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Dmitry Grozoubinski
@DmitryOpines
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Narrator: A GATT 24 trade deal in no way solved the problem.
Explanation:

A free trade agreement, even one that eliminated all tariffs between the UK and EU wouldn't solve even the customs part of the border problem.

Trading goods under an FTA actually requires more paperwork than the WTO baseline, not less.
In addition to declaring everything you're carrying, you also have to present documentation to prove that the goods you're trying to import under the FTA are "UK enough" to qualify for the zero tariff rates.

This is called "Rules of Origin" and is @SamuelMarcLowe's baby.
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More from @DmitryOpines see all

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Dmitry Grozoubinski
@DmitryOpines
1/ "Superstars who make millions and book their tours months if not years in advance are very much the exception. Most artists operate on tiny margins and the prospect of extra cost and bureaucracy would kill their ability to tour...”

theguardian.com/politics/2019/…
2/ Really common pattern with stories like this.

News: "Brexit makes ______ more expensive/difficult for UK firms."

Response: "Project Fear! The Beatles toured just fine before the UK joined the EU, Adele is going to be fine."

Yes she is. She's Adele. Not everyone is.
3/ Additional border friction of any kind disproportionately hurts smaller players.

They are the ones who lack the in-house resources to navigate it, the capital reserves to weather problems, and the margins to hire professional help.
Read 4 tweets
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Dmitry Grozoubinski
@DmitryOpines
Hi, Australian trade guy here.

Our country is 14,000km from Europe and overwhelmingly exports iron ore, coal and gold, mostly to Asia.

Unless ya'll have a secret desert full of minerals and a plan to tow yourselves to just under South East Asia, our model won't work for you.
We're also working pretty hard to secure an FTA with the EU, through which we hope to attain a fraction of the full market access ya'll enjoy as EU Members.
Oh, oh, and while I'm here: thanks to a bunch of historical reasons, Australia enjoys significantly more access to the agricultural markets of the EU through country specific quotas under WTO rules than the UK will under No-Deal.
Read 4 tweets
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Dmitry Grozoubinski
@DmitryOpines
Hey Guuurl, are you @BorderIrish after Brexit? Because I'm scared to cross you.
Hey Guuurl, are you @BorderIrish after Brexit? Because creepy older Tories are fantasising about there being two of you.
Hey Guuurl, are you @BorderIrish after Brexit? Because even getting close to you requires health checks.
Read 6 tweets

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Alessandro Marongiu
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1 - Yes, we want to grow it! #UK #Automotive exports £1 billion engines to Turkey, twice as much as the entire North-American region and second only to the EU. British engines are assembled into passenger cars and CVs exported from Turkey to the UK and other European countries.
2 - In 2018, we imported more than 175,000 finished vehicles from Turkey, mainly cars and vans. In 2008, we were importing just over 65,000. Turkey ranked 5^ among the biggest export markets for UK cars.
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Cameron Miles
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One of the more painful things about being an international lawyer during Brexit is watching spivs and grifters like Rees-Mogg try and game the system.

Herewith, a thread.
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2. Now, we can't tell exactly what Rees-Mogg has in mind when he sonorously invokes VCLT Art 62. But I think we can safely bet that in his view, a failure to reach an agreement with the EU constitutes a fundamental change of circumstances that entitles the UK to terminate.
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David M. Herszenhorn
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Amid reports that #UK PM @theresa_may hopes to renegotiate the "backstop" provision on the Northern Ireland border, let's recall that she already made clear what she wants in her letter to #EU leaders before disastrously losing the #Brexit Withdrawal Treaty ratification vote. 1/
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Steve Herman
@W7VOA
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Julie Laumann 🌎
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"Trump has used Harley-Davidson as an example of a US business that is being harmed by trade barriers. Yet Harley has warned consistently against tariffs, saying they would negatively impact sales"

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Pete North
@PeteNorth303
1. A thread on #trade and aid.

One of the first tangible benefits of #Brexit I've seen is the emerging reform of @DFID_UK where it is becoming more of an arm of trade policy than a state owned humanitarian NGO. I would like that to go much further and rethink trade.
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