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Staedtler
@Staedtler
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Tory leadership candidates, and what they want.

New Dealers. All of these want to re-open the withdrawal agreement about the Irish border.

Gove
Hancock
Harper (who?)
Hunt
Javid
Johnson
Leadsom
McVey
Raab
The two remaining candidates have got different ideas.

Rory Stewart. His idea is to get Theresa May's deal through parliament. That's the realm of stupid he wants to lead the Tories into.
Now there's only one candidate left with anything new to offer.

Sam Gyimah wants a second referendum.

All the rest you can stick in the bin, the reheaters, redealers and repeat offenders.
Of all the Tory leadership candidates, Sam Gyimah is the only one out of all of them with a credible policy.
Every other candidate is going to end up doing what he's offering anyway, so if I was the Tories I would just elect him and stop embarrassing everybody.
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More from @Staedtler see all

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Staedtler
@Staedtler
The only chance of a new Tory leader surviving a vote of confidence is with DUP support.

If they don't secure that, it's a general election. But even if they do, they're only going to win by maybe one vote.
But if they do survive the immediate confidence vote, it will only be by abandoning Theresa May's deal to get the nutters on side.

So. New Tory leader publicly abandons Theresa May's plod, and asks Europe to renegotiate. Europe says no.
Parliament breaks for the summer with Brexit unresolved. No withdrawal agreement, and no renegotiation. What do they do?

Got to do a Queen's speech in the autumn, but half their own party is now ready to mutiny whatever they try.
Read 9 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
So even if the Tory leader survives a vote of confidence to at least get into the summer, they still have to pass a Queen's speech this autumn. Which they can't.
Yes. We're right. The Tories are going to have to offer another referendum. It's their only chance to stop Corbyn getting in.
General election October 17th. Tories offer another referendum that takes till next spring.

Four fucking years.
Read 3 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
The new Tory leader is going to face a vote of no confidence anyway, which they must know they are likely to lose.
The only way they could win it is by promising the impossible
You could promise no border in the Irish Sea. You win the DUP, but then you can't Brexit, so you'd lose as many Tory votes as you gained with the DUP.
No confidence, general election.

Okay, what else?
You could promise to put a border in Ireland. Break the Good Friday Agreement. America would go mental, you would get no trade with them or with Europe. Crisis, what crisis?
No confidence, general election.

What else?
Read 7 tweets

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