First new New Hampshire poll in a while out this morning. Updated 538 average there:
Buttigieg 18.1
Sanders 17.3
Biden 15.8
Warren 13.2
Gabbard 4.9
Yang 3.9
Bloomberg 2.8
Steyer 2.8
Klobuchar 2.8
Booker 1.7
Williamson 0.5
Castro 0.3
Delaney 0.2
Bennet 0.1
Buttigieg 18.1
Sanders 17.3
Biden 15.8
Warren 13.2
Gabbard 4.9
Yang 3.9
Bloomberg 2.8
Steyer 2.8
Klobuchar 2.8
Booker 1.7
Williamson 0.5
Castro 0.3
Delaney 0.2
Bennet 0.1
This is Buttigieg's first lead in New Hampshire in our average, although it's obviously not much of a lead. It's close enough that if any the top 4 won Iowa, they'd probably vault to the top. With that said, NH can produce surprises (see e.g. Clinton 2008).
Also, I unintentionally omitted Deval Patrick in the first tweet in this thread. He's at 0.1 percent in our New Hampshire average.
