Every campaigner for Labour, the Greens, SNP and Plaid should read and understand the lessons behind Sunday Times splash: we can only stop a Johnson victory through tactical voting...
1/ This thread is my summary of the Datapraxis research....
dataprax.is/tory-landslide…
1/ This thread is my summary of the Datapraxis research....
dataprax.is/tory-landslide…
2/ Datapraxis use MRP. It's inexact and can't account for local factors ... but as a snapshot I accept the broad results. Unless things change, the Tories are going to take more seats from Labour than we can take from them...
3/ Here's the critical para from @paulhilder research. Like in a battle, critical assessment of the situation should allow us to alter tactics... 
@paulhilder 4/ The path to defeating Johnson remains open: convince the large number of undecideds to vote for an anti-Tory candidate, and for young/progressive voters to organise tactical voting en masse, from below. Let's be honest: both of these, if they happen, will favour Labour...
@paulhilder 5/ The Libdems have stopped campaigning in Uxbridge. Labour should reciprocate in, for example, Esher to take out Raab. To be clear I am advocating the party take this decision, not individuals...
@paulhilder 6/ Meanwhile the tactical voting sites are substantially converging - check here: tactical.vote/compare
@paulhilder 7/ Johnson has staked the entire ad-spend of the Tories on raising the spectre of a "hung parliament". But a hung parliament with a progressive majority will, I predict, not be hung. There is every chance that it will usher a transformative democratic change
@paulhilder 8/ The Tories other tactic - which the BBC and other media are disgracefully and knowingly helping - is a Red Scare against Corbyn. This has intensified as the Tory vote softens...
@paulhilder 9/ The Tory/BXP coalition looks to have topped out around 42%. There is actually a progressive majority in Britain, divided between Libdems, Labour, nationalists and Greens... but it's divided and will lose divided
@paulhilder 10/ The cost of losing will be: never to win again. It's really simple. The Tories will rig the electoral boundaries, erode the rule of law and human rights, and with the supine media that's it. So this is no longer about Brexit...
@paulhilder 11/ It's about defending democracy. Arendt called what we are facing "the temporary alliance of elite and mob"; there's only one sure defence - a temporary alliance of the centre and the left...
@paulhilder 12/ The polls are moving in Labour's favour. But it's not enough to win without tactical voting. To encourage that we need Libdem and liberal Tory voters to understand we will not claim "lent" votes as anything otherwise...
@paulhilder 13/ Our country is at a T-junction: we either wake up with a right+far right government committed to hard Brexit and eroding human rights; or a progressive government led by Labour. Go here and decide what to do: tactical.vote
@paulhilder 14/ A note to Libdems, Greens, Blairites... if tactical voting begins to take off, get ready to be stigmatised just as we are, as "terrorists, Russians, Hamas enablers etc"... Johnson and public-school staffed media will not hesitate to unleash the slander operation on the centre
