, 5 tweets, 3 min read
My Authors
Read all threads
(1) @DrMarkThornton You say that prohibition in 1920 caused an increase in homicide, but it looks to me more like random variation with murder rates returning to their levels from a few years earlier. And we'd need better evidence to test causality. Research that uses local...
(2) local variation in the timing of prohibition laws suggests that it decreased mortality suggesting that any rise murder was outweighed by health improvements. You also say that changes in alcohol consumption were small, but most estimates I've seen...
(3) suggest that it was pretty significant with respect to overall consumption and alcohol relates illnesses. Not sure how much of this is causal though since there was a cultural movement against alcohol coinciding with prohibition laws.

The positive..

nytimes.com/1989/10/16/opi…
(4) health effects of alcohol prohibition mirror research on contemporary local bans on trans-fats which find that such laws have significantly improved heart health. For these reasons, though I don't support banning alcohol, I felt you were to pessimistic about the positive...
(5) effects of prohibition. I'm no expert on this though, and would be interested to hear your thoughts on these counter points, as you've probably heard them before.
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Enjoying this thread?

Keep Current with Sean Last

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!