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Ehhh... the drop-outs, per the @smotus spreadsheet, are Patrick (a "real" candidate, but don't think he was a top-tier contender), Cuomo (who some in the NYC press still think could run), O'Malley, Avenatti and Steyer? That's a pretty weak group.
Gillibrand's an interesting case because she's someone you might expect *not* to run. On the one hand, she has a pretty bright future in the party and is a plausible nominee in e.g. 2024 or 2028. On the other hand, the invisible/pre-primary hadn't gone especially well for her…
…in part because of the dumb Franken narrative, and she was polling at 1-2%. Traditionally, that might translate into building one's reputation as a senator and waiting until the next cycle for a POTUS run, and maybe getting on a VP shortlist. Instead, she declared, and quickly.
