, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Market is shaped by : fundamental, macro event and sentiment.

Crypto market is very indifferent with fundamental, the latter two matter more

Macro events I think matters the most in next 6 months are - Bitmain IPO outlook, Telegram’s deliverable and Bakkt debut (cont.
Bitmain IPO most likely will fail/expire. It needs time to consolidate/sort out internal issue so re-filing won’t be a a near term thing.

Bitmain has been considered as a crypto blue chip/proxy to crypto by capital market. This will set a bearish sentiment once it’s confirmed
Telegram’s ICO is effectively its IPO. It’s massive raise will set an equally high expectation for its deliverable.

TBH TG has a great product and solid user base, as a regular company acquisition price can be easily a few billion given WhatsApp is a 19B deal
However company valuation is completely different than token valuation, if it’s a proprietary payment token/clearing house token its valuation can be tricky.

Telegram, at least in its 150 pages white paper, claimed to build an entire smart contract platform too
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