Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #ES_F

Most recents (24)

NEXT WEEK

The Bear's Take:

•USA #recession is coming
•Bearish daily candlesticks on $SPX and $NDX
#NDX negative divergences with classic Indis
•Leaders are overextended and some are starting to break
#JPM collar will stop any #SPX advance at 4320

#SPX #ES_F $SPX $SPY
NEXT WEEK

The Bulls' Take

•Breakout of 4200 confirmed
•Momentum is bullish
•Market breadth improved
• $SPX now in official bull market
•Dealers increased their long positions again
#Gamma is positive
- #CPI will be lower
- #Fed to pause

#ES #SPX $SPY #0dte #options
NEXT WEEK

Our Take

• Markets are at strong resistance levels, we are expecting a pullback
• Volatile week ahead
• A likely visit to 4220
• Expecting 4320 to stop any $SPX advance
•Expecting #smallcaps to outperform
#CPI maybe higher, but downtrending

#SPX $SPY $ES_F
Read 4 tweets
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's Take:

•Germany is in recession
#USA #recession is coming
•Spinning top on Nasdaq
#NDX negative divergences with classic indis
•Leading stocks are overextended
•Breadth Negative divergences
•4300 is strong resistance

#SPX #ES_F $SPX $SPY #0dte
NEXT WEEK

The Bulls's Take

•Daily, weekly and monthly bullish candlestick with high volume
•Big bullish action on Friday, with Breadth Thrust
• $SPX broke important levels on high volume
•Bullish momentum
•Dealers increased their long positions
•Positive #Gamma

#SPX $SPX
NEXT WEEK

Our Take

•Momentum is bullish, but indices are near resistance
•A likely visit to 4220 in the next two weeks is expected
•Hard to see a solid break above 4300 this week
•Expecting good performance from the #smallcaps this week

#SPX $SPY $ES_F $SPY #trading
Read 4 tweets
Turning $5,000 -> $84,000 in 3 months with Futures

I am going to RESTART THIS CHALLENGE with YOU

This is how I started off with a small account not trading #options

Here is my A to Z Guide🧵👇
I traded $SPY using futures contracts #ES_F #MES_F

Why Futures?
1 - No Decay
2 - Ability to enter trades overnight and after hours
3 - Cheaper taxes
4 - Ability to scale up fast

Full Course:
The KEY to GROWING a small account is executing a ROUTINE over and over again with LOW risk and HIGH reward

This is the EXACT routine I used to take 5k to 84k trading $SPY I show everything here no strings attached for FREE

Read 8 tweets
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

•Unresolved Debt ceiling
•Friday's negative day and bearish candlesticks
• Several neg. divergences
•Leading stocks reversed
#VVIX bullish engulfing candle and #VIX1D daily higher highs higher lows points to more vol ahead
•GDP maybe ↓

$SPX
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

• Indices up week on high volume
•Buy the dip: Bullish action
•Volatility indicators are subdued
• $NDX, $FAANG, $SMH in good health
• $SPX, $NDX higher highs and higher lows
•Market broke out above resistance
•Breadth thrust last Wednesday
#SPX
NEXT WEEK

Our take

•Debt ceiling will be solved
#PCE will come lower
#GDP will be OK
•Breakout zone is likely to be retested this week
•Price is firmly in positive Gamma
•We remain cautious due to still internal market weakness

#ES_F #Options #Trading $SPY #SPX $SPX
Read 5 tweets
...primo tentativo SOW Image
...secondo tentativo SOW Image
Read 9 tweets
What to join my free private Twitter that goes over #ES_F #SPX and $SPY when requested?

Then all I ask, is that you take the time to complete the 2 very simple tasks below.
Task # 1 - click on @StoughtonCharts and follow it Image
Task #2 - once you have a follow pending, message me here on @Matt_Stoughton. Image
Read 4 tweets
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

•Monthly close on lighter volume
•Negative divergences from classic indicators
•Tough talk from FEDs
•Inflation is sticky, rates ↑
#Recession is here
#GDP
•Leading indicators ↓
#AAPL earnings ↓
•Big #Gamma at 4000

$SPX #SPX
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

#SPX printed back-to-back Marubozu candlesticks
•Green week with higher volume
•Green month with candlestick body above the previous one
•Return to positive #Gamma regime
•Buy the dip: Bullish price action
•Breadth improvement

