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May 15 11 tweets 9 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The Spring update of @CrisisGroup's European Union Watch List is here.

Read on for recommendations from our analysts around the globe on how the EU can enhance prospects for peace in the #Sahel, #Kosovo and #Serbia, #Pakistan and #LatinAmerica:…

🧵: 1/11 Image
The report starts with an introduction by @CrisisGroup CEO & President @EroComfort, where she highlights the role the EU can play in #Sudan, particularly by deterring outside actors from getting sucked into the fighting.…
.@EroComfort also writes about the EU's current top security priority: backing Ukraine to defend itself.

And even as the EU and member states continue supporting Ukraine, they should signal to Moscow that a path toward a negotiated settlement or ceasefire remains possible.
Globally, @EroComfort stresses that Europe should pay even greater attention to the cumulative economic effects of the war, sanctions on Russia and the COVID-19 pandemic.

Also high on the agenda of EU foreign ministers is China.
Treading the right line in Europe's relations with Beijing – one that is realistic about the importance of trade and global problem-solving with China while clear-eyed about the challenge a more assertive Beijing poses – is one of the EU's biggest test, concludes @EroComfort.
Turning to the #Sahel, the @CrisisGroup Watch List looks at why the European Union and its member states should maintain dialogue with authorities in #Mali and #BurkinaFaso.


On that front, we recommend that the EU: Image
Relations between Europe and #Iran are more fraught than ever. Yet the EU should reinvigorate its efforts to contribute to reducing frictions in the region.


To that end, @CrisisGroup suggests that the EU: Image
After helping to calm tensions between #Kosovo and #Serbia, the European Union is now struggling to further defuse emerging disputes.


Here’s how it can make a difference in the region: Image
The Watch List also identifies ways the European Union and its member states could help countries in Latin America tackle the rise in violence linked to organised crime.


@CrisisGroup recommends that the EU: Image
Finally, the Watch List examines how the EU can help #Pakistan confront its spiralling and interconnected political, economic and climate-related crises.


It’s vital that the EU steps in to offer assistance on all three fronts: Image
We @CrisisGroup believe the Watch List can help the European Union make a difference in the areas cited above, with policy guidance from the report.

Read the full update for more information, analysis and a deep-dive into our recommendations.…

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More from @CrisisGroup

Jan 6
In 2022, Russia’s war in Ukraine overshadowed much of global politics and other conflicts exacted a high toll, with the number of people fleeing violence reaching a new high.

But there’s also been good news!

Here are @CrisisGroup's 10 reasons to be hopeful in 2023 ⬇️ Image
1️⃣ The deal between 🇪🇹Ethiopia's government and Tigray leaders could end one of the world’s bloodiest conflicts and offer relief to millions in northern Ethiopia. Plenty could still go wrong, but any lull in the horrific violence is good news.…
2️⃣ After 3 years of tension, 🇨🇴 Colombia and 🇻🇪Venezuela finally restored one of Latin America’s most important bilateral relations, providing opportunities to address ongoing security and humanitarian issues at the border.…
Read 11 tweets
Jan 2
2022 was a year of horrible bloodshed for many countries.

For 2023, we compiled a list of 10 conflicts to watch – in partnership with @ForeignPolicy.

🧵 [1/12]…
1️⃣ #Ukraine 🇺🇦

After nearly a year of fighting, there is no end in sight for the war in Ukraine.

The West should continue its balancing act of backing Kyiv while avoiding a direct clash with Russia and keeping the door open to negotiations.
2️⃣ #NagornoKarabakh 🇦🇲- 🇦🇿

Neither Russian nor Western-sponsored talks have brought the sides closer to a sustainable agreement and clashes have continued.

The failure of talks could well result in renewed war.
Read 12 tweets
Dec 1, 2022
After a three-year rupture marked by vitriol, #Colombia and #Venezuela have resumed diplomatic relations.

Our newest report argues that, above all, the détente should generate significant benefits for citizens of both countries.

THREAD [1/6] 🧵👇…
Rebuilding trust and redressing bilateral tensions will take time.

Coordination in health, security, trade, consular and other matters is vital to protecting public well-being, especially of #Venezuelan migrants and refugees in #Colombia. [2/6]…
Negotiations with the #ELN, which restarted on 21 November, will depend to an extent on support from #Venezuela’s government, which is a guarantor and host of the talks but may be reluctant to terminate its partnership with the rebels. [3/6]…
Read 6 tweets
Nov 30, 2022
🇭🇹1. The political crisis and gang violence in #Haiti are generating shortages and making basic products impossible to afford.

@ICGlatam is currently in #PortAuPrince and this is some of what it has seen of this escalating humanitarian crisis. 🧵👇…
⛽️2. In mid-September, the G9 gang group blocked @TVarreux in #PortAuPrince, the country's main oil terminal. For 2 months, fuel could only be found in the informal market, where the price per gallon exceeded $30 USD (5,000 gourdes).
🚔3. On 3 November @PrimatureHT announced that @pnh_officiel had recovered @TVarreux. Although distribution to stations was restored days later, the gangs still control transportation routes and hinder the supply of fuel in the north and south of the country.
Read 8 tweets
Nov 30, 2022
#Russia’s attack on #Ukraine has put tremendous strain on the @OSCE.

Yet the organisation has unique value for European & Eurasian security.

With foreign ministers meeting in #Lodz tomorrow, here is how states can preserve the #OSCE:

Russia’s attack on Ukraine challenges the #OSCE’s viability as an organisation built to promote cooperative security arrangements between Russia and the West.
The situation is quite dire: the war has reinforced political blockages and upended #OSCE’s field operations in #Ukraine.

Some observers predict the organisation’s demise, citing its inability to promote security in Europe.
Read 15 tweets
Nov 28, 2022

How could the #MidtermElections impact U.S. foreign policy?

With @CrisisGroup experts @itbriscoe, @mwhanna1, @amanda_hsiao & @OlyaOliker.

Follow this 🧵 for key quotes and takeaways.

Or tune in to our YouTube live stream 👇
“If something changes U.S. policy on the war in #Ukraine it’s not going to be pressure from Congress, it’s going to be events on the ground,” argues @OlyaOliker.
“We’ve already seen criticism from Republicans that the current administration has been ‘weak’ on #China,” says @amanda_hsiao.

Join the conversation 👇
Read 7 tweets

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