1. Why Biden may win the #IowaCaucuses: Here is what @IowaFarmBureau says with a link to the 2020 Iowa Democratic Party rule.
Democratic Caucus
The Democratic process is a bit more complicated than the Republican process. In Democratic caucuses, after given an opportunity to
Democratic Caucus
The Democratic process is a bit more complicated than the Republican process. In Democratic caucuses, after given an opportunity to
2. speak on behalf of a favored candidate, participants physically move into different parts of the room to show which candidate they support. The size of candidate’s support is counted, and candidates who don't have enough support are deemed non-viable.
3. The viability threshold is 15 percent of the participants in the room. Members of the non-viable groups can try to attract more people to their candidate, disperse and join other candidate groups, or remain “uncommitted”. The number of votes each candidate gets determines
4. what percentage of that precinct's delegates will represent that person at the county convention. Because of this process, it becomes very important for Democratic campaigns to not only line-up supporters of their candidate but also try to identify the second choice of each
5. caucus attendee in case their first choice is not deemed “viable”. The Iowa Democratic Party has more detailed information about their process on their website."
End.
Here's the link to the Farm Bureau site. iowafarmbureau.com/News/Farmers-C…
End.
Here's the link to the Farm Bureau site. iowafarmbureau.com/News/Farmers-C…
6. And here is the link to the Iowa Democratic party rules. rules. s3.amazonaws.com/collective-age…
7. So going into the caucuses Sanders is likely leading Biden. But Warren & Buttigieg both likely make 15% so they won't be available to add to either Biden or Sanders. But @amyklobuchar Klobuchar is likely to be less than 15% and as the most centrist of all candidates Amy's
8. supporters would be presumed most likely to favor Biden though I concede all of this is fluid and with the strict rule that say only 15 minutes to pick the second choice the caucus floors may get interesting. And this is when Amy may have the most chips in the game. 😎