#ES_F $SPY $ES_F
NEXT WEEK

Our take

• +Open on Sunday, and eventually on Monday; possible mid-session/afternoon pullback, close near flat
•Market to move ↑ or slightly ↓ ahead of FOMC
-•#Semis will improve pushing↑
#SPX to hit 4195
#FOMC: shake out/not kill current ↑trend

#ES_F
Read 4 tweets
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

•Upward momentum is lost
•Negative divergences and sell signals from classic indicators
•Big weekly bullish enfulfing candle on $VVIX
•Weekly bearish haramis on major indices
•Inflation is sticky, higher rates coming
#Recession is here

#ES_F
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Major indices printed weekly higher lows and higher highs
• $VIX continues in strong downtrend
• Leading stocks holding support
•Dealers are holding net long positions
•Positive Gamma regime
•Buy the dip: Bullish price action

#ES_F #SPX $SPY
NEXT WEEK

Our take

•The market will stay in the current range (4100/4160) through Tuesday
•Nothing has broken yet, we remain cautiously bullish, but moving up our flip levels (↑↓)
•Earnings will help float the market, but could be mixed

#ES_F #SPX $SPX #options $SPY
Read 4 tweets
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info read our newsletter

The new issue will be out in the morning before the open

Stay ahead, subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES #options #Futures
@UnrollHelper
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

•Market is in decreasing weekly volume
•High yields
•Looming #Recession
•Geopolitical and geo-economic tensions are on the rise
•Valuations are high
#Inflation is sticky
•Higher rates for longer
•Small-caps are lagging behind

#ES_F #SPX
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Bullish daily, weekly and monthly candles
•Momentum is up
•Tech is leading
•Sucessful retest of breakout zones
#NDX made new higher low and higher high
#SPX made new higher low

#ES_F #SPX $SPY $SPX #trading
Read 6 tweets
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info read our newsletter

The new issue will be out tomorrow before the open
Stay ahead, subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES #options #Futures $Gamma
@UnrollHelper
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:
•Market is up in decreasing weekly volume
•Market is overbought
•High yields
•Looming #Recession
•Geopolitical and geo-economic tensions are on the rise
#Inflation is sticky
•Higher rates for longer
•Small-caps are lagging behind

#ES_F #SPX
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Bullish daily, weekly and monthly candles
•Momentum is up
•Tech is leading
•Sucessful retest of breakout zones
#NDX made new higher low and higher high
#SPX made new higher low

#ES_F #SPX $SPY $SPX #trading
Read 5 tweets
This is the start of Drip Drops Knowledge!

Remember to hit that follow button if you like the content.

#SPY #SPX $ES_F #QQQ #futurestrading #OptionsTrading #options Image
The first official Knowledge Drop. $GME reported earnings last night and is up over 50% this morning. A short float of 24% (as reported by #Ortex) might have something to do with that. Breakdown in slide, follow me for weekly Knowledge Drops!

#GME #ShortSqueeze Image
Last week, I discussed the concept of a “short squeeze.” This week let’s look at the dynamics of dealer hedging and the concept of a “gamma squeeze.”

#ShortSqueeze #GammaSqueeze #SPY #SPX $ES Image
Read 9 tweets
Somehow our pinned tweet disappeared, so here it is again

This is a thread with information we think valuable:

1) Our Compact Guide to Understanding #Gamma
2) $SPX $Gamma structure Cheat Sheet
3) Our Compact Guide to Options Strategies
4) 2023 Options Calendar... and more
🧵
Version 1.0 of the $SPX #Gamma structure cheat sheet.

Developed in partnership from
@TradeVolatility, great tools for great trades

#SPX #ES_F #options #Futures #trading #Daytrader #VIX #VVIX #Gamma $Gamma #GEX $GEX $SPX $SPY #SPY $QQQ #QQQ #NDX #NQ_F

Our Compact Guide to Options Strategies

According to the teachings of Sheldon Natemberg, 30 years Market Maker, Cboe Educator and author of the options Bible "Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques"

#SPX #ES_F #options #Futures #trading #VIX
Read 7 tweets
Are you feeling some FOMO from missing out on this move today in the markets or specifically #ES_F?

Let me share the analysis I did for the group this week to prepare us for the breakout.

