With Joe Biden faltering, there's an argument a lane opens for her in the moderate wing.
But she's deeply unpopular with the general electorate and she will need some white liberals voting for her again against Warren and Sanders.
Let's take a look at some numbers from 2016.
But she's deeply unpopular with the general electorate and she will need some white liberals voting for her again against Warren and Sanders.
Let's take a look at some numbers from 2016.
Four in 10 votes were nonwhites in 2016, and Clinton won them vs. Bernie 75.9% to 23.1%. But while she lost whites, it was still rather close, 48.9% to 49.1%.
Given the field is more crowded and opposition more serious, she's probably not hold her whiter states like Ohio.
Given the field is more crowded and opposition more serious, she's probably not hold her whiter states like Ohio.
Contrary to popular opinion, she didn't lose "very" liberal voters by much, at all, 49.8% vs. 49.9%. She won "somewhat" liberal 56.4% to 43.0% and "moderate" 60.3% to 37.0%.
I don't see a similar performance among the first two that for her this time around. In fact...
I don't see a similar performance among the first two that for her this time around. In fact...
The 2020 Democratic primary electorate looks like it's going to be more liberal than the 2016 Democratic primary electorate was, which bodes badly for her.
Sanders won a single age group last time, but polling indicates "very" liberal is more broadly distributed now.
Not good.
Sanders won a single age group last time, but polling indicates "very" liberal is more broadly distributed now.
Not good.
