, 6 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
@TheScepticIsle @stephenkb Yes, it's weird logic that looks only two weeks ahead.

But I think you can go further - it's lazy logic that pretends Corbyn/NotCorbyn is a binary.

/1
@TheScepticIsle @stephenkb Corbyn entering government as part of a shakey 3 party coalition with a technical majority of 8 is not Corbyn entering government on the back of 60 MP solely Labour majority.

/2
@TheScepticIsle @stephenkb If the logical goal is to avoid eventualities where Corbyn gets into office (weighted by likelihood x size of majority) in the next 5 years, you have to start there and work back.

/3
@TheScepticIsle @stephenkb It's quite hard to imagine a path to a sizeable Corbyn-Labour-only majority *without No Deal*.

/4
@TheScepticIsle @stephenkb And, you know, if you're a *Conservative* - particularly a card-carrying Burkean "let's protect the realm from all flavours of radicalism" small-and-big-c Conservative ...

... shouldn't you be risk-averse?

/5
@TheScepticIsle @stephenkb I.e. faced with a choice between:

(i) low-stakes gamble where either Lab/Con end up leading coalitions w v small majorities

(ii) high-stakes gamble where you could win big with rolling 2-6's, but Corbyn ends up sole majority on a lot of other results

shouldn't you be (i)?

/6
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