Thread by @326Pols

What I'm finding really interesting right now is how, from the European Parliament results and recent polling, the UK's political landscape is beginning to mirror France. As Thomas Piketty theorised, the French electorate in the 2016 Presidential Election was split into...

quadrants of roughly equal size in terms of electoral support. Beyond the historical dualistic economic left vs. right, Piketty explored how education was becoming another major cleavage in French politics, adding to the economic axis an educational one, creating four tribes...

These four tribes can broadly be categorised as 'High education, High wealth', 'High education, Low wealth', 'Low education, High wealth' and 'Low education, Low wealth'. Now these categories are not by any means exclusive, but broadly speaking the four biggest parties...

Found themselves dominating one of the four groups. When we compare the results of the 2017 French Presidential Election to the latest YouGov poll, we can see some strikingly similar results:

What will be interesting to see is whether this is just a rogue poll, or will reflect a broader shift in British politics. I think the answer is more likely to be the former, as one can see a clear possibility that Labour could eat up much of that top half with...

a change of position on a 2nd referendum, and the Conservatives could likewise do the same with the Brexit Party's support under a new leader favouring a very hard Brexit or no deal.

Anyway, those were my thoughts of the day! Let me know what you all think.

Here's the full Piketty report for those who are interested: piketty.pse.ens.fr/files/Piketty2…