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Faisal Islam @faisalislam
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
NEW - on @skynews shortly:
Reliable source tells me Withdrawal Deal text contains

- No unilateral exit from backstop

- Large annexe on level playing field
.... after reporting this on @SkyNews I get a call from a different senior source that this is “spot on” and further that the Attorney General Geoffrey Cox has not pulled his punches in confirming in legal advice there is “no unilateral exit” from backstop ...
... furthermore I’m told (and this chimes with excellent Times splash this morning re Weyand) that the future partnership then takes its starting point as the activated backstop - ie UK-wide customs union-style arrangement and level playing field.
Understand that a ministerial briefing on the draft Withdrawal Agreement meant to drum up support from some trade organisations due tonight has now been postponed
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More from @faisalislam see all

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EU sources say there will be “no summit” and there are “no actual talks”, some discussions on reassurances. Another diplomatic source tells me even those will not come before the vote next week. /1
Still not entirely sure whether the Meaningful Vote debate that resumes tomorrow will be the continuation of the one curtailed last month or a new one. Former more likely. Would have to make special provision for previous speakers to speak again /2
Tory MPs who attended the Downing St drinks were expecting a bit of a rousing unity speech from PM - surprised there wasn’t one at all even “none of you will be back here” type cajoling. On the way out none I spoke to had changed mind.
Read 4 tweets
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22 Tory MPs including PPSs, trade envoys, grandees among 209 MPs signing joint cross party letter from Caroline Spelman/Jack Dromey “must not crash out of EU without a deal. We urge the Government to agree a mechanism that would ensure a ‘No Deal’ Brexit could not take place”
... Tory 22 include Spelman, Boles, Soames, Letwin, Vaizey, Keegan, ex Trade Minister Garnier, Trade Envoy R Graham... more than enough rebels to win vote. As opposing No Deal is manifesto policy of Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP and Greens it seems highly likely there’s a Commons maj..
At this stage the 209 MPs are
162 Labour,
22 Tory,
18 SNP,
5 Lib Dem
and 4 Plaid.

“we had to send a clear message tomorrow before a fortnight of key debates commencing on Tuesday with the Finance Bill” said one signatory.
Read 7 tweets
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Ramsgate port approach now being dredged (NB by a Dutch dredger) in preparation for the potential taxpayer-funded ferry service to Ostend as a part alternative to anticipated No Deal Brexit blockages on the main Dover-Calais / Channel Tunnel routes
Meanwhile the first stages of “Operation Fennel” which we reported last month are now taking place - @TomBoadle has obtained this DfT letter about live testing Manston Airport Monday as another lorry park, in addition to 13 miles of M20 AND the M26 for No Deal Brexit disruption
Here is Operation Fennel - storing 10,000 cross channel lorries - the 5000 headed for Dover Port at Manston and 2000 For Eurotunnel on the M20 with a further 2000 on the M26 and then potentially stage 5 is for storage outside of Kent, if all that gets full...
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

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By delaying the vote on the Brexit Deal, the Prime Minister has reverted to her favourite political tactic – kicking the can down the road. Her advisers feared that if the vote had been held today, the size of the defeat would have sunk her entire prime ministership.

A thread👇
2/ But at some point the music will have to be faced. There are already, according to @ConHome over 70 Conservative MPs opposed to her deal. So, before the vote is re-introduced, the Government will need to secure meaningful changes. But how?
3/ And in delaying the vote, the Prime Minister has herself called into question her own confidence in her Government’s ability to deliver her flagship policy. She has put a big question mark right over her own authority.
Read 24 tweets
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New technologies are designed to remodel existing markets & industries - and maybe create new niche markets, not necessarily to destroy them. If managed constructively could generate revenue also.

Government and policymakers ought to embrace them early, as against fighting them.
Like clockwork, I've seen repeatedly government of developing nations - with a few emerging markets, engage in a futile & defeat-bound battle with new global trends.

This sentimental attachment with the old always resulted to huge loss of revenue and manpower.
A classic example is Nigeria.

Port management, transport, healthcare, governance, security, etc just name it. This pattern is vivid.

Something about our education system doesn't place premium on lifelong learning and glocalisation.
Read 9 tweets
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Some first impressions on the leaked Mk II version of the Brexit Political Declaration, courtesy of Guido

[thread]
Para 3 endorses the 'four pillar' approach pushed by HMG. Inevitably the UK will end up with closer JHA and military cooperation than many people will be happy with.
Para 3 also includes its own new form of elastic clause (cf Arts 94, 95, 308) which were problematic: "the future relationship may encompass areas of cooperation beyond those described in this political declaration". This approach has always been a risk over greater integration.
Read 53 tweets
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1/ The withdrawal agreement text. Comments coming soon
2/ Legal effect of the withdrawal agreement

Now expressly mentions direct effect and implictly supremacy of EU law.

Note impact of post Brexit CJEU case law is more limited.

Applies to the whole WA; UK had previously agreed to apply this clause to citizens rights parts only
3/ Transition period clauses the same as agreed in March at first glance EXCEPT for a new clause on extension to an unspecified date.

Note usual EU budget contribution for UK would NOT apply during extension. 2.b specifically means abolition of the UK rebate would be irrelevant.
Read 19 tweets
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So will there-won't there be a #brexit breakthrough summit in November?

Lot's of conflicting noise around. Firm predictions a mug's game.

So here's what I know, after chats with both sides 1/Thread
There are two opposing forces at work here:

On the positive side....a gathering political momentum for quick progress. This is shared jointly in London (which wants vote by Xmas) but also, EU sources say, by Tusk/Junker who are frankly bored with Brexit

But opposing this... /2
Is the equally audible notes of caution in last 24 hours from Barnier, Taoiseach Varadkar, Commission Hogan and others saying that the "betting" must be December.

At October EUCO there was also a sense from Macron/Merkel, I understand, that they could run to DEC.

So.../3
Read 20 tweets
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1/ Welcome to the early weekend Brexitlandia edition
2/ In Gamer terms the UK and EU have completed level 1 👾👾👾👏
3/ The EU published its phase 2 guidelines which even at this hour make for an interesting read 😳
Read 25 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Beijing #HuaweiUpdate #hurting #2BillionOverhaul #NationalSecurity #EuropeShouldWorry #roadtobrexit #Skycomm #Brexit #CPC18 #WelcomeInFrance #Rivers #Japan #Osun #Nigeria #NigerDelta #Japanese #refrain #brexit #arrested #America #France #Iran #accountable #business

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