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Cav, My Name is a Warsong @CombatCavScout
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
The 8yo is playing my new copy of “Shadow of War” and one of the Orc captains is named “Flogg the Wyrm” and lolololololol
Middle-Earth masturbation euphemisms:

Flogg the Wyrm
Boppin’ Bilbo
Polishing the ol’ palantir
Strangling Saurumon
Forging the ol’ One Ring
Spinning Shelob’s web
Mining the ol’ Misty Mountain
Slapping Samwise
Riding the Eagle
Coming to the aid of Gondor
Using the ol’ Tim Bombadildo
Beating the Balrog
Riding into Rohan
Taking two towers
Putting the Dwarf in the barrel
Polishing the Arkenstone
Visiting the ol’ Prancing Pony
Going deep in the Mines of Moria
Exploring the Mirkwood
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I shouldn’t have to constantly worry about my elementary-school-aged kids being shot. My 8/6yo should not have to practice active shooter drills and worry about being gunned down at school.

This is not normal.

Your fetishization of guns does not outweigh my children’s safety.
You don’t need a semiautomatic rifle. You don’t. Not just AR-15s, AKs or the “scary looking assault rifles.” You don’t need a rifle that is essentially the same as the one I killed with in Afghanistan. You’re not going to fight off the government with it. It’s not worth our kids.
You could’ve taken the 3-round-burst mechanism completely off my rifle - and the rifles of pretty much every dude in the squadron - and it wouldn’t have changed a damn thing, because we didn’t use it. So miss me with that shit about civilian models not being the same.
Read 15 tweets

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#New PA cong. map increases D chance of winning the House majority by 4%. They only need a 6.8% generic ballot margin now (down from 7.7) to be favored.

Diff. will be closer to 10% in Nov when uncertainty from polls is ⬇️. Redraw is a very big deal.

One major reason the new PA map is such a big gain for Democrats is that it solidifies, not just tips, PA districts in Philly burbs. Also creates one additional vulnerable R district. (Easily seen in this map made by @JMilesColeman)
My forecasting model will have new PA map in the near future. This is not just a simple switch; it’s a coding redesign, restructuring of input, & drawing new geographic files. Takes a while (for me, a student).

In the meantime, just add 3-4% to the model: bit.ly/2018_house
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