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Bruno Maçães
@MacaesBruno
, 5 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Personally I find the solution very satisfactory. Have been saying for 18 months that a customs union is the best solution. But boy how much better if two sides behaved like adults...
May in any case does not know how to conduct an international negotiation. Let’s see:
Say she agrees with Corbyn on a customs union and deal is approved. That’s only the beginning. Customs union will only work if UK gets some concessions from EU. How does she expect to get them if she starts by ruling out no deal?
UK needs a customs union with an automatic clause extending future trade deals to UK. Will it get this clause? Not with this negotiating style
And remember EU is in an extremely vulnerable position, with all its major economies either in recession or on the brink and public opinions with much lower tolerance to Brexit dislocation than the UK public
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More from @MacaesBruno see all

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Bruno Maçães
@MacaesBruno
Sometimes I am asked what scenarios I see where transatlantic relations could break down
The most plausible is surely one where the US continues to push for the militarization of Europe. It should be obvious to everyone that Americans will not accept paying for Europe’s defense for much longer
It’s not just about money, it’s also about balance of power - using European power against Russia and China
Read 5 tweets
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Bruno Maçães
@MacaesBruno
If this is correct Germany has just announced it will leave the JCPOA
The JCPOA only restricts but does not prohibit Iran from enriching uranium
Maas seems to be saying that a much more restrictive framework is needed. End of JCPOA?
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Bruno Maçães
@MacaesBruno
When Trump imposed tariffs on China EU leaders argued it was destructive, counterproductive and that there were better ways to get concessions from Beijing. With Trump close to a comprehensive new framework and the EU unable to even get China to change language let alone actions
That theory is in crisis
But what really strikes me is we are approaching a new Commission, who needs a mandate on how to deal with China (dovish, hawkish?), but during EU elections that is never discussed, no candidate offers a plan and there will be no mandate
Read 6 tweets

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Dr Anna Jerzewska
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