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1) Warren gained 3 points in the last month from Biden who has lost 3 points nationally, so the narrative that she’s taking votes away from Bernie appears false, meanwhile when you look at just early state voters Bernie has gained more than anyone else, while Warren and Biden
2) have lost support. Bernie gained 3, while Biden lost one and Warren lost 3. 
3) Don’t worry tho there’s next to no chance the media will focus on these numbers. It goes against their narratives after all
4) They has the helicopter thing in New York as well as the Dean testimony stuff and they basically all managed to get in segments crapping on Bernie and promoting Warren, yet something tells me we won’t see segments on this latest poll come tomorrow.
5) Two segments stood out to me tho. Once again they were both at the very end of shows which made them hard to find/clip. First we have Chris Matthews claiming his show is 100% in line with what people out in the country think and that Bernie is done. streamable.com/st6ub
6) Next we have the 11th Hour where Bill Kristal does the thing where he names all the candidates but Bernie when saying something positive, but making sure to get Bernie’s name out when saying something negative. streamable.com/02yxc
7) So just to be clear, MSNBC has been pumping Warren up and saying Bernie is falling for at least the past month, yet in the past 10 days we had 5 major polls come out. Two of them CNN related polls.
8) And I’m not even talking about the Harvard Harris poll which had Bernie at 17 and Warren at 5, yes 5%. First CNN poll had 412 respondents, and had Bernie at 18 and Warren at 7%, behind even Kamala.
9) Then we had a weekly Morning Consult poll that had Bernie at 19 % and Warren at 10% with a sample size of 16,587 people. That’s 40 times as many people as the CNN poll.
10) Then we had the Hill/Harris X poll of just 430 people, which had Bernie at 16 and Warren at a pathetic 5%. After that we had a You Gov poll where they did 2 polls, despite Real Clear still showing the wrong poll, and Bernie got 16% to Warrens 11% out of 550 people.
11) Then we had an Ipsos poll of 2500 people where Bernie got 15% to Warren’s 8%. After that we had the second CNN poll, this one a state poll of Iowa of 600 people, where the poll changed there methodology for the first time to try to take Iowa’s new caucus rules into account
12) a change which led to the pollster admitting in the release that it was a bit of a experiment and the margin of error was higher than usual as a result and Bernie got 16 to Warren’s 15%. This is literally the only poll during this whole time that in any wya reflects the
13) Narrative of Warren surging, and even then, she got out surged by Mayor Pete who jumped up 14 points yet we don’t see MSNBC going on and on about him. After that we had the latest Morning Consult poll which came out in the past 24 hours
14) in the poll which was of over 17,000 people as Morning Consult is the only pollster who actually polls thousands upon thousands of people for each poll, Bernie polled nationally at 19% to Warren’s 11%.
15) But the poll also contradicted the Iowa poll results as when specifically looking at Early State primary/caucus voters, which Morning Consult also polls, they had Bernie at 21% to Warren’s 8% with Bernie gaining 3 points with those voters in the past week while Warren lost 2
16) points. Biden also lost 1 point btw. And those are how the past 7 polls, 6 national and 1 Iowa poll, have gone since May 31st, aka the past 10 days.
17) So during this supposed surge for Warren and plummet for Bernie, according to the media at least. Bernie has beaten Warren in every poll, and it’s only been close in the Iowa poll which had weird methodology and isn’t supported by the much larger Morning Consult early state
18) poll. In fact Bernie is ahead of Warren by at least 5% in every other poll mentioned above. Don’t let the media gaslight you, because that’s all they are doing and their hope is that if they push a narrative long enough, people will begin to believe it and it will seep into
19) the actual poll results so that the narrative of a Warren surge and a Bernie collapse actually leads to it rather than the other way around.
@threadreaderapp unroll
20) Here is a bonus poll from today.
