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Adam Payne @adampayne26
, 6 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
For those of you who enjoyed today’s poll, I’m led to believe that another is coming this weekend. A huge one, 25,000 sample size. On Brexit.
Expect to see a massive opinion poll on Brexit in one of the Sunday papers. "It's one you're going to want to look out for," I've been told.
New YouGov poll of 25,000 people: Labour would suffer a worse election defeat than it did under Michael Foot if it enables Brexit. Labour support would plummet to 26% if Jeremy Corbyn tells his MPs to back Theresa May’s Brexit deal, the poll says.
YouGov poll: In a new in-out referendum, Brits would vote to stay in the EU by 54% to 46%. In a choice between Remain and May’s deal, Remain would win by 63% to 37%.
The headline Q is relevant b/c Corbyn says Labour will back a deal that has a permanent customs union. He could get his wish: a) MPs could force it via an amendment e.g on Trade Bill b) May might do it in desperate bid to get Labour’s support. Seems unlikely, but not impossible.
Plus, as @awstojanovic et al have pointed out recently, a permanent customs union is not dramatically different to what’s on the table. Future relationship text seeks to “build” on customs territory which will continue for at least a few yrs after Brexit (transition, backstop.)
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