當然沒用,去核的金家注定會落到波爾布特和卡扎菲的下場。高棉和利比亞的軍閥,對美國的任何承諾都沒有義務。金家即使交出核彈頭和技術人員,也能在幾年內重新搞出來。所以,穩定解只有兩個。第一是去金,無論和平流亡還是戰爭摧毀。第二是中國以明確的安全承諾保護朝鮮,以可信的戰爭威脅抵銷美國開戰
的可信度,然後問題自然轉化為cool war而不成其問題,相當於中國核武器從山東省移動到朝鮮省。穩定解以外的一切花裡胡哨都只會是通向穩定解的各種水流路線而已,不能改變僅有的可能最低點,就像男人和女人之間的關係就花裡胡哨的內容而言不可預測,但就結局而言無非是結婚和分手兩者而已。川普沒有評論
家想像的那麼多花頭,只是以不變應萬變而已,要逼出習近平的安全承諾或沒有安全承諾的承諾而已,也就是說是你的狗就打你,不是你的狗窩就打狗。
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