🧵A few thoughts about situation in and around #NagornoKarabakh (NK) today. 1⃣ Azerbaijan's large-scale military operations today come amid a 10 month blockade of NK, ethnic Armenians in the territory lack all basic products, with hunger having set in about a month ago. Queues for bread, almost no medicines, all stores closed, no products to buy.

🧵(Long thread) - #Armenia's current govt making a 180º turn in foreign politics, burning all bridges in relation to their bilateral relation with #Russia. Overtly opting for a pro-NATO and western stance. Major geopolitical changes possibly underway in the South Caucasus. Armenia's govt barred persona non-grata Viktor Krivopuskov, President of the Russian-Armenian Friendship and Cooperation Society, also author of "Rebellious Karabakh". He arrived at Yerevan’s airport on 24 August, only to be barred entry.

Source: ria.ru/20230825/otkaz…

BREAKING - "they are shooting at us, at our cars probably, we are here in our trenches waiting for information to move back to our cars and leave..."

EU observer mission to #Armenia in Verin Shorzha village reports coming under fire from #Azerbaijan's positions near Kelbajar. https://t.co/rDm7pHVCtO

https://twitter.com/EUmARMENIA/status/1691433631414124545

#Azerbaijan's MoD denies reports of targeting EU observer mission, calling it misinformation from the Armenian side.

Source: mod.gov.az/az/news/mudafi…

🧵Nasosnaya Airbase housing Mig-29s near Baku, #Azerbaijan undergoing renovations, a second 2500-metre runway being built, first one being extended from 2300 to 3000 metres. As of 25 January 2023, the airbase appears inoperable due to ongoing construction. Back in July 2020, just before the war in Nagorno Karabakh, what appear to be Turkish T-300 Kasırga missiles were seen on the tarmac being offloaded at this airbase.

https://twitter.com/NKobserver/status/1288194216192020483?s=20&t=JSzccTuZ4A2HPZQbV7HgKw

A few comments on the current situation in and around #NagornoKarabakh:

#Armenia #Azerbaijan 1⃣ The territory of what remains of de facto Nagorno Karabakh (NK) after the 2020 War, and more so this past month, is without a doubt one of the most internationally isolated areas in the world. With a post-2020 ethnic Armenian population of around 120,000, inside what...

🧵MAJOR – New details on Azerbaijan’s offensive into Karabakh during the 2020 war revealed in a private telephone conversation by a vice-commander (Babek Semidli). Just posted by non-state affiliated @MeydanTV in Azeri.

Source:

#Azerbaijan #Karabakh PRELUDE – Col Semidli was vice-Commander of Azerbaijan’s 1st Army Corps during the 2020 Karabakh war (Terter-Martakert front), this conversation occurred a few days before he was killed by a land mine 2 weeks after the war, speaking with an unknown/undisclosed individual.

We've confirmed the location of the pontoon bridges during the IRGC military exercises (see retweet below👇): They are along #Iran's border with #Azerbaijan's Nakhichevan exclave, near the largest military base in the south of the exclave, in Julfa, across from Jolfa (Iran).

https://twitter.com/NKobserver/status/1582913234998525953

A closer look shows this small plot of land being the area where IRGC hardware and transport lorries had crossed.

Some footage circulating on Azeri social media of the ongoing attacks inside Armenia:

#Azerbaijan #Armenia Here, a UAV targets what was previously known to be an S-300 base near Armenia's southern city of Goris, about 10 km from the new border.

Location:
google.com/maps/place/39%…

#Armenia's Defence Ministry spokesman also provided a press brief, with the following highlights:



#azerbaijan #Azerbaijan's armed forces suddently opened fire along several segments of the border with #Armenia with UAVs, artillery and mortars, directed towards Armenian military positions near Sotk, Vardenis, Goris, Kapan, Artanish, Ishkhanasar. Civilian infrastructure is also targeted.

THREAD - Some highlights from #Azerbaijan's Defence Ministry spokesperson during a press brief on the latest military operations in #Armenia:

"Armenian units along the Kelbajar, Lachin and Daskesen border areas opened fire on Azeri positions, under the cover of darkness, some carried out minelaying operations near Azeri positions and roads connecting them."

Dangerous situation in the South Caucasus: with #Russia tied up in the #Ukraine, lots of media attention on developments there this past week, the South Caucasus appears all but stable 2 years after the war in #NagornoKarabakh, #Armenia proper now appears in the crosshairs.

https://twitter.com/NKobserver/status/1568774374945169413

#Azerbaijan's leadership officially demanding a corridor through southern #Armenia towards its Nakhichevan exclave, Armenian not so clear on their stance at times, #Iran stating it will provide one through its own territory... a lot of speculation on this topic.

