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Jeffrey Lewis @ArmsControlWonk
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
We're looking at a very similar photo. Definitely military vehicles with probable missile launchers at the back. Not sure they are 12 m long.
english.chosun.com/site/data/html…
Our current best guess is that the last 6 TELS at the North Korean parade practice are the Iskander-clones we first saw in February 2018. We measured them at <10 m long and ~3 m wide. (1/2)
At the moment, no ICBMs among the confirmed guests. That doesn't mean, however, that North Korea isn't holding back a surprise guest star for September -- especially given today's developments. (2/2)
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#GBSD
D5
Not certain about rail-basing in an urban environment.
Read 4 tweets
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This is a big fucking deal.
And suddenly this tweet, and the Mattis resignation letter, look very different.
Per @YonhapNews, Seoul interpreted the tweet as a shot at Moon. Kim Jong Un must be delighted.
Read 3 tweets
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Hint: Denuclearization does not mean North Korea’s disarmament. (1/3)
We’ve been over this already. Denuclearization is North Korea’s phrase, not ours, and it is mostly about *our* nuclear weapons, threats, etc. (2/3)
nytimes.com/2018/04/04/opi…
What the US has sought, in the past, is the complete, verifiable and irreversible *dismantlement* of North Korea’s nuclear programs. North Korea demanded the US stop using that phrase — and @SecPompeo gave in. (3/3)
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

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On the eve of SK Jaebol magnates departing for NK, US State Dept reminds visitors that, "We expect all member states to fully implement UN sanctions, including sectoral goods banned under UNSCR and expect all nations to take responsibilities seriously ..." voakorea.com/a/4573997.html
The State Dept used Moon's own words: “As Pres Moon has stated, “the improvement of relations between NK & SK cannot advance separately from resolving NK's nuke program.” But SK analysts point out that NK specifically requested Jaebol magnates to visit news.joins.com/article/229757…
NK let it known through channels they want owners of capital and decision-makers to visit. The specific areas of economic cooperation are: railroad & infrastructure, energy & power, IT, tourism. These Jaebol are conglomerates so they all have construction & engineering arms
Read 8 tweets
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Trump: Day 532
-123rd Day at Trump Golf Club
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Day 489 of NO EVIDENCE produced by Trump that his phones were tapped by Obama. #fakenews #TrumpLies
Read 53 tweets
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☀️SummerTimeFun☀️

Go have some fun this weekend!

Trump attacks US journalists, Senators, former POTUS’and Mocks #MeToo. What About Putin? ‘He’s KGB’ ‘He’s Fine’

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Read 52 tweets
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What's the story about Pompeo taking Elton John's "Rocket Man" CD to Pyongyang to give to KJU? That's what Chosun says and attributes it to "several Washington sources related to the Trump administration." But no other outlet seems to have reported this
english.chosun.com/site/data/html…
Need to read the original to see what it says. It's from Chosun's Washington correspondent who pens a column called "Kang In-sun's Washington Live." Kang claims Pompeo took 2 gifts to KJU: (1) a personal letter from Trump and (2) Elton John's Rocket Man CD
news.chosun.com/site/data/html…
Why, what's behind the CD? Kang cites an unnamed diplomatic source: At the Singapore summit, KJU recalled Trump calling him 'Rocket Man' when NK was on a missile-firing binge in 2017. Trump then asked whether he ever listened to Elton John's song. KJU said, no, never heard of it.
Read 6 tweets
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Why Beijing again? This is NK-style maneuvering in NE Asia. To get a pledge of economic aid from Xi, having rattled the cage on his behalf to stop US-SK military exercises: "Xi, you owe us one." Talk about the end of war declaration and peace treaty
yonhapnews.co.kr/nk/2018/06/19/…
Or perhaps work toward getting China another bounty (remove USFK) that would please Xi. If it was NK, not SK, that proposed removing artillery from the DMZ, it could possibly be NK working toward that end. Ultimately that matters more to China than NK.
english.chosun.com/site/data/html…
Exchanging numbers with Trump prolly made Xi antsy. The call was supposed to take place on Sun but no news whether it happened. SK analysts note, "proper protocols" have to be set up before they talk. That's prolly making Xi work extra hard to woo KJU
asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks…
Read 6 tweets
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It's takes a very shallow dive into how North Korea has been governed to find that the atrocities Kim Jong Un is being blamed for were most likely not his doing.

I get the impression that for several years after he was INSTALLED, he was a hood ornament.
amanpour.blogs.cnn.com/2014/05/08/def…
Please read this thread by Thomas Wictor. "Frog-Marched" is an excellent descriptor. The arm and hand holding in Korean culture is done ONLY for family and close friends. The DPRK messaging is that Kim Jong Un is their close friend. (not true)
Kim Jong Un & his sister Kim Yo Jong were both educated in Switzerland.
His English was bad at first. He had a strong accent and he was given extra lessons.
".. His English got better but not his German.'He was good in maths." sundaytimes.lk/111225/Timestw…
Read 14 tweets

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