Michigan seems pretty do-or-die for Sanders. Big race of the night on 3/10, and if he can't win there, may only win ID and/or WA (neither guaranteed -- Clinton won WA's meaningless primary in 2016 & ID has a closed primary). Biden will win MS, favored in MO. ND = shruggie (1/3)
3/17 looks bad for Sanders if Clinton '16 vote is a guide; he may only be competitive in IL. Biden will win FL big, could be interesting in OH (open) or AZ (closed) but Clinton won both of those by 13+. MI loss might presage an IL loss. (2/3)
And if Sanders doesn't get big win on either 3/10 or 3/17, he has 3/24 with GA where Biden will crush. That means Sanders would have to wait until 4/4 for AK, HI, WY (LA will go Biden) which aren't big, then hope that WI gives him a big W on 4/7. So yeah, MI is big. (3/3)
One other race of interest is Puerto Rico on 3/29. Sanders has done well with Hispanic voters so far, but Puerto Rico did go big for Clinton. No clue what happens there. (4/3)
