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Faisal Islam @faisalislam
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Sky Sources in EU27: “Barnier says he needs a lot more time than just a couple of weeks”....

It could be heading for December.... if Barnier says we get “decisive progress”
Indeed Dutch PM Mark Rutte said Barnier said it would take “several weeks” and identified Christmas as the likely absolute deadline for a ratification in UK and EU parliaments
... ie for a deal that would leave time for ratification by MAr 29th
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More from @faisalislam see all

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EU sources say there will be “no summit” and there are “no actual talks”, some discussions on reassurances. Another diplomatic source tells me even those will not come before the vote next week. /1
Still not entirely sure whether the Meaningful Vote debate that resumes tomorrow will be the continuation of the one curtailed last month or a new one. Former more likely. Would have to make special provision for previous speakers to speak again /2
Tory MPs who attended the Downing St drinks were expecting a bit of a rousing unity speech from PM - surprised there wasn’t one at all even “none of you will be back here” type cajoling. On the way out none I spoke to had changed mind.
Read 4 tweets
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22 Tory MPs including PPSs, trade envoys, grandees among 209 MPs signing joint cross party letter from Caroline Spelman/Jack Dromey “must not crash out of EU without a deal. We urge the Government to agree a mechanism that would ensure a ‘No Deal’ Brexit could not take place”
... Tory 22 include Spelman, Boles, Soames, Letwin, Vaizey, Keegan, ex Trade Minister Garnier, Trade Envoy R Graham... more than enough rebels to win vote. As opposing No Deal is manifesto policy of Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP and Greens it seems highly likely there’s a Commons maj..
At this stage the 209 MPs are
162 Labour,
22 Tory,
18 SNP,
5 Lib Dem
and 4 Plaid.

“we had to send a clear message tomorrow before a fortnight of key debates commencing on Tuesday with the Finance Bill” said one signatory.
Read 7 tweets
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Ramsgate port approach now being dredged (NB by a Dutch dredger) in preparation for the potential taxpayer-funded ferry service to Ostend as a part alternative to anticipated No Deal Brexit blockages on the main Dover-Calais / Channel Tunnel routes
Meanwhile the first stages of “Operation Fennel” which we reported last month are now taking place - @TomBoadle has obtained this DfT letter about live testing Manston Airport Monday as another lorry park, in addition to 13 miles of M20 AND the M26 for No Deal Brexit disruption
Here is Operation Fennel - storing 10,000 cross channel lorries - the 5000 headed for Dover Port at Manston and 2000 For Eurotunnel on the M20 with a further 2000 on the M26 and then potentially stage 5 is for storage outside of Kent, if all that gets full...
Read 4 tweets

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Dutch PM Mark Rutte tells me: 'This idea in UK Parliament they’ll get stuck in backstop for 30/40/50 years is absolutely not necessary. Nobody in his right mind would want the backstop.' Adds he's 'confident May now has all the arguments necessary to get it through parliament'.
Rutte denies suggestions May was too vague during talks with EU leaders last night: 'She was very clear, very open about what she wants from us and we put it on paper' [in the EU27 summit conclusions].
Rutte also suggested to me PM may need to forgo festive R&R: 'She'll no doubt during Xmas think about how to create that next stage of a new relationship and what the UK can do to really get kickstarting the whole discussion, of which part will be how to prevent the backstop.'
Read 3 tweets
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Quick thread on Brexit latest:

1/ Olly Robbins is in town talking to the Task Force. Word is that May wants some kind of declaration clarifying that the backstop won't be needed, that it's temporary etc
2/ So, three key questions: what will the content of the declaration be; what will its legal weight be; and will it be ready in time for the #EUCO on Thursday?
3/ So far sources are reticent about whether a General Affairs Council, which is meeting tomorrow in Brussels anyway, will have a last minute Article 50 formation - but one source says it can be arranged at the last minute (GACs do the work of preparing summits).
Read 12 tweets
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Time to start Chapter 5 of Seth Abramson's pretty thorough new chronicle of how Trump, the Republican Party, and the Russians (and some other countries) worked together to steal the election; Proof of Collusion.
You can buy a copy of the book here: simonandschuster.com/books/Proof-of…
An archive of my readthrough of the first few chapters starts here.
Read 64 tweets
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001/ [article content in this tweet series 001-180 reproduced with permission from Martin Howe QC of Lawyers for Britain @lawyers4britain]
#quote "Leaving the EU on WTO terms: pulling down the barriers to world trade
Introduction: why prices will FALL after Brexit, not rise" /002
002/ #quote "Over the past couple of weeks, the media have been full of lurid scare stories about what will happen if the UK leaves the EU on WTO terms, because negotiations with the EU do not result in a withdrawal agreement." /003
#tariffs #NoDeal #Brexit #WTO #ProjectFear #shortages #food #medicines
003/ #quote "One of the most ridiculous and UNJUSTIFIED of these absurd scare stories is that it will lead to higher prices, and even shortages, of foods and medicines." /004
Read 180 tweets
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"Trump has used Harley-Davidson as an example of a US business that is being harmed by trade barriers. Yet Harley has warned consistently against tariffs, saying they would negatively impact sales"

Harley, hit by tariffs, shifts some production overseas apnews.com/6c8942f7363743…
Important issue highlighted by @riotwomennn: are tariff exemptions determined by bribes?

Corker: "22,000 companies have asked for exemptions.There is no basis to deal with them. Are they going to grant these exclusions based on political contributions?"
Trump’s trade war with the European Union is going to cost Harley-Davidson as much as $100 million a year and force the manufacturer to shift production out of the U.S. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 232 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Strauss #alcohol #UK #exhaustion #schedules #legitimacy #Tesco #HouseOfCommons #contribution #poultry #ruleoflaw #ProjectFear #economy #stupid #opposition #penalties #NTBs #winning #ISDS #membership #MHRA #society #TPP #JEFTA #tax

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