a little bit of delay in my map or be a bit wrong but with Ukrainians, than appears to be the absolute &
8/ always uptodate total "badass" of map makers, but in the process being all the time in the bed of Russians !!
also & i said it months ago, i unfollowed these guys because at the end of the day, when counter attacks occurred and they are so much in "love" with their "sources"
also & i said it months ago, i unfollowed these guys because at the end of the day, when counter attacks occurred and they are so much in "love" with their "sources"
9/ like they were dead fucking wrong like for the famous #Bohorodychne #Studenok or 100 times #Severodonetsk
Anyway.. i'll do a gen tomorrow if real moves are recorded.
Anyway.. i'll do a gen tomorrow if real moves are recorded.
10/ quick recap of the week in terms of numbers & figures now :
12/ recap day / week
13/ red zone / dead zone baby (weeks vary with losses rate ratio of the week):
We are at the third scenarii now :
(and only available for "regular" remaining army in relation to my gen forecast)
We are at the third scenarii now :
(and only available for "regular" remaining army in relation to my gen forecast)
14/ about some "Epic" losses now :
last but not least one of my fav recap of the week
(we could also apply a safe 10%-20% on top of that, as we always have some delay to actual and real reports)
Spoiler alert : i'm not even sure 10 #Ukraine -nian Major, died so far.
last but not least one of my fav recap of the week
(we could also apply a safe 10%-20% on top of that, as we always have some delay to actual and real reports)
Spoiler alert : i'm not even sure 10 #Ukraine -nian Major, died so far.
15/ tomorrow i'll talk about this (my special losses assessment recap).. and maybe a "small" thread because of the recent allegation of US intel services in #Ramstein ...
16/ Also AGAIN.. someone sent me this typical RU propaganda about #Tanks #MBTs ...
remember real numbers are more typical of reality (like for S-300 of SU-57 or Armata 14)
1/3 total is maybe "out" / 3/4 of best Ru materials is gone.
also so much too say here ... so stupid.
remember real numbers are more typical of reality (like for S-300 of SU-57 or Armata 14)
1/3 total is maybe "out" / 3/4 of best Ru materials is gone.
also so much too say here ... so stupid.
15/ actually it should even look more something like that😅👊compare to their "original" claims...
and when all their "tanks" are going to be "Javelin-ized" "Stugnap-ed" "Nlaw-ed" etc.. US will still have all of his stock and same for Europe with over 3000 MBTS total)
Cry Ru!
and when all their "tanks" are going to be "Javelin-ized" "Stugnap-ed" "Nlaw-ed" etc.. US will still have all of his stock and same for Europe with over 3000 MBTS total)
Cry Ru!
21/ i missed that one.. so i paste it here : The cyborgs survived - the concrete did not. We honor the memory of the defenders of #Donetsk airport. They defended the airport for 242 days and never broke. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyborgs_%…
22/ reading some Ru Tg chanels it seems that Ru are quite extatic about recent victory past #Soledar & have new orders..
other infos from wargogo kind of confirms this a said new big attack to attack on the #Biholorivka area to finally take it all to #Seversk and "close the deal"
other infos from wargogo kind of confirms this a said new big attack to attack on the #Biholorivka area to finally take it all to #Seversk and "close the deal"
23/ This : and also 5 Oblasts at least under attacks right now !
some explosions already
some explosions already
https://twitter.com/pravda_eng/status/1617243324900937728
24/ hey #France & #Germany
#MORROCO already has sent some of their tanks !
let that sink in...
#MORROCO already has sent some of their tanks !
let that sink in...
https://twitter.com/uawarinfo/status/1617227449690988545
25/ "other measures that we are working on secretly."................. secretly 🥹🥹
https://twitter.com/ukraine_world/status/1617206190697775106
26/ last subject of the day : i did not mentionned or talked that much about all the #Zaporizhia #Zaporijia fuzz because i think this was only :
- bc they were "forced"
- to probe Ukr defense & analyze their reactions (gather intel) until they really receive major reinforcements.
- bc they were "forced"
- to probe Ukr defense & analyze their reactions (gather intel) until they really receive major reinforcements.
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