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New @QuinnipiacPoll of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independent voters nationally:

Sanders 25%
Biden 17%
Bloomberg 15%
Warren 14%
Buttigieg 10%
Klobuchar 4%
Yang 2%
Gabbard 1%
Steyer 1%

poll.qu.edu/national/relea…
2/ Among all registered voters:

Bloomberg tops Trump 51 - 42 percent;
Sanders defeats Trump 51 - 43 %;
Biden beats Trump 50 - 43 %;
Klobuchar defeats Trump 49 - 43 %;
Warren wins narrowly over Trump 48 - 44 %;
Buttigieg is also slightly ahead of Trump 47 - 43 %.
3/ “President Trump's favorability rating is underwater, as 42 percent of registered voters have a favorable opinion of him, while 55 percent have an unfavorable view of him...”
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More from @jaketapper see all

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Jake Tapper
@jaketapper
This story — “Larry Ray and the Stolen Kids of Sarah Lawrence”.... 1/ thecut.com/2019/04/larry-…
... led to this action by the US Attorney...

2/
nytimes.com/2020/02/11/nyr…
.... great work by @ezra_marc and @MrJDWalsh. thank you for all the time you spent bringing this horror to public light.

3/
Read 3 tweets
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Jake Tapper
@jaketapper
On this day in 1950 before the Ohio County Republican Women's Club in Wheeling, WV, Sen. Joe McCarthy, R-WI, claimed he had "here in my hand a list of 205 (State Dept employees) that were known to the Secretary of State as being members of the Communist Party..."
2/ It's unclear that the audience knew how important that speech would end up being. Frank Desmond covered the speech for The Wheeling Intelligencer.

wvculture.org/history/govern…
3/ McCarthy was on a tour of the U.S.

By Salt Lake City his "list" had gone from 205 to "57 card-carrying members of the Communist Party" in the State Department.

The number kept fluctuating because it was made up.

newspapers.com/clip/43944556/…
Read 11 tweets
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Jake Tapper
@jaketapper
CNN: The Iowa Democratic Party has announced the final batch of votes from Monday’s caucuses.

With 100 % of precincts reporting, @PeteButtigieg holds a slim lead of one-tenth of one percentage point over @BernieSanders Sanders in the all-important delegate count.

1/
2/ Per @iowademocrats rules, State Delegate Equivalents (SDEs) determine the winner of the Caucuses

The new SDE percentages with 100% of precincts reporting are:

Buttigieg: 26.2%
Sanders: 26.1%
Warren: 18.0%
Biden: 15.8%
Klobuchar: 12.3%
Yang: 1.0%
Steyer: 0.3%
3/ Though SDE percentages determine the winner, the new popular vote totals with 100% of precincts reporting are:

Sanders: 45,826
Buttigieg: 43,195
Warren: 34,771
Biden: 23,691
Klobuchar: 21,181
Yang: 1,780
Steyer: 413
Read 8 tweets

Related threads

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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
#NEW poll of the 2020 Democratic primary from The Economist and YouGov:

% support among likely voters (change vs last week)

Biden: 24 (-2)
Sanders: 19 (-5)
Warren: 18 (-2)
Buttigieg: 9 (2)
Bloomberg: 9 (4)
Klobuchar: 6 (1)
Yang: 3 (-1)
Gabbard: 3 (0)
Steyer: 2 (1)
Bennet: 1 (1)
Which candidates are Democrats considering voting for? (These numbers are from the past month of polls)

Biden: 48%
Warren: 47%
Sanders: 45%
Buttigieg: 28%
Bloomberg: 22%
Klobuchar: 20%
Yang: 16%
Steyer: 12%
Gabbard: 6%
Bennet: 4%
Patrick: 3%
Who would Democrats be disappointed in as the nominee?
(These numbers are from the past month of polls)

Gabbard: 43%
Bloomberg: 29%
Patrick: 23%
Biden: 23%
Steyer: 22%
Sanders: 22%
Bennet: 21%
Buttigieg: 19%
Klobuchar: 17%
Yang: 17%
Warren: 16%
Read 3 tweets
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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
#NEW poll of the 2020 Democratic primary from The Economist and YouGov:

% support among likely voters (chg vs last week):

Biden: 26 (-3)
Sanders: 24 (6)
Warren: 20 (-1)
Buttigieg: 7 (-1)
Klobuchar: 4 (0)
Bloomberg: 4 (-2)
Yang: 4 (0)
Gabbard: 3 (1)
Steyer: 1 (-2)
Patrick: 1 (0)
Who are Democrats considering voting for?

