Hey, who wants an update on how few Republican women might be serving in the US House of Representatives next year? 🙋♂️
... First, a reminder that there are currently a mere 23 women in the 236-member GOP House caucus. That's consistent with the 9%-10% female range for quite a while now. ...
... A bunch are leaving (as are a bunch of the men), so just 17 incumbents GOP women Reps are running for re-election.
That meant lots of open R seats to fill. As I've previously noted, the GOP managed to nominate women in ZERO of 22 open "Solid R" districts.
That meant lots of open R seats to fill. As I've previously noted, the GOP managed to nominate women in ZERO of 22 open "Solid R" districts.
(Note: I've been led to understand people enjoy tweetstorms more if you attach cute GIFs.)
As I tweeted last week, only EIGHT of 153 (5%) Solid R districts (as rated by @CookPolitical) will have women as the R nominee.
As I tweeted last week, only EIGHT of 153 (5%) Solid R districts (as rated by @CookPolitical) will have women as the R nominee.
... So far, out of 353 CDs, Republicans have nominated 42 women (12%) -- but nearly half, 20, are in Solid D districts. So, just 22 are nominated in potentially winnable races. There are just 7 remaining districts that are not Solid D and have women running for the nomination.
... Meanwhile, the latest shifts in the Cook ratings have particularly hit districts with women running -- putting them in danger in the event of a true blue wave. An amazing seven R women nominees are now in Lean R races.
(Note: I got tired of the GIFs already.)
Only 18 GOP women will be nominated in districts where they have a better-than-tossup chance to win:
Solid R: 8
Likely R: 3
Lean R: 7
You can see just how badly this could end up, IF this turns into a real blue-wave election.
Only 18 GOP women will be nominated in districts where they have a better-than-tossup chance to win:
Solid R: 8
Likely R: 3
Lean R: 7
You can see just how badly this could end up, IF this turns into a real blue-wave election.
... And here are the rest of the possible GOP women House winners:
Tossup: 3 nominated, 1 more pending
Lean D: 2 nominated, 2 pending
Likely D: 1 nominated, 2 pending
That's a total max of 29, but they're not likely to get close to that.
Tossup: 3 nominated, 1 more pending
Lean D: 2 nominated, 2 pending
Likely D: 1 nominated, 2 pending
That's a total max of 29, but they're not likely to get close to that.
... Again, that is ALL women Republicans running for House seats, including incumbents.
FYI, no party caucus has had fewer than 17 women in it since the mid-1990s. The GOP has a real, real good shot at going below that.
Questions? Comments? Concerns?
FYI, no party caucus has had fewer than 17 women in it since the mid-1990s. The GOP has a real, real good shot at going below that.
Questions? Comments? Concerns?
