•Rates and valuations are high
•Looming recession
•Geopolitical tensions ↑
•Very Bearish Gravestone doji on Friday
•More rates coming
•Market is extremely overbougth
•Dollar is going ↑
•Rates and valuations are high
•Looming recession
•FOMC: FED will be hawkish
•Geopolitical tensions are increasing
•Earnings will be low
•Macro enviroment is ugly
•Layoffs are increasing
•Rates and valuations are high
•Looming Recession
•Geopolitical tensions are increasing
•Earnings will be low
•Macro enviroment is ugly
•Layoffs are increasing
•Recession is just around the corner
• Rates and valuations are high
• Geopolitical tensions
• Friday, stocks rise on low volume
• Earnings will be low
•China Covid shutdown hurt earnings
• Market is overbougth
• #VVIX is rising
If you haven't read it
From our newsletter:
$DJI
"Last Friday it managed - just like the $DJT and $IWM - to make a solid upward breakout... did so on high volume... close above the 20, 50, 100 and 200DMA.
All indicates that this will most likely be the way forward for the #SPX"
" #DJT made an excellent breakout and closed above 20 and 100DMA. It closed right at its 50DMA. Bullish action from a leading indicator. $DJT will have to surpass the conjunction of 50DMA and 200DMA next week, in order to validate more upward moves"
It did that yesterday
•Recession is around the corner
• Rates ↑
• Geopolitical tensions
•CPI is coming
• Bearish monthly engulfing candle on the main indexes
• Charts of market leaders are broken
•Bearish flag on the index charts
$SPX has been trapped in a Noise Box for the past 14 days
As at other times patience pays: whichever side SPX breaks out of the box will be followed by a big move
A great trading opportunity
👁️👁️Volume has been higher on bullish days and SPX closed above 20DMA
#SPX#ES $SPY
We should look at the indices that have led the recent moves up and down: $DJI, $IWM, $DJT, #S5TH.
The #DJI has a more defined Noise Box. It broke out of it last Friday, and did so on higher volume, closing above 50DMA and 20DMA. Bullish, DJI should continue up on Monday
$SPX
Dec 18, 2022 • 5 tweets • 5 min read
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here
TODAY IN THE MARKETS
$SPX
A low #CPI triggered a 114-point jump that took it above the dominant trendline. At the open, sell orders above that level initiated a pullback that took it 126 points down to the 20DMA
Not what we would call a 1-day reversal, more upside to come #SPX
$DIA
Same picture for #DIA, sell orders above Dec 1 high pushed the #DJI lower
It went down after an impressive initial rally
Bounced from 20DMA
• Rates, inflation, dollar, employment ↑
• Geopolitical tensions
• $VIX above TL and 20DMA
• All indices broke below 20DMA
• Negative #Gamma regime
• Dealers are now net short
•Quadruple witching: large negative stack at 3900
$ES_F $SPX $SPY
Dec 9, 2022 • 4 tweets • 4 min read
$SPX #0DTE scanner and $GEX charts from @TradeVolatility
3900 puts and 4000 calls continue to attract the highest number of bets
4000 call has the largest volume change
The struggle area now: 3950/3960
The safest 0DTE play is selling the 3900/4000 strangle for $1.50 #SPX#ES
We are going to sell the 3935/4000 strangle for $4.25
• Rates, inflation, dollar, employment ↑
• Geopolitical tensions
• $VIX at support, #SPX at resistance
• $VVIX is extremely oversold
• #Nasdaq composite rejected at 100DMA
• Dealers are now net short
• $DJT is lagging $DJI
$ES_F $SPX $SPY
Nov 27, 2022 • 5 tweets • 6 min read
Our weekly NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take is here
For more info read our newsletter coming out tomorrow morning before the open
•High rates, inflation, dollar
•Powell, and 8 more FEDs are coming
•Geopolitical tensions
• $VIX, $VVIX extremely oversold
• $FAANG struggling with 50DMA
• #Nasdaq rejected at 100DMA
• $RUT under 200DMA
• Short sellers at $SPX 200DMA
$ES_F
Nov 20, 2022 • 4 tweets • 6 min read
Our weekly NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take is here
For more info read our newsletter coming out tomorrow morning before the open
•High rates, inflation & dollar
•Hawkish #FED minutes coming
•Geopolitical tensions
• $VIX, $VVIX at support
• $FAANG struggling with 50DMA
• #Nasdaq rejected at 100DMA and it's back below 200WMA
•Dealers are near net short
•High inflation, and high dollar
•Rising Interest rates
•Recession
•Geopolitical tensions
•FMOC
• $VIX $ $VVIX near important support
•Indices are near important resistance levels
•Earnings won't be good
•Commodities/Oil are down
•Succesfull retest of June lows
• $SPX Bullish weekly candle in higher volume
• $DJI and $IWM to continue leadership
•Indices broke above 50DMA
•Solid support at 3740
•Breadth indicators are bullish
•High inflation, and high dollar
•Rising Interest rates
•Recession
•Geopolitical tensions
•Negative $Gamma regime
•$VVIX near important support
•3800 will be strong resistance
•Tech Earnings won't be good