$SPX $SPY $ES #NQ_F $QQQ $SMH
Earlier this week I shared that we were tracking the box from Oct 2021 and that the group and I were looking for 3880 to hold and for us to see a move into 4020.
Here is what I shared with the group: First pic is 4hr Oct box. We were in a choppy 7 day 100 pt box while also creating a wedge. After one last HL at wedge support, price moved straight up, broke the box and went towards the next zone at 4360. 2nd Pic was 4hr chart yesterday.
Read 8 tweets
I am still asked "how I trade" all the time. I'm going to do a general write up here and just reference this tweet from here on out.

How I trade: I more or less strictly trade #ES_F now. I love SPX 0DTEs but I'm at the point where I need more liquidity.
My setup:
One monitor and a laptop. I just buy the highest end laptop available every 2-3 years. Laptop runs my trading software and nothing else. I shut it down every night.
On the monitor I have:
4HR and 15M chart in one corner. 4HR is where I do my macro TA etc. 15m has the volume profile. On both of these charts I have various SMA, EMA, VWAP etc. I can toggle on. I rarely use them.

2000 Volume with cumulative delta. 0 indicators
Read 14 tweets
1/1
Took my second trade using the Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) system approach.

Placed anchors at recent highs/lows and high volume spikes. Followed the rules as described in the AVWAP webinar.

While in the trade, I separately kept an eye on order flow and liquidity with ToS Bookmap. Image
2/3

Kept risk small ... 1 contract, 1 StDev move. 10 minute trade, 4 pts ($200).

Folks, I've been trading #ES_F for 12 years. Honestly, what I described above is the most comfortable I've found trading intraday #ES_F.

Fundamentally sound system, auction market principles.
3/3

Lots of options. You could watch the AVWAP with futures orderflow ... but trade an ATM $SPY option, e.g. Or, you could swing trade the QQQ's. Whatever.

One of you, a few days ago, asked me if I'd tried AVWAP. Thank you whoever you were!

Webinar:
barchart.com/education/webi…
Read 4 tweets
How could you increase your win rate (%) as a swing trader?

Here are a few tricks I personally use that can help you 👇🧵
1. Trade with the market trend

Define the trend of the indices #ES_F #NQ_F #RTY_F and create rules to ensure you initiate new long positions while the market is trending higher.

• Price > 50dma
• 21dma > 50dma
• Etc, it's up to you based on your trading timeframe
2. Make sure the market breadth is confirming the index's move

Sometimes, the market underneath the surface is weak, so you want to ensure strong participation.

• Net new high/low (absolute/#NYHL)
• Advances/Declines (McClellan/#NYSI)
Read 10 tweets
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info read our newsletter
Today's issue will be out in the morning

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ $DIj #trading #options #Futures
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

•Rates and valuations are high
•Looming recession
•Geopolitical tensions ↑
•Very Bearish Gravestone doji on Friday
•More rates coming
•Market is extremely overbougth
•Dollar is going ↑

#SPX #ES_F $SPX #options #trading #Futures $SPY $ES
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Inflation/Commodities/Oil ↓
•SPX made a higher low and a higher high: Trend change
•Most charts are bullish
• $FAANG chart bullish
•All Breadth indicators are very strong
• $VIX, $VVIX still in strong donwtrend

#SPX #ES_F $SPX #options $SPY
Read 5 tweets
Witam wszystkich, na początku chciałbym bardzo podziękować tym, którzy zrobili retwit mojego wczorajszego posta dzięki czemu tak wiele osób mogło dołączyć.
Dzisiaj powiemy sobie co to jest profil wolumenu z czego się składa oraz jak z niego korzystać w praktyce.
Profil wolumenu pokazuje jak zachodzi proces aukcyjny bazujący na wolumenie. Tworzy on tak zwany rozkład normalny. Jest to najważniejszy rozkład prawdopodobieństwa w statystyce (krzywa Gaussa)
Jego pierwowzorem jest profil rynkowy stworzony przez J.P Steidlmayera w połowie lat 80. Profil ten jest bliźniaczo podobny do wolumenowego rożni się tym że pokazuje proces aukcyjny z perspektywy czasu a nie wolumenu. (Opiszę to innym razem bo nie ma go na TradingV. (sierra, exo)
Read 23 tweets
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info read our newsletter
Today's issue will be out tonight

