, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Both doing nothing and doing nothing in Venezuela will increase short term disorder. But the shape of the disorder will differ. Which shape is less dangerous to neighbors?
Perhaps the biggest difference between Yemen, Syria, Libya and Iraq/Afghanistan is there was no attempt to reorder the former. Chaos was an acceptable end state so long as it was not enemy controlled.
This post Iraq doctrine may apply to Venezuela. Perhaps the administration's bottom line is Maduro, Russia, Cuba gone. All else is irrelevant.
Western preference in outcomes by descending order may now be 1. Functional state, 2. Randomly chaotic failed state, 3. Enemy weaponized failed state. Victory is going from 3 to 2.
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