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, 3 tweets, 1 min read
FLASHBACK: Want to know why Minnesota was so close? And who knew it was? peoplespunditdaily.com/news/elections… #TrumpMinneapolis
Minnesota FLASHBACK:

C/O this comment to that analysis dated 9/27/16. No one ever apologizes.

"No, it’s not. Now we have the month of stories where every hack puts out a ridiculous assertion in the pathetic hope that it happens, and then they can claim to be a prognosticator."
That margin was within tens of a percentage point. You'd think someone would say, "Damn man. My bad."
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Richard Baris
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. @VP Mike Pence & former VP @JoeBiden will be pitching economic records in Pennsylvania. It'll be interesting. But some of this isn't debatable. On personal income and GDP, PA is far better off under @realDonaldTrump.

It's just a fact. First, c/o GDP. peoplespunditdaily.com/news/economy/2…
@VP @JoeBiden @realDonaldTrump It's clear Pennsylvania wasn't suffering under @BarackObama/@JoeBiden due to the Great Recession. PA suffered B/C they were hostile to industries that make and are now making economic progress in the state. Real GDP in the state grew by just 1.7% in Q4 2016, 1.1% in 2016.
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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
1. The term "oversampling" re: polling is almost always misused. Truthfully, even pollsters help to perpetuate that misunderstanding because it's so commonly used, even by Corporate Big Media.

A certain group absolutely can be "overrepresented" or "underrepresented", but...
2. but... it's not the sample thing as oversampling, which for instance, is what we do in Florida re: Hispanics to ensure we collect enough diverse opinions among subgroups of Latinos.

Continued...
3. A group is "over" or "underrepresented" typically B/C the pollster isn't willing or doesn't want to diversity data collection modes. This isn't speculation. It's true. Different groups take surveys at different rates depending on the mode of collection, i.e. cell, IVR, online.
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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
"Hunter, you're a loser. Why did you get paid $5 billion dollars?"

"Your father was never considered a smart senator. He only ever knew how to kiss Barack Obama's ass."
"It's not unsubstantiated you crooked son of a guns."
I couldn't help myself. #WheresHunter
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1) As we continue to march closer to the November midterms, I want to share some important information with you.

Richard Baris from PPD polling put out this article earlier today. Keep in mind he predicted our President winning FL by 1.8 points (actually won by 1.2 points)
2) and MI & PA a day before the Presidential Election.





From the article linked above:

While media pundits and forecasters are overly confident, some Democratic strategists are beginning to voice their doubts.

Robin Biro said
3) Thursday on Fox News that he was “a realist” and even though he’d love to be optimistic about the party’s chances, “we’re not there yet.” He correctly noted that Democrats would need to win the national congressional vote by a margin they’ve not received in roughly 40 years.
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