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading #options #Futures
The Bear's take:

•Rates and valuations are high
•Looming recession
•FOMC: FED will be hawkish
•Geopolitical tensions are increasing
•Earnings will be low
•Macro enviroment is ugly
•Layoffs are increasing

#SPX #ES_F $SPX #options #trading #Futures #DayTrading $SPY $ES
The Bull's take

•Inflation/Commodities/Dollar are down ↓
•All indices are above their MA
•Tech leads and charts are bullish
• $FAANG and $TSLA charts are bullish
•Breadth indicators are strong
• $VIX, $VVIX and #DXY in strong donwtrend

#SPX #ES_F $SPX #options #trading
Read 5 tweets
ICT MENTORSHIP 2023 SETUP W EXAMPLES🍿

"between 3 to 415pm, more precisely between 315 to 345. If you know where you are looking for for liquidity to end the day, swing or imbalance, price will offer an entry towards it before close"

Now lets look at some examples 👇

#ICT
Thursday, January 12th - ES - short - last hour setup - ✅
obvious dol, displacement, bos, fvg, vib
Tuesday, January 17th - ES - short - last hour setup - ✅
mss, vib, fvg
Read 8 tweets
A detailed look at last wk's auction market process for #ES_F

First, a summary:

• On ave, there were 2 balance areas per day, each averaging 12.25 points in breadth.
• During RTH, the market spent, on ave, 52% of its time rotating between auction bracket highs and lows. Image
2/

• When sellers were in control, down-auctions saw moves that were nearly twice the range of up-auctions (rallies).
• On average, balance areas consumed 52% of the day’s maximum range.
• On average, the market spent 47% of its time rotating between auction bracket highs...
3/

and lows before breaking out of balance to seek new valuations.

(Data for individual days is annotated adjacent to the Market Profile graphics in the first frame, above.)

What does all this mean? And what is notable here?

First, the market spends about half of its time
Read 5 tweets
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info read our newsletter (It will be out tomorrow)

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA #GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading #options #Futures
The Bear's take:

•Rates and valuations are high
•Looming Recession
•Geopolitical tensions are increasing
•Earnings will be low
•Macro enviroment is ugly
•Layoffs are increasing

#SPX #ES_F $SPX #options #trading #Futures #DayTrading #scalping #odte $SPY $ES #VIX #VVIX
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Inflation/Commodities/Oil/Dollar are down
•Techs are taking the lead again
• $FAANG chart is bullish
•Breadth indicators are strong
• $VIX, $VVIX and #DXY in strong donwtrend
•Positive divergence from CCI, RSI, ROC, Stochastics
#SPX #ES_F $SPX
Read 5 tweets
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info read our newsletter (It will be out tomorrow)

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA #GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading #options #Futures
The Bear's take:

•Recession is just around the corner
• Rates and valuations are high
• Geopolitical tensions
• Friday, stocks rise on low volume
• Earnings will be low
•China Covid shutdown hurt earnings
• Market is overbougth
#VVIX is rising

#SPX #ES_F $SPX #options
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

• Inflation/Commodities/Oil/$ are ↓
• $DJI chart is very bullish. $DJT and $IWM also look good
•Up week on increasing volume
• $VIX and #DXY in strong donwtrend
•Breadth indicators are strong
•Positive divergence from CCI, RSI, ROC, Stochastics
Read 5 tweets
If you haven't read it
From our newsletter:
$DJI
"Last Friday it managed - just like the $DJT and $IWM - to make a solid upward breakout... did so on high volume... close above the 20, 50, 100 and 200DMA.
All indicates that this will most likely be the way forward for the #SPX"
" #DJT made an excellent breakout and closed above 20 and 100DMA. It closed right at its 50DMA. Bullish action from a leading indicator. $DJT will have to surpass the conjunction of 50DMA and 200DMA next week, in order to validate more upward moves"
It did that yesterday

#ES_F
$QQQ

"A follow up rally is expected to allow it to break out of the Noise Box and break above at least the 20DMA.
On Monday it broke above the Noise Box, yesterday above the 20DMA, today above the 50DMA"

#QQQ #NDX #TradingSignals #bearmarket #SPX #ES_F #trading #SPX
Read 10 tweets

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