EUROPE'S MAGICAL STRATEGIC THINKING AND MAIN BATTLE TANKS -- thread:

There was and is a paradox, if not absurdity, in the long slowness and continuing partiality of #WesternEurope's decision to provide #Ukraine with #mainbattletanks (#MBTs). /1
@Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @EPC_CPE_News @UA_22_Ukraine @H__Ukraine @StimmeUkraine @DUF_Forum @CPD_UA @worldoftanks @AugenGeradeaus These vehicles - more so than most other conventional military technology - were once built and commissioned for a potential fight against Moscow's #imperialism in #Europe - rather than for usage against other potential enemies or for peace-keeping missions around the world. /2
Then, the moment came for these machines to be used for what they had been initially constructed and purchased - rather than being, as hitherto, simply decommissioned and scrapped. /3

#StandWithUkraine️
Yet, it took West European states almost a year to make the decision to allow employment of the MBTs for what they were always meant to do. /4

#RussianUkrainianWar #WarInUkraine
To be sure, even as Europe's largest war since 1945 continues unabated, most European main battle #tanks will nevertheless be, as for decades before, decommissioned and scrapped -- without ever having seen real action on a #battlefield. /5

#UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineRussianWar
The Ukrainian army meanwhile will continue be underarmed in its fight against the same Moscow imperialism that was the reason to build the thousands of European tanks currently in service, in the first place. /END

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More from @UmlandAndreas

Jan 20
While Germany has recently provided significant help to Ukraine, Berlin has also significant historical responsibility vis-a-vis Kyiv. In 1941-44, Germany devastated Ukraine. Since 2014, Berlin has indirectly helped Moscow to devastate Ukraine,.../1
@DUHK_2020 @DGO_Berlin @dgapev
@DUHK_2020 @DGO_Berlin @dgapev @Konflikt_Sicher @FiS_Heidelberg @VitscheBerlin @StimmeUkraine @GermanyinUA @UKRinDEU @DUF_Forum @DerDuod @GERonOstpolitik @VHDtweets ...with its long-lasting energy and modernization partnerships with Putin's regime. To permit other Europeans to give their German tanks to Ukraine is the least what Berlin can, in view of such responsibility, do today for Kyiv. /END
#StandWithUkraine #Vergangenheitsbewältigung
Read 9 tweets
Jan 14
On the Purpose of #ArmsDeliveries to Kyiv: #Ukraine's #liberation demands #Russia's #humiliation - THREAD:
The primary function of good and numerous #offensiveweapons for #Ukraine is not military and bellicose, but political and pacifying. /1
@SCEEUS_UI @UISweden @rightsinrussia
The purpose of #Ukrainian #battletanks, #fighterplanes, long-range #missiles, etc. is to make Russia's #defeats humiliating. Only disasters on the #battlefield in Ukraine and frequent hits against supply lines within #Russia will make many #Russians rethink... /2
...the legitimacy and utility of the "#SpecialMilitaryOperation" and #PutinRegime. Once this happens, much of the occupied territories will be surrendered by #Russian troops to Kyiv and not have to be recaptured by #Ukrainian troops. /END
Read 4 tweets
Jan 8
Commenting thread on the below and similar analyses:
There is too much emphasis, in many assessments of #Russia's 2014-15 & 2022 invasions of #Ukraine, on allegedly fundamental or even fatal mistakes made in these decisions by #Putin & his entourage. /1 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/13…
The ideological predisposition towards an irredentist revanche, in the neo-Soviet & -Tsarist elite of #Russia, has been strong since the 1990s. This imperial drive was waiting to become unleashed, and has been marginally contained by rational calculus & strategic deliberation. /2
It was looking for different ad hoc opportunities rather than developing competing long-term #strategies to become implemented. Soft, dark, sharp and other forms of non-military power instruments were only applied to the degree that they could replace traditional #hardpower. /3
Read 6 tweets
Jan 6
THREAD -- Antworten auf vier Interviewfragen zur #Krimfrage:
Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie, dass die ukrainische Armee eine Gegenoffensive auf der #Krim in den kommenden Wochen/Monaten vollzieht? /1
@SCEEUS_UI @DUF_Forum @crimeaplatform @Konflikt_Sicher @DGO_Berlin @DerDuod
@SCEEUS_UI @DUF_Forum @crimeaplatform @Konflikt_Sicher @DGO_Berlin @DerDuod @GSPSipo @TerekMedia @StimmeUkraine @UkraineworldD @ukrainian_week @DUHK_2020 @VitscheBerlin @FiS_Heidelberg @krus_stern Es wird womöglich weiteren Beschuss von Militäranlagen - insbesondere Flugplätze, die #Kertschbrücke und Raketenbasen - geben. Jedoch scheint mir eine Landoffensive auf die #Krim zunächst unwahrscheinlich.... /2
Zuerst müsste die russisch besetzte Landverbindung von der #Krim zum #Donbas beseitigt werden. Der Isthmus von #Perekop zwischen der Festlandukraine und Krim kann von #Russland womöglich lange gehalten werden... /3
Read 13 tweets
Dec 23, 2022
Congratulations to the writers of #VolodymyrZelenskyy's excellent speech! While most people lionize now #Zelenskyy​, I do not think that another president of #Ukraine would have been much worse. /1 - THREAD
Imagine #VolodymyrZelenskiy​ had not entered the presidential race and there had been a different contest and election in early 2019. /2
If, for instance, #PetroPoroshenko​, #YuliiaTymoshenko​, #AnatolyyHrytsenko​, #VitaliKlitschko​, or another of the more feasible candidates had become Ukrainian president, this would have changed little in the subsequent course of events. /3
Read 6 tweets
Dec 19, 2022
THREAD ON INTERNATIONAL SECURITY: Every additional Russian missile or drone hitting Ukrainian civilian buildings or critical infrastrucure has wider implications for Europe and the world. /1
(Picture: Summer 2019 @vostoksos mission: Recording gunfire at the Donbas contact line.)
The March 2022 decision by #NATO to reject #Ukraine's request for a #NoFlyZone was taken quickly & resolutely. However, deeper repercussions of this seemingly clear-cut case have remained under the radar screen. What Kyiv wanted was not NATO's active participation in the war. /2
Instead of inviting an out-of-area mission comparable to NATO's bombing of Serbia in 1999, the Ukrainian request for a #NoFlyZone was about protection from rather than an attack on Russia. It would be a bilateral agreement between Brussels & Kyiv regarding Ukraine's territory. /3
Read 15 tweets

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