So Devil's Triangle was a "drinking game" (not—as understood at the time—two men having sex with one woman) but PJ Smyth listed it as something he *did* junior (3) and senior (4) year? And Mark Judge's girlfriend says he bragged about he and a friend having sex with a drunk girl? 
1/ Here's what a criminal investigator would *begin* with as a "theory of the case" in this situation: these Georgetown Prep jocks had a running game to see if they—and a friend—could together have sex with a woman at least once per year. And that required the woman being drunk.
2/ The investigator would see—as a starting point for investigation—Smyth's yearbook entry as saying he successfully "pulled off" a "Devil's Triangle" his junior and senior years at GP. The investigator would then look at *two sworn statements* saying GP boys spiked party drinks.
3/ The investigator would consider Dr. Ford's allegation: she was bum-rushed by two boys in this "Devil's Triangle" club who were trying to "achieve" their Devil's Triangle for that year at GP. They failed—but Judge would later tell his girlfriend that he succeeded another time.
4/ All these allegations connect *seamlessly* in a single "theory of the case": a group of friends created a "Devil's Triangle" club at Georgetown Prep which required them to try to achieve a Devil's Triangle once/year. No girl would agree to this, so they started spiking drinks.
5/ The double-teaming is corroborated: Dr. Ford and Elizabeth Rasor. The meaning of "Devil's Triangle" was well understood at the time. The drink-spiking is corroborated: Swetnick, then the new accuser from yesterday—who issued a sworn statement and will give her name to the FBI.
6/ Moreover, Smyth's lack of memory—under this "theory of the case," which is only a theory but *is* how criminal investigations work; a theory is developed and evolves as the evidence changes—would in this view be the same as Judge's or Kavanaugh's, a cover-up of what happened.
7/ In addition to explaining the three men denying Ford's account—in part because of the questions it would lead to for (under this theory) Smyth—it would also explain Kavanaugh committing perjury. You only lie about "Devil's Triangle" if the truth is *worse* than felony perjury.
8/ Media and attorneys haven't discussed this enough: it is *rare* (but not at all unheard of) for a sexual assailant to specifically orchestrate what we would technically call a "gang-rape" or "gang-attack" (two or more males committing a rape or sexual assault simultaneously).
9/ It seems especially hard to understand in such a *small* social milieu, and with assailants with so much to lose. But four things—under this theory of the case—help explain it: alcohol; friendship; peer pressure; as a competitive effort to have one "Devil's Triangle" per year.
10/ My guess, from my own experience investigating and trying major felonies, is that the FBI agents working this case have the same working theory—not proven, just a theory—that I do, and they have that theory because *every key piece of evidence they have corroborates it*. /end
SOURCE/ Here's the full Georgetown Prep yearbook for the applicable year. archive.org/details/cupola…
PS/ Kavanaugh and Smyth were both on varsity football their junior and senior years—the years Smyth seems to indicate he achieved a "Devil's Triangle," though with which other boy is unclear—and Judge was on the varsity football team senior year. Was this some GP football ritual?
PS2/ The football team certainly had many in-jokes (which is of course quite normal) involving, e.g., Gonzaga, "100 kegs or bust," "Don't come back!" (from Beach Week in Ocean City, Maryland), "Renate Alumni," and more. Most of them (not surprising) involve drinking and/or girls.
PS3/ I'm not saying anyone knows what happened. I'm saying it is *not* hard to develop a "theory of the case" that takes into account *all* available evidence, and that that's exactly what the FBI would do if it were allowed to execute a full and comprehensive investigation, now.
PS4/ By the way, to test their theory investigators would—among many other things—use the GP yearbook to find GP alumni who played freshman and/or junior varsity football at GP and then *stopped*. I bet *those* guys have things to say about what was going on at the varsity level.
PS5/ Garrett also mentions "Devil's Triangle." So of the 3 boys Dr. Ford says were there that night, Smyth mentions Devil's Triangle; Kavanaugh mentions Devil's Triangle; Judge confessed a Devil's Triangle to his girlfriend; and... well... was the boy Ford can't remember Garrett?
PS6/ Kavanaugh said he was going to be hanging out with Garrett on July 1, 1982—which many believe was the night of the incident. If Garrett *was* at the house—or caught up with Kavanaugh, Smyth, and Judge later—*all four boys* were boys... who'd bragged about a Devil's Triangle.
PS7/ Can I pause and say there's a moment in an investigation when you get a feeling in the back of your neck, like, we're onto something now. I just got that tingle. What at the chances 4 boys who all bragged about a 2-on-1 situation are together the night one happens? Er, high?
PS8/ Rolando Goco was on the football team and mentioned "Devil's Triangle," so I'd definitely talk to him, too, were I investigating this case.
PS9/ Paul Murray *also* added a "year"—"3"—to Devil's Triangle, while Richard Schoeb added that he was a "participant" (again, something you wouldn't need to note if it were a drinking game everyone knew was a drinking game). But you *might* want to note (brag) that you *did* it.
PS10/ Juan Carlos del Real added *two* years (presumably, of being a Devil's Triangle "participant" like Schoeb)—"3, 4"—so maybe investigators should show pics of these nine boys to Dr. Ford and ask if any of them are the fourth boy? And recheck the names on Kavanaugh's calendar?
NOTE/ Some of the football players list "Devil's Triangle," as it were, "twice" (for two years of their time at GP, with the years listed); others list it "once" (with no years listed); others may well have wanted to participate but never "earned" an entry. Who knows—but curious.
NOTE2/ So multiple football players listed it "twice," while Kavanaugh listed it "once." Does that mean he "participated" once? Was Dr. Ford the "once"? Someone else? Again, no one knows the answers for certain, but a "theory of the case" would seek to *resolve* these questions.
NOTE3/ You can't conduct effective interrogations if you've no idea what you're looking for or why the witness you're speaking to even *could* be relevant. So a theory of the case can help direct *parts* of an interview—I don't know how the FBI is proceeding without *any* theory.