Biden: 49%
Warren: 48
Sanders: 45
Buttigieg: 28
Klobuchar: 20
Bloomberg: 19
Booker: 18
Yang: 16
Steyer: 12
Castro: 10
Gabbard: 6
Bennet: 4
Patrick: 3
Delaney: 2
Who would they be disappointed to see win the nomination?

Gabbard: 42%
Bloomberg: 31
Delaney: 25
Biden: 23
Steyer: 23
Patrick: 23
Bennet: 21
Sanders: 20
Buttigieg: 19
Yang: 17
Klobuchar: 17
Warren: 15
Read 5 tweets
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mathieu gallard
@mathieugallard
🇺🇸🗳️ Dans pile un mois, c’est le début d'une longue et palpitante saison électorale aux #EtatsUnis avec le caucus de l’#Iowa lors duquel 14 candidats vont concourir à l'investiture du parti démocrate. #primaires
🇺🇸🗳️ Au niveau national, peu d'évolutions en un an de campagne :

➡️#Biden reste en tête

➡️Les candidats de l’aile gauche #Sanders et #Warren le suivent à distance

➡️#Buttigieg est le seul autre candidat à se démarquer, les autres faisant (pour l’instant ?) de la figuration
🇺🇸🗳️ Mais les sondages nationaux ont peu d’importance à ce stade : si un candidat crée la surprise lors d’une des premières primaires, il peut impulser une dynamique à sa campagne (le « momentum ») qui l’avantagera lors des scrutins suivants.
Read 41 tweets
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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
#NEW poll of the 2020 Democratic primary from The Economist and YouGov:

% support among likely voters (change v last month)
Warren: 28 (+4)
Biden: 25 (+1)
Sanders: 13 (-4)
Harris: 5 (0)
Buttigieg: 5 (-1)
Yang: 3 (+1)
Bullock: 2 (+1)
Klobuchar: 2 (+1)

All else ≤ 1%
% of Democratic primary voters considering voting for each candidate (over last month):

Warren: 55%
Biden: 47
Sanders: 39
Harris: 30
Buttigieg: 28
Booker: 18
O'Rourke: 16
Yang: 13
Klobuchar: 11
Castro: 11

All else < 10%
% of Democratic primary voters who would be disappointed if ___ candidate won the nomination (over the last month):

Williamson: 32
Gabbard: 23
Biden: 22
Delaney: 21
Steyer: 20
Sanders: 19
Bennet: 17
Yang: 17
O'Rourke: 16
Booker: 13
Buttigieg: 11
Warren: 8
Read 7 tweets
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Victoria Brownworth
@VABVOX
In data from @FiveThirtyEight and GDELT tracking, #Biden is leading TV mentions. This is pushing down poll numbers for other candidates.

Biden - 4,317
Sanders - 461
Warren - 1,090
Harris - 146
Buttigieg - 88
O'Rourke - 118
Booker - 142
Klobuchar - 47
Yang - 41
Castro - 21
These numbers should embarrass the MSM. #Harris is polling 4th yet she has less than 2% of #Biden's mentions, only 10% of #Warren's. #Buttigieg is polling right behind Harris and he has only half her mentions. Yet #Booker is almost equal to Harris. While #Castro--almost nothing.
The week showed a big drop in mentions for #Harris and #Sanders, despite high profile appearances for both on major TV shows. The disconnect is striking, particularly since both have rolled out new policy and important changes in their campaigns.
Read 6 tweets
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Topless Topics
@ToplessTopics
#warren/#buttigieg 2020. Tell me why I'm wrong.
I was really hoping to elect a person of color, and I still have some interest in Harris. But she's getting too much heat for her prosecutor background. Besides Warren has the most policies that align with my view of America, AND she knows how to make those goals achievable!
And Buttigieg... I'm still learning about his ability to govern, but I'm continually impressed by how worldly and hella SMART he is. and he's obviously had some inside experience of oppression as a gay man from middle America.
Read 12 tweets

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