🧵THREAD - Latest ceasefire violation breach in #NagornoKarabakh and reports of #Azerbaijan attempting incursions in several areas along the line-of-contact (LoC), what we know so far:

#Armenia 1- At 20:09 hours on 1 August, Karabakhi officials reported that Azeri units opened fire on their military positions along the north and northwestern segments of the LoC, stating they thwarted several incursions. Russian peacekeepers were notified.

1.facebook.com/artsakhdefence…

BREAKING - #Russia MoD reports #Azerbaijan violated ceasefire agreement in Yarimji, Martakert area #NagornoKarabakh advancing positions, subsequently retreated as a result of negotiations as reported by NK. (2)

1.mil.ru/russian_peacek…
2.facebook.com/ArtsakhInforma…
#armenia This is the 4th incident of #Russia's Defence Ministry reporting a ceasefire violation incident in #NagornoKarabakh since 09 August 2021, all 4 were by #Azerbaijan.

What's being violated according to Russian authorities is the 9 November 2020 ceasefire Agreement.

1/11 - These past 2 weeks some unprecedented developments have taken place directly related to #NagornoKarabakh (NK):

▪️#Armenia-#Azerbaijan leaders meet EU counterpart
▪️Direct phone call between Armenia-Azerbaijan MFAs
▪️Minsk Group essentially disappears
▪️...
#russia 2/11 - On 06 April Arm. and Az. leaders meet w/ their EU counterpart, goal to create a bilateral committee for border delimitation (straying away from a trilateral one with Russia as mediator). NK did not appear to occupy a significant place in the discussions. (1, 2)

THREAD -1/18 - #Russia and #Azerbaijan sign a 40-point declaration forming a strategic alliance for coop. in economic, military, cultural, political and security fields, among others (1). What could this mean for #NagornoKarabakh?

1.kremlin.ru/supplement/5777
#armenia #ukraine 2/18 - The declaration, based on the 1997 Friendship agreement, 2008 Strategic Partnership and the 2018 economic cooperation agreement, but goes more in detail. It shares many parts of the previous texts, but elaborates further...

Here are maps (in Russian, some translated by us) of the Russian peacekeeping force deployment in #NagornoKarabkah in chronological order starting from 11 November.

Sources: Russia's Defence Ministry (unless otherwise mentioned)

#russia #armenia #azerbaijan #turkey 11 November - 1960 servicemen , 90 armoured transport vehicles, 380 support vehicles to be deployed from the 15th Motorised Aleksander Brigade.

#NagornoKarabkah #Russia #Armenia #Azerbaijan #Turkey

Putin gives an interview providing details on the situation in #NagornoKarabakh. He touches upon history and geopolitics, all the way down to the joint Turkish-Russian peacekeeping mission. Here are some highlights:


#azerbaijan #armenia #russia #turkey Putin - "The most important thing about the ceasefire is that we stopped the bloodshed, officially around 4000 people were killed, but I believe it was even more, thousands of wounded… this isn’t a film, this is a tragedy that takes place in the life of concrete people”

1/5 - Turkish parliamentarian of Azeri origen from Igdir, Sinan Oğan, briefs Azerbaijan's Ictimai TV on Turkey's decision to send troops to Azerbaijan, here are some highlights from what he said: (see thread)



#nagornokarabakh #azerbaijan #turkey #armenia 2/5

-We [Turkey's Parliament] have adopted decisions to send troops to different countries, but none were as important as this motion [decision].

-Just as we helped our brother Azerbaijan 100 years ago, we'll help them again today if needed.

#Russia using sappers to clean up munitions along Lachin corridor linking Armenian-controlled #NagornoKarabakh with #Armenia, aiding with return of refugees/displaced persons. Crossroads to Shushi/a pictured with @ICRC vehicles. (google.com/maps/place/39%…)

#Russia Defence Ministry releases more footage of military gunships escorting members of the peacekeeping forces from Yerevan, #Armenia to #NagornoKarabakh. More BTR armoured transports seen.

#Azerbaijan

BREAKING - #Armenia Prime Minister signs statement handing over territories under de facto #NagornoKarabakh authorities to #Azerbaijan. Here is the text point-by-point:

1.ru.armeniasputnik.am/karabah/202011…
#russia #turkey 1. Full ceasefire declared starting 01:00 hours 10 November, Armenia and Azerbaijan remain in the positions they [currently] occupy

1/3 - New #Armenia MoD shows UAV coordination (very likely Russian-made Orlan-10) with artillery targeting Azeri units near Karintak-Shushi/a. Apparently the 2nd video showing such a UAV during the war. (see thread)


#nagornokarabakh #azerbaijan #russia 2/3 - Comparing the screenshots below, it is probably an Orlan-10 UAV, the previous video was on 4 November(. Screen configurations a bit modified on Russian video, but overall looks similar and consistant with other open-source reports of Orlan-10 use.